28.04.2024 - 19:00
Stadium : Orange Vélodrome (Marseille)
Finished
Olympique Marseille vs Lens happens on the 28th of April at 19:00 and we have prepared a betting tip for this match in the France Ligue 1. APWin’s team of analysts has analysed the qualitative and quantitative data and come up with the prediction for Olympique Marseille vs Lens. If you decide to follow our betting tip, good luck! And remember, if you are looking for more betting tips, we have you covered!
🔥 Olympique Marseille hasn’t won in its last 5 matches
🔥 Olympique Marseille has conceded at least a goal in its last 5 matches
🔥 Olympique Marseille has conceded at least a goal in its last 3 matches against Lens
🔥 Lens has won the last 3 matches against Olympique Marseille
🔥 Olympique Marseille and Lens average 2.3 goals scored per match
Olympique Marseille | Lens | |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Standings | 6 |
| 1.5 | Goal Scored | 1.3 |
| 1.23 | Goals Conceded | 1.07 |
| 47% | % Over 2.5 | 43% |
| 53% | % BTTS | 43% |
| 1.56 | xG | 1.57 |
| 1.2 | xGA | 1.25 |
Olympique Marseille | Lens | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Standings | 9 |
| 1.73 | Goal Scored | 1.07 |
| 0.73 | Goals Conceded | 1.07 |
| 47% | % Over 2.5 | 43% |
| 47% | % BTTS | 33% |
| 1.65 | xG | 1.38 |
| 1.03 | xGA | 1.3 |
The home team is the 3rd best attack in the Ligue 1. Olympique Marseille has found the back of the opposition’s net 45 times in the 30 times it entered the pitch so far this season, which averages 1.5 goals scored per match.
Only time will tell, but so far, Lens has averaged 1.3 goals scored per match in this season of the Ligue 1. The team has gotten 39 goals in 30 matches so far this season, making it the 7th best attacking team in this competition.
Averaging 1.23 goals conceded per match, Marseille has conceded 37 times in the 30 matches played so far this season of the Ligue 1. This makes this match’s home team the 7th defence in the competition.
With 32 goals conceded in the 30 matches it played in the Ligue 1, Lens is the 5th best defence in the competition, since it averages 1.07 goals conceded per match.
In the 30 matches it played this season, Olympique Marseille has ended with 3 or more match goals (scored and conceded combined) in 47% of the times, so 14 of those matches.
The Ligue 1 averages 50% of its matches with 3 or more goals scored. Les Sang et Or visits Olympique Marseille having finished 43% of its matches with 3+ goals. Do you think this is worth exploring?
In a BTTS bet, as long as both teams find the back of the net at least once, we will be in profit. In 53% of matches the home team has taken part in this season, it has both scored and conceded in the same match. Is there maybe an opportunity for BTTS on OM?
If we look at Lens’s statistics so far this season in the BTTS market we will see that our of all the matches it has played in the competition, that 43% of them have ended with a BTTS.
It is no question that Olympique Marseille’s attack has raised some eyebrows so far this season, and no surprise as well that the home team arrives to this match with 1.56 expected goals per match in the Ligue 1.
Only once the match ends can we come up with our conclusions, but before it starts we can definitely look at the away team’s 1.57 expected goals on average per match and take that into account before placing a bet.
A low xGA is a good measure of a team’s defensive capabilities, since it means that it gives the opposing team very little goal scoring chances throughout a match. Olympique Marseille gets to this event with 1.2 expected goals against, so we will see how their performance reflects just that.
Lens is a team where not everything is working perfectly. The team gets to this match with 1.07 goals conceded on average, against 1.25 xGA. What kind of defensive performance will we see today?
If you are looking for the prediction for Olympique Marseille vs Lens, we have got your back. We have already gone over all of the statistical points that we think are relevant for this match, and now comes the moment of the truth - the betting tips.
APWin’s team of analysts has gone over the statistics of both teams so far in the competition, we have gone over what has been happening around the Ligue 1 and out of the pitch on both teams and their stars and are pretty confident with our preview for this match.
As such, you can find below our betting tip for the match Olympique Marseille vs Lens, for the matchday 31 of the Ligue 1, taking place on the 28th of April at 19:00.
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