Arsenal vs Atlético Madrid | Prediction | UEFA Champions League | 05/05
Europe - UEFA Champions League
The kick off for the match between Arsenal and Atlético Madrid will take place at 20:00 (UK time) - Tuesday, 05/05 - at the Emirates Stadium. This clash of the 2025/26 UEFA Champions League looks very promising!
Before placing your bets on this match, check out the full analysis, including predictions for Arsenal Football Club PLC vs Club Atlético de Madrid, S.A.D.. We also highlight the most interesting odds and markets with a high chance of winning. Providing today’s best free tip to help you make informed and profitable betting decisions.
APWin predictions for Arsenal vs Atlético Madrid
With odds already released by major bookmakers, our experts have crunched the numbers and dissected the key match data. Find our value-packed prediction for this encounter below:
BTTS - Yes
Market: BTTS - Yes · @ 1.82
Last updated: 02-05-2026
After a thorough assessment of the primary betting markets, APWin analysts have identified bets with strong value potential.
Our prediction is: Arsenal win or draw
Our top betting tip is Arsenal to win or draw on the Double Chance market. What that means is Arsenal, the home team, must win or draw for the bet to win, and we feel strongly that the match will end in one of those two outcomes.
We simply don't see Arsenal losing to Atlético Madrid. More than the gulf in quality between the two sides which is clear to see in the statistics, we also have a lot of belief in Arsenal's ability to make home advantage count in this match.
Our prediction is: Under 2.5 goals in the match
Based on our analysis, Arsenal vs Atlético Madrid looks like going to fall safely under 2.5 goals.
The statistics point to the match being more of a defensive struggle, with the two teams more likely to play cautiously than they are to go out and attack.
Arsenal Preview
Arsenal has played 13 matches in the UEFA Champions League so far, with 10 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses. This results in an average of 2.54 points per match.
In the 2025/26 season, the team has recorded 40 wins, 11 draws, and 7 losses. Arsenal's attack has scored 115 goals, 28 of them in the league, which gives an average of 2.15 goals per league match and 1.98 goals per match across the entire season.
Viktor Gyökeres is the team’s top scorer with 14 goals, while Leandro Trossard leads the team in assists with 6. Defensively, The Gunners has conceded 6 goals in the league (an average of 0.46) and 41 goals throughout the entire season (an average of 0.71 over 58 matches).
- 18/10/2026Nottingham ForestArsenalW0118/10/2026Premier LeagueNottingham Forest
v.s
Arsenal0 - 1W - 13/10/2026ArsenalLilleW3013/10/2026UEFA Champions LeagueArsenal
v.s
Lille3 - 0W - 10/10/2026ArsenalLeedsW2110/10/2026Premier LeagueArsenal
v.s
Leeds2 - 1W - 19/09/2026BrightonArsenalL3019/09/2026Premier LeagueBrighton
v.s
Arsenal3 - 0L - 15/09/2026Ipswich TownArsenalW2415/09/2026League CupIpswich Town
v.s
Arsenal2 - 4W
Atlético Madrid preview
In 15 UEFA Champions League matches, Atlético Madrid has recorded 7 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, with an average of 1.6 points per game.
In the 2025/26 season, the team has 30 wins in 56 matches. The team has scored 109 goals, 35 of them in the UEFA Champions League (an average of 2.33 goals per match), with Alexander Sørloth being the team's top scorer with 12 goals and Giuliano Simeone providing 6 assists.
Defensively, The Mattress Makers has conceded 27 goals in the league and 73 in the 2025/26 season overall, resulting in an average of 1.3 goals conceded per match.
- 20/10/2026StuttgartAtlético MadridD1120/10/2026UEFA Champions LeagueStuttgart
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Atlético Madrid1 - 1D - 17/10/2026EspanyolAtlético MadridW0117/10/2026La LigaEspanyol
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Atlético Madrid0 - 1W - 13/10/2026Atlético MadridManchester UnitedW2013/10/2026UEFA Champions LeagueAtlético Madrid
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Manchester United2 - 0W - 10/10/2026Deportivo AlavésAtlético MadridW1210/10/2026La LigaDeportivo Alavés
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Atlético Madrid1 - 2W - 20/09/2026Atlético MadridReal MadridW2120/09/2026La LigaAtlético Madrid
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Real Madrid2 - 1W
Head to head: Arsenal vs Atlético Madrid
Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.
Arsenal
Home
Atlético Madrid
Away
Points & Results
- PPG2.541.60
- 77%Wins47%
- 85%First to Score67%
Goals Scored & Conceded
- Scored/game2.152.33
- Conceded/game0.461.80
- xG1.801.65
- xGA1.161.63
Trends
- 38%Both Score87%
- 62%Clean Sheet7%
- 8%Failed to Score7%
Access all match stats for Arsenal vs Atlético Madrid
Where to watch The Gunners vs The Mattress Makers live?
Check out the live stream of Arsenal vs Atlético Madrid below and follow the match in real time.
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Arsenal vs Atlético Madrid
Amauri Barbosa
Content Manager
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Articles
Sports betting analyst with over 15 years of experience. At APWin, he writes football predictions, reviews bookmakers and explains the reasoning behind every bet.