Under 3.5 Goals
Market: Under 3.5 Goals · @ 1.21
Confidence
78%
Secondary prediction
Home Win
Last updated: 08-11-2026
Albania and Finland face each other on Thursday 11.12.2026, at 19:45 (UK Time), in a UEFA Nations League 2026/27 match. The game will take place at Albania's home ground, the Arena Kombëtare.
Our team of analysts has crafted predictions for the clash between Albania National Team and Seleção da Finlândia, grounded in an in-depth statistical analysis of both sides. We aim to empower bettors with reliable insights, delivering today’s top free betting tip to support smarter, more profitable choices.
Albania preview
Albania heads into the match with the following record in the UEFA Nations League: in 4 matches, Albania National Team secured 3 victories, 0 draws, and 1 losses, maintaining an average of 2.25 points per game.
Taking a broader look at The Red and Blacks's 2026/27 season, the team has achieved a total of 7 victories so far.
Albania has been effective in the offence, scoring a total of 16 goals, of which 8 were scored in the UEFA Nations League, resulting in an average of 2 goals per game.
Individually, the standout performer is Rey Manaj, who has found the back of the net 3 times. However, he is not alone in driving the offence. Arlind Ajeti has taken on the role of the team's main playmaker, leading with 1 assists.
On the defensive side, Albania has conceded 3 goals in the UEFA Nations League (an average of 0.75 per game) and 13 goals throughout the entire season, with an average of 0.81 per match in the 2026/27 campaign.
- 06/10/2026AlbaniaSan MarinoW2106/10/2026UEFA Nations LeagueAlbania
2 - 1
San MarinoW - 03/10/2026FinlandAlbaniaL2103/10/2026UEFA Nations LeagueFinland
2 - 1
AlbaniaL - 29/09/2026San MarinoAlbaniaW0329/09/2026UEFA Nations LeagueSan Marino
0 - 3
AlbaniaW - 26/09/2026AlbaniaBelarusW2026/09/2026UEFA Nations LeagueAlbania
2 - 0
BelarusW - 06/06/2026AlbaniaLuxembourgL0106/06/2026International FriendliesAlbania
0 - 1
LuxembourgL
Finland preview
Finland comes into the game with 4 matches played so far in the UEFA Nations League. They have secured 2 victories, 1 draws, and 1 losses, maintaining an average of 1.75 points per game in the competition.
Across all competitions in the 2026/27 season, the team has recorded 6 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses.
Seleção da Finlândia's attack has been highly effective, scoring 21 goals during this period. Of that total, 9 were netted in the UEFA Nations League, with an average of 2.25 goals per game. The overall season average is 1.31.
Eagle Owls's offensive system is led by Leo Walta, the team's top scorer this season. The finnish midfielder has found the back of the net 4 times. He is supported by the team's best assist provider, Oliver Antman. The midfielder has contributed with 2 assists.
On the defensive side, the team has conceded 2 goals with an average of 0.5 per game in the championship. For the whole season, the team conceded 23 goals in 16 matches, averaging 1.44 per match.
- 06/10/2026BelarusFinlandL1006/10/2026UEFA Nations LeagueBelarus
1 - 0
FinlandL - 03/10/2026FinlandAlbaniaW2103/10/2026UEFA Nations LeagueFinland
2 - 1
AlbaniaW - 29/09/2026FinlandBelarusD0029/09/2026UEFA Nations LeagueFinland
0 - 0
BelarusD - 26/09/2026San MarinoFinlandW0726/09/2026UEFA Nations LeagueSan Marino
0 - 7
FinlandW - 05/06/2026HungaryFinlandL2105/06/2026International FriendliesHungary
2 - 1
FinlandL
Head to head: Albania vs Finland
Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.
Albania
Home
Finland
Away
Points & Results
- 4Played4
- 3Wins2
- 0Draws1
- 1Losses1
- 2.25PPG1.75
- 75%Wins50%
- 100%First to Score25%
Goals Scored & Conceded
- 8Goals Scored9
- 2.00Scored/game2.25
- 3Goals Conceded2
- 0.75Conceded/game0.50
- 1.95xG1.67
- 0.95xGA0.90
Corners
- 42Total Corners33
- 27Corners For24
- 15Corners Against9
- 6.75Corners For/game6.00
- 3.75Corners Against/game2.25
Trends
- 50%Both Score25%
- 50%Clean Sheet50%
- 0%Failed to Score50%
Access all match stats for Albania vs Finland
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Albania vs Finland
Likely Scores
| # | Score | Probability | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 - 1 | 13.39% | |
| 2 | 2 - 1 | 8.46% | |
| 3 | 1 - 2 | 8.10% | |
| 4 | 1 - 0 | 7.93% | |
| 5 | 0 - 0 | 7.80% | |
| 6 | 0 - 1 | 7.54% | |
| 7 | 2 - 0 | 6.36% | |
| 8 | 0 - 2 | 5.83% | |
| 9 | 2 - 2 | 5.63% | |
| 10 | 3 - 1 | 3.92% | |
| 11 | 1 - 3 | 3.60% | |
| 12 | 3 - 0 | 2.94% |