Montedio Yamagata vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki

Japan - J2 League

Tegevajaro Miyazaki are creating the better shooting profile with average 4.17 overall shots and 1.53 xG. Their season scoring average is 1.42 goals per game, so the next major chance is likely to come from their side.

Result Probability

29%
Montedio Yamagata to win
29%
Draw
42%
Tegevajaro Miyazaki to win

The result market leans toward Tegevajaro Miyazaki at 45%. The points profile supports that read: Montedio Yamagata average 1.29 PPG and Tegevajaro Miyazaki average 1 PPG in the comparable split.

Key Statistics

  • Avg. Goals

    Average

    2.50

    League 2.60

  • Over 2.5 Goals

    Well below avg

    27%

    League 49%

  • Both Teams Score

    Well below avg

    37%

    League 53%

  • Cards

    Well below avg

    1.37

    League 2.68

  • Corners

    Below average

    8.46

    League 9.93

Corner volume is the clearest signal here. Montedio Yamagata average 9.29 corners in this split, compared with the league benchmark of 9.93, which points to sustained attacking territory.

Over / Under

  • 0.5

    1+ gol

    OVER
    90%
    UNDER
    10%
  • 1.5

    2+ gol

    OVER
    80%
    UNDER
    20%
  • 2.5

    3+ gol

    OVER
    40%
    UNDER
    60%
  • 3.5

    4+ gol

    OVER
    15%
    UNDER
    85%

The recent scoring sample is stronger for Over 0.5 at 90% across the last 10 relevant matches. That makes the goal market a top pick for this match.

Team Performance

Montedio Yamagata

Home

LDLLW
VS

Tegevajaro Miyazaki

Away

WDDDW

Points & Results

  • 1.08
    PPG
    1.42
  • 33%
    Wins
    33%
  • 33%
    First to Score
    50%

Goals Scored & Conceded

  • 0.92
    Scored/game
    1.42
  • 0.92
    Conceded/game
    1.33
  • 1.57
    xG
    1.53
  • 1.62
    xGA
    1.42

Trends

  • 17%
    Both Score
    67%
  • 42%
    Clean Sheet
    17%

Montedio Yamagata vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki: Statistics and Analysis - J2 League 2026

On this page you can check all the key statistics for Montedio Yamagata vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki - goals, corners, form, trends, head-to-head record and more.

This J2 League match will be played on 25/10/2026 (Sunday) at 05:00.

The venue is ND Soft Stadium Yamagata.

The fixture is part of game week 13th of the J2 League season. Montedio Yamagata currently sits in position 16th of the J2 League table. Tegevajaro Miyazaki occupies position 8th.

Stat Probabilities for Montedio Yamagata vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki

Our projection system combines both teams' numbers into percentage chances for the key statistical markets in this match:

Both teams to score: our projection puts the chance of both teams scoring in Montedio Yamagata vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki at 37%.

Over 2.5 goals: the combined stats for Montedio Yamagata and Tegevajaro Miyazaki point to a 27% chance of over 2.5 goals in this match.

For our tips built on these numbers, see the Montedio Yamagata vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki prediction page.

Who is the favorite in Montedio Yamagata vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki?

According to the latest match odds, Tegevajaro Miyazaki is the favorite at 2.4 an implied probability of about 41.67%. The full 1X2 market has Montedio Yamagata at 3.448, the draw at 3.571, and Tegevajaro Miyazaki at 2.4.

Overall performance in the J2 League

Montedio Yamagata's record so far reads 4W-1D-7L from 12 played a win rate of 33% at 1.08 points per game.

Tegevajaro Miyazaki stands at 4W-5D-3L from 12 played, winning 33% of their matches at 1.42 points per game.

In their last five, Montedio Yamagata has gone 1W-1D-3L, averaging 0.8 points per game.

Tegevajaro Miyazaki's last five read 2W-3D-0L, at 1.8 points per game.

At home, Montedio Yamagata has a 43% win rate (3W-0D-4L from 7 played).

On the road, Tegevajaro Miyazaki has won 20% of their matches (1W-2D-2L from 5 played).

Goal statistics for Montedio Yamagata vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki

In attack, Montedio Yamagata averages 0.92 goals scored per game in the J2 League (11 in total), while conceding 0.92 per game (11 in total).

Tegevajaro Miyazaki averages 1.42 goals scored per game (17 in total) and 1.33 conceded per game (16 in total).

Montedio Yamagata's top scorer this season is Junya Takahashi, with 5 goals.

For Tegevajaro Miyazaki, Koji Okumura leads the scoring charts with 6 goals this season.

Montedio Yamagata's main creator is Shoma Doi, with 2 assists.

Keigo Hashimoto tops the Tegevajaro Miyazaki assist chart with 3.

More detail - goals home and away, expected goals and first-to-score rates - is in the tables above.

Frequently asked questions about Montedio Yamagata vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki

When is Montedio Yamagata vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki?

The match will be played on 25/10/2026 (Sunday) at 05:00.

Who is the favorite in Montedio Yamagata vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki?

Tegevajaro Miyazaki is the favorite at odds of 2.4, an implied probability of about 41.67%. Montedio Yamagata is priced at 3.448, the draw at 3.571 and Tegevajaro Miyazaki at 2.4.

Where can I find a Montedio Yamagata vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki prediction?

You can find our full prediction, including in-depth analysis on the Montedio Yamagata vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki prediction page.

Where can I find Montedio Yamagata vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki stats?

All key statistics for Montedio Yamagata vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki are on this page, updated in real time.

Where can I watch Montedio Yamagata vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki?

Live streaming information is available on our Montedio Yamagata vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki stream page.