APWin Prediction

Over 2.5 Goals

Mainz 05 Form and Insights

Mainz 05 hosts Hamburger SV at the MEWA Arena for this Bundesliga fixture. The match will kick off at 19:30 (UK Time) on 20/02/2026.

Their performance in the Bundesliga so far:

  • 5 Wins

  • 6 Draws

  • 11 Losses

Offensive and defensive statistics:

  • 25 goals scored

  • 1.14 average goals per match

  • 37 goals conceded

  • 25 average goals conceded per match

Die Rothosen Form and Insights

Hamburger SV has played 22 matches in the Bundesliga so far this season.

Here’s how the team comes into their match with Mainz 05:

  • 6 Wins

  • 7 Draws

  • 8 Losses

Goals scored and conceded:

  • 24 goals scored

  • 1.14 average goals per match

  • 31 goals conceded

  • 24 average goals conceded per match

Head-to-Head Statistics

We have seen the match between Mainz 05 and Hamburger SV on the match calendar 21 times across all competitions in the last couple of years.

  • Die Nullfünfer win - 11

  • Hamburger SV win - 8

  • Draw - 8

Home Team

Mainz 05 Team Logo

Mainz 05

Germany - Bundesliga

Form Last 5 PPG
Overall L W W W L

0.95

Home W W W D L

1.09

Away L W L D D

0.82

Away Team

Hamburger SV Team Logo

Hamburger SV

Germany - Bundesliga

Form Last 5 PPG
Overall W W D D D

1.19

Home W D D D W

1.73

Away W D L L L

0.6

Access all match stats for Mainz 05 vs Hamburger SV

The last match was played on 05/10/2025 in the Bundesliga, and Hamburger SV won the match. The match ended in 4–0.

In the table below, you can find the head-to-head results of the last few meetings.

Players to Watch

APWin’s team of experts has compiled a list of insights to help you place informed bets on player props and goal-scoring markets.

Karnevalsverein Top Players

  • Nadiem Amiri has scored 9 goals so far this season.

  • Benedict Hollerbach has given 3 assists this season.

Hamburg Top Players

  • Rayan Philippe has scored 5 goals so far this season.

  • Miro Muheim has given 4 assists this season.

Betting Insights for Cards and Corners

If you prefer betting on over/under markets for corners and cards, you can use the section below to find the statistics for this Mainz 05 vs Hamburger SV match.

Mainz 05 Cards and Corners

  • 2.77 average cards per match

  • 2.45 average cards when playing at home

  • 9.41 average corners per match

  • 9.81 average corners when playing at home

Hamburger SV Cards and Corners

  • 2.57 average cards per match

  • 2.8 average cards when playing away

  • 8.85 average corners per match

  • 8.5 average corners when playing away

Additional Betting Tips

After thorough analysis of the past data, our team of experts has come up with additional predictions for the match.

Keep in mind that the prediction on the top of the page is our main tip. In case you are looking for more value picks, you can use our additional predictions below.

👉 Our prediction is: Mainz 05 to win the 1st half

Mainz 05 has been a strong home team overall this season, and the statistics point to them being particularly quick to pounce in the opening 45 minutes. Whether that aggressive mentality is due to the energy of the home crowd or an intentional plan on the part of the manager, it has proven to be very effective.

We foresee that plan paying off once again in their match against Hamburger SV, so our top tip is for Mainz 05 to win the first half.

👉 Our prediction is: Hamburger SV win or draw

We feel strongly about Hamburger SV's chances of leaving with a point, or maybe even more. That is why our betting tip is Hamburger SV to win or draw on the Double Chance market.

Hamburger SV has shown considerable courage and determination in their recent away performances, while Mainz 05's form has not been the most convincing. So while an away win might be too much to ask for, Hamburger SV is more than capable of collecting a point in this match.

Match Details

  • Match date: 20/02/2026

  • Kick-off time: 19:30

  • Competition: Bundesliga

  • Game week: 23

  • Stadium: MEWA Arena

How APWin Makes Its Predictions

Our football predictions are written using a structured analysis of factors that impact match outcomes. We combine long-term performance with the latest team news and real-time market signals to write our predictions.

Here's what we take into account:

  • Historical match data

  • Home and away performance trends

  • Recent form, squad news, and team dynamics

  • Betting market odds and line movement analysis

APWin Prediction

Over 2.5 Goals

Published on 17 February 2026, at 20:33 Last updated on 17 February 2026, at 20:33
Author: Amauri Barbosa

I’m a journalist and content creator with over 7 years of experience in sports betting. At APWin, I live football and betting markets, and outside the screen I’m also a marathon runner always chasing performance.