Atlético Nacional and Independiente Medellín face each other on Thursday 12.04.2025, at 23:30 (UK Time), in a Categoria Primera A 2025 match. The game will take place at Atlético Nacional's home ground, the Estadio Atanasio Girardot.
Our team of analysts has crafted predictions for the clash between Atlético Nacional and Independiente Medellín, grounded in an in-depth statistical analysis of both sides. We aim to empower bettors with reliable insights, delivering today’s top free betting tip to support smarter, more profitable choices.
APWin predictions for Atlético Nacional vs Independiente Medellín
With odds already defined by leading bookmakers, our specialists have thoroughly reviewed the key match data. Check out our expert prediction below:
Under 3.5 Goals
The APWin team has examined the key betting markets and identified the most valuable opportunities.
Atlético Nacional preview
Atlético Nacional heads into the match with the following record in the Categoria Primera A: in 50 matches, Atlético Nacional secured 23 victories, 16 draws, and 11 losses, maintaining an average of 1.7 points per game.
Taking a broader look at Atlético Nacional's 2025 season, the team has achieved a total of 32 victories so far.
Atlético Nacional has been effective in the offense, scoring a total of 108 goals, of which 83 were scored in the Categoria Primera A, resulting in an average of 1.66 goals per game.
Individually, the standout performer is Edwin Cardona, who has found the back of the net 13 times. However, he is not alone in driving the offense. Edwin Cardona has taken on the role of the team's main playmaker, leading with 12 assists.
On the defensive side, Atlético Nacional has conceded 51 goals in the Categoria Primera A (an average of 1.02 per game) and 61 goals throughout the entire season, with an average of 0.94 per match in the 2025 campaign.
Independiente Medellín preview
Independiente Medellín comes into the game with 52 matches played so far in the Categoria Primera A. They have secured 24 victories, 17 draws, and 11 losses, maintaining an average of 1.71 points per game in the competition.
Across all competitions in the 2025 season, the team has recorded 28 wins, 20 draws, and 12 losses.
El Rojo Paisa's attack has been highly effective, scoring 87 goals during this period. Of that total, 77 were netted in the Categoria Primera A, with an average of 1.48 goals per game. The overall season average is 1.45.
El Decano's offensive system is led by Francisco Fydriszewski, the team's top scorer this season. The argentinian forward has found the back of the net 14 times. He is supported by the team's best assist provider, Brayan Léon Muñiz. The midfielder has contributed with 10 assists.
On the defensive side, the team has conceded 49 goals with an average of 0.94 per game in the championship. For the whole season, the team conceded 54 goals in 60 matches, averaging 0.9 per match.
Head to head: Atlético Nacional vs Independiente Medellín
Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.
Atlético Nacional
Colombia - Categoria Primera A
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | L D D W L |
1.7 |
| Home | D W W W W |
2.12 |
| Away | L D L W D |
1.28 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 46% | 64% | 28% |
| Goals | 2.68 | 2.84 | 2.52 |
| Scored | 1.66 | 1.96 | 1.36 |
| Conceded | 1.02 | 0.88 | 1.16 |
| Both Teams to Score | 58% | 52% | 64% |
| Without Conceding | 34% | 40% | 28% |
| Failed To Score | 20% | 12% | 28% |
| 1st to Score | 62% | 72% | 52% |
|
xG
|
1.71 | 1.96 | 1.46 |
|
xGA
|
1.2 | 1.04 | 1.36 |
Independiente Medellín
Colombia - Categoria Primera A
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | D L D L W |
1.71 |
| Home | D D W W D |
1.81 |
| Away | L L W L W |
1.62 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 46% | 46% | 46% |
| Goals | 2.42 | 2.42 | 2.42 |
| Scored | 1.48 | 1.62 | 1.35 |
| Conceded | 0.94 | 0.81 | 1.08 |
| Both Teams to Score | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Without Conceding | 38% | 46% | 31% |
| Failed To Score | 23% | 15% | 31% |
| 1st to Score | 62% | 54% | 38% |
|
xG
|
1.69 | 1.81 | 1.57 |
|
xGA
|
1.13 | 0.98 | 1.28 |
Access all match stats for Atlético Nacional vs Independiente Medellín
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Journalist, a football lover and sports betting expert for over 7 years. In addition to being a bet world aficionado, Amauri also practices athletics, and as all good Brazilian, does not refuse a brew.