Varaždin vs Slaven Belupo

Croatia - HNL League

Varaždin
Varaždin

v.s

24 Oct 2026 12:00

Slaven Belupo
Slaven Belupo

Slaven Belupo are creating the better shooting profile with average 4.2 overall shots and 1.41 xG. Their season scoring average is 1.2 goals per game, so the next major chance is likely to come from their side.

Result Probability

57%
Varaždin to win
24%
Draw
19%
Slaven Belupo to win

The result market leans toward Varaždin at 62%. The points profile supports that read: Varaždin average 2.2 PPG and Slaven Belupo average 0.2 PPG in the comparable split.

Head-to-Head
Varaždin
5
wins
2
draws
Slaven Belupo
5
wins
67%
BTTS
8/12
100%
OVER 0.5
12/12
75%
OVER 1.5
9/12
58%
OVER 2.5
7/12

Key Statistics

  • Avg. Goals

    Well below avg

    2.00

    League 3.12

  • Over 2.5 Goals

    Well below avg

    40%

    League 63%

  • Both Teams Score

    Well below avg

    20%

    League 55%

  • Cards

    Average

    3.80

    League 4.10

  • Corners

    Average

    8.80

    League 9.53

Based on 49 completed matches this season.

Corner volume is the clearest signal here. Varaždin average 10.4 corners in this split, compared with the league benchmark of 9.53, which points to sustained attacking territory.

Over / Under

  • 0.5

    1+ gol

    OVER
    90%
    UNDER
    10%

  • 1.5

    2+ gol

    OVER
    75%
    UNDER
    25%

  • 2.5

    3+ gol

    OVER
    55%
    UNDER
    45%

  • 3.5

    4+ gol

    OVER
    35%
    UNDER
    65%

Based on the whole season for both teams combined

The recent scoring sample is stronger for Over 0.5 at 90% across the last 10 relevant matches. That makes the goal market a top pick for this match.

Team Performance

Varaždin

Home

LWDDD
VS

Slaven Belupo

Away

LWDLW

Points & Results

  • 1.80
    PPG
    1.00
  • 50%
    Wins
    30%
  • 60%
    First to Score
    20%

Goals Scored & Conceded

  • 1.40
    Scored/game
    1.20
  • 0.80
    Conceded/game
    2.20
  • 1.48
    xG
    1.41
  • 1.54
    xGA
    1.93

Trends

  • 40%
    Both Score
    50%
  • 50%
    Clean Sheet
    10%

Varaždin vs Slaven Belupo: Statistics and Analysis - HNL League 2026/2027

On this page you can check all the key statistics for Varaždin vs Slaven Belupo - goals, corners, form, trends, head-to-head record and more.

This HNL League match will be played on 24/10/2026 (Saturday) at 17:00.

The venue is Stadion Anđelko Herjavec.

The fixture is part of game week 11th of the HNL League season. Varaždin currently sits in position 3rd of the HNL League table. Slaven Belupo occupies position 8th.

Stat Probabilities for Varaždin vs Slaven Belupo

Our projection system combines both teams' numbers into percentage chances for the key statistical markets in this match:

Both teams to score: our projection puts the chance of both teams scoring in Varaždin vs Slaven Belupo at 20%.

Over 2.5 goals: the combined stats for Varaždin and Slaven Belupo point to a 40% chance of over 2.5 goals in this match.

For our tips built on these numbers, see the Varaždin vs Slaven Belupo prediction page.

Who is the favorite in Varaždin vs Slaven Belupo?

According to the latest match odds, Varaždin is the favorite at 1.78 an implied probability of about 56.18%. The full 1X2 market has Varaždin at 1.78, the draw at 4.348, and Slaven Belupo at 5.

Overall performance in the HNL League

Varaždin's record so far reads 5W-3D-2L from 10 played a win rate of 50% at 1.8 points per game.

Slaven Belupo stands at 3W-1D-6L from 10 played, winning 30% of their matches at 1 points per game.

In their last five, Varaždin has gone 1W-3D-1L, averaging 1.2 points per game.

Slaven Belupo's last five read 2W-1D-2L, at 1.4 points per game.

At home, Varaždin has a 60% win rate (3W-2D-0L from 5 played).

On the road, Slaven Belupo has won 0% of their matches (0W-1D-4L from 5 played).

Goal statistics for Varaždin vs Slaven Belupo

In attack, Varaždin averages 1.4 goals scored per game in the HNL League (14 in total), while conceding 0.8 per game (8 in total).

Slaven Belupo averages 1.2 goals scored per game (12 in total) and 2.2 conceded per game (22 in total).

Varaždin's top scorer this season is Ivan Mamut, with 9 goals.

For Slaven Belupo, Josip Mitrović leads the scoring charts with 8 goals this season.

Varaždin's main creator is Aleksa Latković, with 6 assists.

Ante Šuto tops the Slaven Belupo assist chart with 6.

More detail - goals home and away, expected goals and first-to-score rates - is in the tables above.

Head-to-head: Varaždin vs Slaven Belupo

Varaždin and Slaven Belupo have met 12 times in recent years. The record:

  • Varaždin wins: 5

  • Draws: 2

  • Slaven Belupo wins: 5

Frequently asked questions about Varaždin vs Slaven Belupo

When is Varaždin vs Slaven Belupo?

The match will be played on 24/10/2026 (Saturday) at 17:00.

What is the head-to-head record between Varaždin and Slaven Belupo?

Across their last 12 meetings the record is 5-2-5 (Varaždin wins – draws – Slaven Belupo wins).

What was the last match between Varaždin and Slaven Belupo?

The two sides last met on 09/08/2026, and the result was Slaven Belupo 1 vs 4 Varaždin. Full details: Varaždin vs Slaven Belupo, 09/08/2026.

Who is the favorite in Varaždin vs Slaven Belupo?

Varaždin is the favorite at odds of 1.78, an implied probability of about 56.18%. Varaždin is priced at 1.78, the draw at 4.348 and Slaven Belupo at 5.

Where can I find a Varaždin vs Slaven Belupo prediction?

You can find our full prediction, including in-depth analysis on the Varaždin vs Slaven Belupo prediction page.

Where can I find Varaždin vs Slaven Belupo stats?

All key statistics for Varaždin vs Slaven Belupo are on this page, updated in real time.

Where can I watch Varaždin vs Slaven Belupo?

Live streaming information is available on our Varaždin vs Slaven Belupo stream page.