Barranquilla vs Real Cartagena

Colombia - Categoría Primera B

v.s

24 Oct 2026 16:30

Real Cartagena are creating the better shooting profile with average 4.76 overall shots and 1.64 xG. Their season scoring average is 1.59 goals per game, so the next major chance is likely to come from their side.

Result Probability

16%
Barranquilla to win
24%
Draw
60%
Real Cartagena to win

The result market leans toward Real Cartagena at 64%. The points profile supports that read: Barranquilla average 1.35 PPG and Real Cartagena average 1.39 PPG in the comparable split.

Barranquilla
1
wins
6
draws
Real Cartagena
5
wins
33%
BTTS
4/12
67%
OVER 0.5
8/12
67%
OVER 1.5
8/12
67%
OVER 2.5
8/12

Key Statistics

  • Avg. Goals

    Above average

    2.65

    League 2.19

  • Over 2.5 Goals

    Well above avg

    50%

    League 38%

  • Both Teams Score

    Above average

    57%

    League 48%

  • Cards

    Average

    1.52

    League 1.63

  • Corners

    Average

    9.54

    League 9.15

Corner volume is the clearest signal here. Barranquilla average 9.12 corners in this split, compared with the league benchmark of 9.15, which points to sustained attacking territory.

Over / Under

  • 0.5

    1+ gol

    OVER
    95%
    UNDER
    5%
  • 1.5

    2+ gol

    OVER
    80%
    UNDER
    20%
  • 2.5

    3+ gol

    OVER
    60%
    UNDER
    40%
  • 3.5

    4+ gol

    OVER
    30%
    UNDER
    70%

The recent scoring sample is stronger for Over 0.5 at 95% across the last 10 relevant matches. That makes the goal market a top pick for this match.

Team Performance

Barranquilla

Home

LDWDL
VS

Real Cartagena

Away

WDDLD

Points & Results

  • 1.11
    PPG
    1.62
  • 29%
    Wins
    43%
  • 43%
    First to Score
    46%

Goals Scored & Conceded

  • 1.23
    Scored/game
    1.59
  • 1.34
    Conceded/game
    1.14
  • 1.45
    xG
    1.64
  • 1.50
    xGA
    1.37

Trends

  • 54%
    Both Score
    59%
  • 20%
    Clean Sheet
    30%

Barranquilla vs Real Cartagena: Statistics and Analysis - Categoría Primera B 2026

On this page you can check all the key statistics for Barranquilla vs Real Cartagena - goals, corners, form, trends, head-to-head record and more.

This Categoría Primera B match will be played on 24/10/2026 (Saturday) at 21:30.

The fixture is part of game week 15th of the Categoría Primera B season. Barranquilla currently sits in position 3rd of the Categoría Primera B table. Real Cartagena occupies position 1st.

Stat Probabilities for Barranquilla vs Real Cartagena

Our projection system combines both teams' numbers into percentage chances for the key statistical markets in this match:

Both teams to score: our projection puts the chance of both teams scoring in Barranquilla vs Real Cartagena at 57%.

Over 2.5 goals: the combined stats for Barranquilla and Real Cartagena point to a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals in this match.

For our tips built on these numbers, see the Barranquilla vs Real Cartagena prediction page.

Who is the favorite in Barranquilla vs Real Cartagena?

According to the latest match odds, Real Cartagena is the favorite at 1.64 an implied probability of about 60.98%. The full 1X2 market has Barranquilla at 6.41, the draw at 4.58, and Real Cartagena at 1.64.

Overall performance in the Categoría Primera B

Barranquilla's record so far reads 10W-9D-16L from 35 played a win rate of 29% at 1.11 points per game.

Real Cartagena stands at 16W-12D-9L from 37 played, winning 43% of their matches at 1.62 points per game.

In their last five, Barranquilla has gone 1W-2D-2L, averaging 1 points per game.

Real Cartagena's last five read 1W-3D-1L, at 1.2 points per game.

At home, Barranquilla has a 35% win rate (6W-5D-6L from 17 played).

On the road, Real Cartagena has won 28% of their matches (5W-10D-3L from 18 played).

Goal statistics for Barranquilla vs Real Cartagena

In attack, Barranquilla averages 1.23 goals scored per game in the Categoría Primera B (43 in total), while conceding 1.34 per game (47 in total).

Real Cartagena averages 1.59 goals scored per game (59 in total) and 1.14 conceded per game (42 in total).

Barranquilla's top scorer this season is Cristian David Peñate Mercado, with 2 goals.

For Real Cartagena, Fredy Montero leads the scoring charts with 8 goals this season.

Jarlan Barrera tops the Real Cartagena assist chart with 3.

More detail - goals home and away, expected goals and first-to-score rates - is in the tables above.

Head-to-head: Barranquilla vs Real Cartagena

Barranquilla and Real Cartagena have met 12 times in recent years. The record:

  • Barranquilla wins: 1

  • Draws: 6

  • Real Cartagena wins: 5

Frequently asked questions about Barranquilla vs Real Cartagena

When is Barranquilla vs Real Cartagena?

The match will be played on 24/10/2026 (Saturday) at 21:30.

What is the head-to-head record between Barranquilla and Real Cartagena?

Across their last 12 meetings the record is 1-6-5 (Barranquilla wins – draws – Real Cartagena wins).

What was the last match between Barranquilla and Real Cartagena?

The two sides last met on 22/05/2026, and the result was Real Cartagena 2 vs 1 Barranquilla. Full details: Barranquilla vs Real Cartagena, 22/05/2026.

Who is the favorite in Barranquilla vs Real Cartagena?

Real Cartagena is the favorite at odds of 1.64, an implied probability of about 60.98%. Barranquilla is priced at 6.41, the draw at 4.58 and Real Cartagena at 1.64.

Where can I find a Barranquilla vs Real Cartagena prediction?

You can find our full prediction, including in-depth analysis on the Barranquilla vs Real Cartagena prediction page.

Where can I find Barranquilla vs Real Cartagena stats?

All key statistics for Barranquilla vs Real Cartagena are on this page, updated in real time.

Where can I watch Barranquilla vs Real Cartagena?

Live streaming information is available on our Barranquilla vs Real Cartagena stream page.