AEK Larnaca and Paphos face each other on Saturday 05.16.2026, at 16:00 (UK Time), in a Cyprus First Division 2025/26 match. The game will take place at AEK Larnaca's home ground, the AEK Arena - George Karapatakis.
Our team of analysts has crafted predictions for the clash between AEK Larnaca and Pafos Football Club, grounded in an in-depth statistical analysis of both sides. We aim to empower bettors with reliable insights, delivering today’s top free betting tip to support smarter, more profitable choices.
APWin predictions for AEK Larnaca vs Paphos
With odds already defined by leading bookmakers, our specialists have thoroughly reviewed the key match data. Check out our expert prediction below:
Under 2.5 Goals
The APWin team has examined the key betting markets and identified the most valuable opportunities.
AEK Larnaca preview
AEK Larnaca heads into the match with the following record in the Cyprus First Division: in 34 matches, AEK Larnaca secured 19 victories, 8 draws, and 7 losses, maintaining an average of 1.91 points per game.
Taking a broader look at AEK Larnaca's 2025/26 season, the team has achieved a total of 25 victories so far.
AEK Larnaca has been effective in the offence, scoring a total of 75 goals, of which 56 were scored in the Cyprus First Division, resulting in an average of 1.65 goals per game.
Individually, the standout performer is Hrvoje Miličević, who has found the back of the net 11 times. However, he is not alone in driving the offence. Jorge Miramón Santagertrudis has taken on the role of the team's main playmaker, leading with 6 assists.
On the defensive side, AEK Larnaca has conceded 28 goals in the Cyprus First Division (an average of 0.82 per game) and 44 goals throughout the entire season, with an average of 0.88 per match in the 2025/26 campaign.
Paphos preview
Paphos comes into the game with 34 matches played so far in the Cyprus First Division. They have secured 17 victories, 7 draws, and 10 losses, maintaining an average of 1.71 points per game in the competition.
Across all competitions in the 2025/26 season, the team has recorded 23 wins, 12 draws, and 13 losses.
Pafos Football Club's attack has been highly effective, scoring 78 goals during this period. Of that total, 62 were netted in the Cyprus First Division, with an average of 1.82 goals per game. The overall season average is 1.63.
Pafos Football Club's offensive system is led by João Correia, the team's top scorer this season. The cape verdean forward has found the back of the net 10 times. He is supported by the team's best assist provider, Mislav Oršić. The forward has contributed with 6 assists.
On the defensive side, the team has conceded 36 goals with an average of 1.06 per game in the championship. For the whole season, the team conceded 50 goals in 48 matches, averaging 1.04 per match.
Head to head: AEK Larnaca vs Paphos
Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.
AEK Larnaca
Cyprus - First Division
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | D W L W D |
1.6 |
| Home | W W L W L |
1.8 |
| Away | D L D D W |
1.2 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 56% | 65% | 47% |
| Goals | 2.47 | 2.65 | 2.29 |
| Scored | 1.65 | 1.82 | 1.47 |
| Conceded | 0.82 | 0.82 | 0.82 |
| Both Teams to Score | 50% | 41% | 59% |
| Without Conceding | 35% | 47% | 24% |
| Failed To Score | 15% | 12% | 18% |
| 1st to Score | 62% | 65% | 59% |
|
xG
|
1.49 | 1.59 | 1.39 |
|
xGA
|
1.17 | 1.11 | 1.22 |
Paphos
Cyprus - First Division
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | W L L D D |
1 |
| Home | W L D D W |
1.6 |
| Away | L D D L W |
1 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 59% | 41% |
| Goals | 2.88 | 2.76 | 3 |
| Scored | 1.82 | 2 | 1.65 |
| Conceded | 1.06 | 0.76 | 1.35 |
| Both Teams to Score | 47% | 35% | 59% |
| Without Conceding | 41% | 53% | 29% |
| Failed To Score | 15% | 18% | 12% |
| 1st to Score | 62% | 71% | 47% |
|
xG
|
1.47 | 1.52 | 1.42 |
|
xGA
|
1.28 | 1.35 | 1.22 |
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Sports betting analyst with over ten years of experience in football analysis, match statistics and betting markets.