The kick off for the match between Atlas and Toluca will take place at 00:00 (UK time) - Sunday, 11/02 - at the Estadio Jalisco. This clash of the 2025/26 Liga MX looks very promising!
Before placing your bets on this match, check out the full analysis including predictions for Atlas vs Toluca. We also highlight the most interesting odds and markets with a high chance of winning. Providing today’s best free tip to help you make informed and profitable betting decisions.
APWin predictions for Atlas vs Toluca
With odds already released by major bookmakers, our experts have crunched the numbers and dissected the key match data. Find our value-packed prediction for this encounter below:
Toluca Win
After a thorough assessment of the primary betting markets, APWin analysts have identified bets with strong value potential.
Atlas preview
Atlas has played 15 matches in the Liga MX so far, with 4 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses. This results in an average of 1.07 points per match.
In the 2025/26 season, the team has recorded 4 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses. Atlas's attack has scored 24 goals, 24 of them in the league, which gives an average of 1.6 goals per league match and 1.6 goals per match across the entire season.
Uroš Đurđević is the team’s top scorer with 7 goals, while Diego Luis Gonzalez Alcaraz leads the team in assists with 5. Defensively, Atlas has conceded 33 goals in the league (an average of 2.2) and 33 goals throughout the entire season (an average of 2.2 over 15 matches).
Toluca preview
In 15 Liga MX matches, Toluca has recorded 10 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with an average of 2.2 points per game.
In the 2025/26 season, the team has 10 wins in 15 matches. The team has scored 41 goals, 41 of them in the Liga MX (an average of 2.73 goals per match), with José Paulo Bezerra Maciel Júnior being the team's top scorer with 11 goals and Ernesto Alexis Vega Rojas providing 10 assists.
Defensively, Toluca has conceded 18 goals in the league and 18 in the 2025/26 season overall, resulting in an average of 1.2 goals conceded per match.
Head to head: Atlas vs Toluca
Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.
Home Team
Atlas
Mexico - Liga MX
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | L W L W W |
1.07 |
| Home | W W W D L |
1.57 |
| Away | L L L D L |
0.63 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 27% | 43% | 13% |
| Goals | 3.8 | 4.29 | 3.38 |
| Scored | 1.6 | 2.14 | 1.13 |
| Conceded | 2.2 | 2.14 | 2.25 |
| Both Teams to Score | 67% | 71% | 63% |
| Without Conceding | 7% | 14% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 27% | 14% | 38% |
| 1st to Score | 40% | 43% | 38% |
|
xG
|
1.09 | 1.27 | 0.94 |
|
xGA
|
1.77 | 1.88 | 1.68 |
Away Team
Toluca
Mexico - Liga MX
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | D D W W W |
2.2 |
| Home | D W W W W |
2.13 |
| Away | D W W W L |
2.29 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 67% | 63% | 71% |
| Goals | 3.93 | 4.63 | 3.14 |
| Scored | 2.73 | 3.13 | 2.29 |
| Conceded | 1.2 | 1.5 | 0.86 |
| Both Teams to Score | 67% | 88% | 43% |
| Without Conceding | 27% | 13% | 43% |
| Failed To Score | 13% | 0% | 29% |
| 1st to Score | 40% | 63% | 57% |
|
xG
|
1.81 | 2.11 | 1.34 |
|
xGA
|
1.22 | 1.28 | 1.13 |
Access all match stats for Atlas vs Toluca
Where to watch Atlas vs Toluca live?
Check out the live stream of Atlas vs Toluca below and follow the match in real time.
