Água Santa vs Madureira | Prediction | Serie D | 30/05

Brazil - Serie D

4 - 1

30 May 2026 15:00

Água Santa and Madureira face each other on Saturday 05.30.2026, at 20:00 (UK Time), in a Serie D 2026 match. The game will take place at Água Santa's home ground, the Estádio Municipal José Batista Pereira Fernandes (Arena Inamar).

Our team of analysts has crafted predictions for the clash between Esporte Clube Água Santa and Madureira Esporte Clube, grounded in an in-depth statistical analysis of both sides. We aim to empower bettors with reliable insights, delivering today’s top free betting tip to support smarter, more profitable choices.

APWin predictions for Água Santa vs Madureira

With odds already defined by leading bookmakers, our specialists have thoroughly reviewed the key match data. Check out our expert prediction below:

Água Santa Win

Market: Água Santa Win · @ 1.64

1.64

Confidence

60%

Last updated: 30-05-2026

The APWin team has examined the key betting markets and identified the most valuable opportunities.

Our prediction is: Água Santa to win the 1st half

Água Santa has been a strong home team overall this season, and the statistics point to them being particularly quick to pounce in the opening 45 minutes. Whether that aggressive mentality is due to the energy of the home crowd or an intentional plan on the part of the manager, it has proven to be very effective.

We foresee that plan paying off once again in their match against Madureira, so our top tip is for Água Santa to win the first half.

Our prediction is: Over 2.5 goals in the match

After careful analysis of Água Santa and Madureira, we predict that the match will go over 2.5 goals. This means the two teams are likely to score 3 or more goals combined.

The two attacks have been playing quite well of late, which is why we feel this is the best bet for this upcoming match.

Água Santa preview

Água Santa heads into the match with the following record in the Serie D: in 8 matches, Esporte Clube Água Santa secured 4 victories, 2 draws, and 2 losses, maintaining an average of 1.75 points per game.

Taking a broader look at Neptune's 2026 season, the team has achieved a total of 14 victories so far.

Água Santa has been effective in the offence, scoring a total of 38 goals, of which 12 were scored in the Serie D, resulting in an average of 1.5 goals per game.

Individually, the standout performer is Jose Alisson dos Santos, who has found the back of the net 3 times. However, he is not alone in driving the offence. Mario Cesar Belli has taken on the role of the team's main playmaker, leading with 3 assists.

On the defensive side, Água Santa has conceded 6 goals in the Serie D (an average of 0.75 per game) and 31 goals throughout the entire season, with an average of 1.07 per match in the 2026 campaign.

Madureira preview

Madureira comes into the game with 8 matches played so far in the Serie D. They have secured 2 victories, 2 draws, and 4 losses, maintaining an average of 1 points per game in the competition.

Across all competitions in the 2026 season, the team has recorded 7 wins, 4 draws, and 9 losses.

Madureira Esporte Clube's attack has been highly effective, scoring 20 goals during this period. Of that total, 9 were netted in the Serie D, with an average of 1.13 goals per game. The overall season average is 1.

Suburban Tricolor's offensive system is led by Rodrigo Oliveira Lindoso, the team's top scorer this season. The brazilian midfielder has found the back of the net 2 times. He is supported by the team's best assist provider, Jean Vianna de Matos. The midfielder has contributed with 1 assists.

On the defensive side, the team has conceded 12 goals with an average of 1.5 per game in the championship. For the whole season, the team conceded 31 goals in 20 matches, averaging 1.55 per match.

Head to head: Água Santa vs Madureira

Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.

Água Santa

Home

WDDWL
VS

Madureira

Away

DLWLL

Points & Results

  • 1.75
    PPG
    1
  • 50%
    Wins
    25%
  • 63%
    First to Score
    38%

Goals Scored & Conceded

  • 1.50
    Scored/game
    1.13
  • 0.75
    Conceded/game
    1.50
  • 1.26
    xG
    1.16
  • 1.22
    xGA
    1.58

Trends

  • 25%
    Both Score
    63%
  • 63%
    Clean Sheet
    25%
  • 25%
    Failed to Score
    25%

Access all match stats for Água Santa vs Madureira

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Água Santa vs Madureira

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Published: 28 May 2026Updated: 4 Oct 2026
Gustavo Porto

Gustavo Porto

Sporting betting analyst

69

Articles

Sports betting analyst with over ten years of experience in football analysis, match statistics and betting markets.