Arsenal and Atlético Madrid face each other on Tuesday 05.05.2026, at 20:00 (UK Time), in a UEFA Champions League 2025/26 match. The game will take place at Arsenal's home ground, the Emirates Stadium.
Our team of analysts has crafted predictions for the clash between Arsenal Football Club PLC and Club Atlético de Madrid, S.A.D., grounded in an in-depth statistical analysis of both sides. We aim to empower bettors with reliable insights, delivering today’s top free betting tip to support smarter, more profitable choices.
APWin predictions for Arsenal vs Atlético Madrid
With odds already defined by leading bookmakers, our specialists have thoroughly reviewed the key match data. Check out our expert prediction below:
BTTS - Yes
The APWin team has examined the key betting markets and identified the most valuable opportunities.
Arsenal preview
Arsenal heads into the match with the following record in the UEFA Champions League: in 13 matches, Arsenal Football Club PLC secured 10 victories, 3 draws, and 0 losses, maintaining an average of 2.54 points per game.
Taking a broader look at The Gunners's 2025/26 season, the team has achieved a total of 39 victories so far.
Arsenal has been effective in the offence, scoring a total of 112 goals, of which 28 were scored in the UEFA Champions League, resulting in an average of 2.15 goals per game.
Individually, the standout performer is Viktor Gyökeres, who has found the back of the net 12 times. However, he is not alone in driving the offence. Declan Rice has taken on the role of the team's main playmaker, leading with 5 assists.
On the defensive side, Arsenal has conceded 6 goals in the UEFA Champions League (an average of 0.46 per game) and 41 goals throughout the entire season, with an average of 0.72 per match in the 2025/26 campaign.
Atlético Madrid preview
Atlético Madrid comes into the game with 15 matches played so far in the UEFA Champions League. They have secured 7 victories, 3 draws, and 5 losses, maintaining an average of 1.6 points per game in the competition.
Across all competitions in the 2025/26 season, the team has recorded 29 wins, 10 draws, and 16 losses.
Club Atlético de Madrid, S.A.D.'s attack has been highly effective, scoring 107 goals during this period. Of that total, 35 were netted in the UEFA Champions League, with an average of 2.33 goals per game. The overall season average is 1.95.
The Mattress Makers's offensive system is led by Alexander Sørloth, the team's top scorer this season. The norwegian forward has found the back of the net 12 times. He is supported by the team's best assist provider, Giuliano Simeone. The midfielder has contributed with 6 assists.
On the defensive side, the team has conceded 27 goals with an average of 1.8 per game in the championship. For the whole season, the team conceded 73 goals in 55 matches, averaging 1.33 per match.
Head to head: Arsenal vs Atlético Madrid
Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.
Arsenal
Europe - UEFA Champions League
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | W D W L D |
1.6 |
| Home | W W D L L |
1.4 |
| Away | D L W L D |
1 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 77% | 83% | 71% |
| Goals | 2.62 | 2.83 | 2.43 |
| Scored | 2.15 | 2.33 | 2 |
| Conceded | 0.46 | 0.5 | 0.43 |
| Both Teams to Score | 38% | 33% | 43% |
| Without Conceding | 62% | 67% | 57% |
| Failed To Score | 8% | 17% | 0% |
| 1st to Score | 85% | 83% | 86% |
|
xG
|
1.8 | 2.1 | 1.54 |
|
xGA
|
1.16 | 0.92 | 1.37 |
Atlético Madrid
Europe - UEFA Champions League
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | W D W L D |
1.6 |
| Home | D W D L L |
1 |
| Away | W L L W L |
1.2 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 47% | 63% | 29% |
| Goals | 4.13 | 4.13 | 4.14 |
| Scored | 2.33 | 2.75 | 1.86 |
| Conceded | 1.8 | 1.38 | 2.29 |
| Both Teams to Score | 87% | 100% | 71% |
| Without Conceding | 7% | 0% | 14% |
| Failed To Score | 7% | 0% | 14% |
| 1st to Score | 85% | 75% | 57% |
|
xG
|
1.65 | 1.86 | 1.4 |
|
xGA
|
1.63 | 1.39 | 1.9 |
Access all match stats for Arsenal vs Atlético Madrid
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I’m a journalist and content creator with over 7 years of experience in sports betting. At APWin, I live football and betting markets, and outside the screen I’m also a marathon runner always chasing performance.