Almería vs Burgos prediction

Spain - La Liga 2

v.s

03 Oct 2026 10:15

Double Chance: Almería or Draw

Market: Double Chance: Almería or Draw · @ 1.11

1.11

Confidence

75%

Last updated: 29-09-2026

Almería and Burgos face each other on Saturday 10.03.2026, at 15:15 (UK Time), in a La Liga 2 2026/27 match. The game will take place at Almería's home ground, the Power Horse Stadium (Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos).

Our team of analysts has crafted predictions for the clash between Unión Deportiva Almería, S.A.D. and Burgos Club de Fútbol, S.A.D., grounded in an in-depth statistical analysis of both sides. We aim to empower bettors with reliable insights, delivering today’s top free betting tip to support smarter, more profitable choices.

Almería preview

Almería heads into the match with the following record in the La Liga 2: in 7 matches, Unión Deportiva Almería, S.A.D. secured 5 victories, 0 draws, and 2 losses, maintaining an average of 2.14 points per game.

Taking a broader look at The Indalics's 2026/27 season, the team has achieved a total of 29 victories so far.

Almería has been effective in the offence, scoring a total of 100 goals, of which 11 were scored in the La Liga 2, resulting in an average of 1.57 goals per game.

Individually, the standout performer is Sergio Arribas, who has found the back of the net 26 times. However, he is not alone in driving the offence. Adrián Embarba has taken on the role of the team's main playmaker, leading with 11 assists.

On the defensive side, Almería has conceded 4 goals in the La Liga 2 (an average of 0.57 per game) and 74 goals throughout the entire season, with an average of 1.35 per match in the 2026/27 campaign.

Burgos preview

Burgos comes into the game with 7 matches played so far in the La Liga 2. They have secured 4 victories, 2 draws, and 1 losses, maintaining an average of 2 points per game in the competition.

Across all competitions in the 2026/27 season, the team has recorded 27 wins, 14 draws, and 12 losses.

Burgos Club de Fútbol, S.A.D.'s attack has been highly effective, scoring 65 goals during this period. Of that total, 11 were netted in the La Liga 2, with an average of 1.57 goals per game. The overall season average is 1.23.

The Sons of the Cold's offensive system is led by David Gonzalez Ballesteros, the team's top scorer this season. The spanish midfielder has found the back of the net 12 times. He is supported by the team's best assist provider, David Gonzalez Ballesteros. The midfielder has contributed with 6 assists.

On the defensive side, the team has conceded 7 goals with an average of 1 per game in the championship. For the whole season, the team conceded 44 goals in 53 matches, averaging 0.83 per match.

Head to head: Almería vs Burgos

Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.

Almería

Home

WWWWL
VS

Burgos

Away

WWWDD

Points & Results

  • 2.14
    PPG
    2
  • 71%
    Wins
    57%
  • 71%
    First to Score
    29%

Goals Scored & Conceded

  • 1.57
    Scored/game
    1.57
  • 0.57
    Conceded/game
    1
  • 1.27
    xG
    1.03
  • 1.44
    xGA
    1.59

Trends

  • 14%
    Both Score
    57%
  • 57%
    Clean Sheet
    29%
  • 29%
    Failed to Score
    29%

Access all match stats for Almería vs Burgos

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Almería vs Burgos

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Likely Scores

#ScoreProbability%
11 - 1
0.14%
21 - 0
0.11%
30 - 0
0.09%
42 - 1
0.09%
52 - 0
0.09%
60 - 1
0.07%
71 - 2
0.06%
82 - 2
0.05%
93 - 1
0.05%
103 - 0
0.05%
110 - 2
0.04%
123 - 2
0.02%
Published: 30 Sept 2026Updated: 30 Sept 2026