Athletic Bilbao and Real Madrid face each other on Wednesday 12.03.2025, at 18:00 (UK Time), in a La Liga 2025/26 match. The game will take place at Athletic Bilbao's home ground, the Estadio San Mamés.
Our team of analysts has crafted predictions for the clash between Athletic Bilbao and Real Madrid, grounded in an in-depth statistical analysis of both sides. We aim to empower bettors with reliable insights, delivering today’s top free betting tip to support smarter, more profitable choices.
APWin predictions for Athletic Bilbao vs Real Madrid
With odds already defined by leading bookmakers, our specialists have thoroughly reviewed the key match data. Check out our expert prediction below:
2nd Half Real Madrid Win
The APWin team has examined the key betting markets and identified the most valuable opportunities.
Athletic Bilbao preview
Athletic Bilbao heads into the match with the following record in the La Liga: in 14 matches, Bilbao secured 6 victories, 2 draws, and 6 losses, maintaining an average of 1.43 points per game.
Taking a broader look at Athletic Bilbao's 2025/26 season, the team has achieved a total of 7 victories so far.
Athletic Bilbao has been effective in the offense, scoring a total of 18 goals, of which 14 were scored in the La Liga, resulting in an average of 1 goals per game.
Individually, the standout performer is Nico Williams, who has found the back of the net 3 times. However, he is not alone in driving the offense. Nico Williams has taken on the role of the team's main playmaker, leading with 2 assists.
On the defensive side, Athletic Bilbao has conceded 17 goals in the La Liga (an average of 1.21 per game) and 26 goals throughout the entire season, with an average of 1.37 per match in the 2025/26 campaign.
Real Madrid preview
Real Madrid comes into the game with 14 matches played so far in the La Liga. They have secured 10 victories, 3 draws, and 1 losses, maintaining an average of 2.36 points per game in the competition.
Across all competitions in the 2025/26 season, the team has recorded 14 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses.
Whites's attack has been highly effective, scoring 41 goals during this period. Of that total, 29 were netted in the La Liga, with an average of 2.07 goals per game. The overall season average is 2.16.
Maringues's offensive system is led by Kylian Mbappé, the team's top scorer this season. The french forward has found the back of the net 14 times. He is supported by the team's best assist provider, Arda Guler. The midfielder has contributed with 5 assists.
On the defensive side, the team has conceded 13 goals with an average of 0.93 per game in the championship. For the whole season, the team conceded 18 goals in 19 matches, averaging 0.95 per match.
Head to head: Athletic Bilbao vs Real Madrid
Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.
Athletic
Spain - La Liga
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | W D L W L |
1.4 |
| Home | W L W W D |
2 |
| Away | W D L L L |
0.8 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 43% | 57% | 29% |
| Goals | 2.21 | 2 | 2.43 |
| Scored | 1 | 1.14 | 0.86 |
| Conceded | 1.21 | 0.86 | 1.57 |
| Both Teams to Score | 36% | 43% | 29% |
| Without Conceding | 29% | 29% | 29% |
| Failed To Score | 43% | 29% | 57% |
| 1st to Score | 50% | 57% | 43% |
|
xG
|
1.49 | 1.62 | 1.35 |
|
xGA
|
1.13 | 0.84 | 1.42 |
Real Madrid
Spain - La Liga
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | D W D D L |
1.2 |
| Home | W W W W W |
3 |
| Away | D W D D L |
1.2 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 71% | 100% | 50% |
| Goals | 3 | 2.83 | 3.13 |
| Scored | 2.07 | 2.33 | 1.88 |
| Conceded | 0.93 | 0.5 | 1.25 |
| Both Teams to Score | 57% | 50% | 63% |
| Without Conceding | 43% | 50% | 38% |
| Failed To Score | 7% | 0% | 13% |
| 1st to Score | 50% | 83% | 50% |
|
xG
|
2.28 | 2.38 | 2.21 |
|
xGA
|
1.14 | 0.91 | 1.31 |
Access all match stats for Athletic Bilbao vs Real Madrid
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