Alianza Lima and Melgar face each other on Saturday 11.01.2025, at 02:00 (UK Time), in a Primera División 2025 match. The game will take place at Alianza Lima's home ground, the Estadio Alejandro Villanueva.
Our team of analysts has crafted predictions for the clash between Alianza Lima and Melgar, grounded in an in-depth statistical analysis of both sides. We aim to empower bettors with reliable insights, delivering today’s top free betting tip to support smarter, more profitable choices.
APWin predictions for Alianza Lima vs Melgar
With odds already defined by leading bookmakers, our specialists have thoroughly reviewed the key match data. Check out our expert prediction below:
No BTTS 1st Half
The APWin team has examined the key betting markets and identified the most valuable opportunities.
Alianza Lima preview
Alianza Lima heads into the match with the following record in the Primera División: in 32 matches, Alianza Lima secured 18 victories, 7 draws, and 7 losses, maintaining an average of 1.91 points per game.
Taking a broader look at Alianza Lima's 2025 season, the team has achieved a total of 42 victories so far.
Alianza Lima has been effective in the offense, scoring a total of 111 goals, of which 46 were scored in the Primera División, resulting in an average of 1.44 goals per game.
Individually, the standout performer is Paolo Guerrero, who has found the back of the net 10 times. However, he is not alone in driving the offense. Erick Castillo has taken on the role of the team's main playmaker, leading with 5 assists.
On the defensive side, Alianza Lima has conceded 27 goals in the Primera División (an average of 0.84 per game) and 77 goals throughout the entire season, with an average of 0.93 per match in the 2025 campaign.
Melgar preview
Melgar comes into the game with 34 matches played so far in the Primera División. They have secured 14 victories, 13 draws, and 7 losses, maintaining an average of 1.62 points per game in the competition.
Across all competitions in the 2025 season, the team has recorded 30 wins, 20 draws, and 20 losses.
El Dominó's attack has been highly effective, scoring 94 goals during this period. Of that total, 50 were netted in the Primera División, with an average of 1.47 goals per game. The overall season average is 1.34.
Los Rojinegros's offensive system is led by Facundo Alfredo Castro, the team's top scorer this season. The argentinian forward has found the back of the net 5 times. He is supported by the team's best assist provider, Cristian Ariel Bordacahar. The forward has contributed with 5 assists.
On the defensive side, the team has conceded 35 goals with an average of 1.03 per game in the championship. For the whole season, the team conceded 83 goals in 70 matches, averaging 1.19 per match.
Head to head: Alianza Lima vs Melgar
Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.
Home Team
Alianza Lima
Peru - Primera División
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | W W L W L |
1.91 |
| Home | W W W L W |
2.13 |
| Away | W L L D W |
1.69 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 56% | 63% | 50% |
| Goals | 2.28 | 2.63 | 1.94 |
| Scored | 1.44 | 1.94 | 0.94 |
| Conceded | 0.84 | 0.69 | 1 |
| Both Teams to Score | 44% | 44% | 44% |
| Without Conceding | 47% | 50% | 44% |
| Failed To Score | 22% | 19% | 25% |
| 1st to Score | 59% | 75% | 44% |
|
xG
|
1.65 | 1.91 | 1.39 |
|
xGA
|
1.15 | 0.95 | 1.35 |
Away Team
Melgar
Peru - Primera División
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | W L W D W |
1.62 |
| Home | W W W W L |
1.94 |
| Away | L D D D D |
1.29 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 41% | 59% | 24% |
| Goals | 2.5 | 2.71 | 2.29 |
| Scored | 1.47 | 1.82 | 1.12 |
| Conceded | 1.03 | 0.88 | 1.18 |
| Both Teams to Score | 65% | 59% | 71% |
| Without Conceding | 24% | 29% | 18% |
| Failed To Score | 18% | 12% | 24% |
| 1st to Score | 59% | 76% | 47% |
|
xG
|
1.57 | 1.71 | 1.44 |
|
xGA
|
1.14 | 1.05 | 1.22 |
Access all match stats for Alianza Lima vs Melgar
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