MCF vs Equity Bank
Kenya - National Super League
MCF are creating the better shooting profile with average 5.2 overall shots and 1.59 xG. Their season scoring average is 0.55 goals per game, so the next major chance is likely to come from their side.
Key Statistics
Avg. Goals
Below average
1.78League 2.00
Over 2.5 Goals
Well below avg
18%League 31%
Both Teams Score
Above average
39%League 36%
Corners
Average
7.75League 8.15
Corner volume is the clearest signal here. Equity Bank average 10 corners in this split, compared with the league benchmark of 8.15, which points to sustained attacking territory.
Over / Under
0.5
1+ gol
OVER95%UNDER5%1.5
2+ gol
OVER55%UNDER45%2.5
3+ gol
OVER35%UNDER65%3.5
4+ gol
OVER10%UNDER90%
The recent scoring sample is stronger for Over 0.5 at 95% across the last 10 relevant matches. That makes the goal market a top pick for this match.
Team Performance
MCF
Home
Equity Bank
Away
Points & Results
- 0.77PPG1.79
- 18%Wins50%
- 27%First to Score29%
Goals Scored & Conceded
- Scored/game0.551.29
- Conceded/game1.091.04
- xG1.591.32
- xGA2.331.42
Trends
- 32%Both Score54%
- 27%Clean Sheet29%
- 21/03/2026, 12:00National Super LeagueMCF0 - 1LNaivas21/03/2026, 12:00National Super LeagueMCF
0 - 1
NaivasL - 14/03/2026, 12:00National Super LeagueMCF1 - 1DGucha Stars14/03/2026, 12:00National Super LeagueMCF
1 - 1
Gucha StarsD - 08/03/2026, 11:00National Super LeagueLuanda Villa1 - 0LMCF08/03/2026, 11:00National Super LeagueLuanda Villa
1 - 0
MCFL - 01/02/2026, 12:00National Super LeagueGucha Stars2 - 0LMCF01/02/2026, 12:00National Super LeagueGucha Stars
2 - 0
MCFL - 25/01/2026, 13:00National Super LeagueKisumu All Stars2 - 1LMCF25/01/2026, 13:00National Super LeagueKisumu All Stars
2 - 1
MCFL - 17/01/2026, 12:00National Super LeagueMCF1 - 3LVihiga United17/01/2026, 12:00National Super LeagueMCF
1 - 3
Vihiga UnitedL - 09/01/2026, 12:00National Super LeagueTalanta2 - 1LMCF09/01/2026, 12:00National Super LeagueTalanta
2 - 1
MCFL
MCF scored in 4/7 recent form matches and averaged 0.57 goals.
- 22/03/2026, 12:00National Super LeagueKabati Youth FC Youth0 - 1WEquity Bank22/03/2026, 12:00National Super LeagueKabati Youth FC Youth
0 - 1
Equity BankW - 14/03/2026, 12:00National Super LeagueNzoia Sugar0 - 1WEquity Bank14/03/2026, 12:00National Super LeagueNzoia Sugar
0 - 1
Equity BankW - 07/03/2026, 13:00National Super LeagueEquity Bank0 - 3LMombasa United07/03/2026, 13:00National Super LeagueEquity Bank
0 - 3
Mombasa UnitedL - 22/02/2026, 12:00National Super LeagueEquity Bank2 - 1WKibera Black Stars22/02/2026, 12:00National Super LeagueEquity Bank
2 - 1
Kibera Black StarsW - 14/02/2026, 12:00National Super LeagueNaivas1 - 1DEquity Bank14/02/2026, 12:00National Super LeagueNaivas
1 - 1
Equity BankD - 31/01/2026, 12:00National Super LeagueEquity Bank1 - 0WNzoia Sugar31/01/2026, 12:00National Super LeagueEquity Bank
1 - 0
Nzoia SugarW - 24/01/2026, 12:00National Super LeagueTalanta0 - 0DEquity Bank24/01/2026, 12:00National Super LeagueTalanta
0 - 0
Equity BankD
Equity Bank scored in 5/7 recent form matches and averaged 0.86 goals.
Equity Bank is +135% better in terms of Scored/game
Equity Bank is +5% better in terms of Conceded/game
MCF is +20% better in terms of xG
Equity Bank is +64% better in terms of xGA
Equity Bank is +17% better in terms of First-Half Form
MCF is +18% better in terms of Offsides
Equity Bank is +7% better in terms of Corners
Equity Bank is +100% better in terms of Cards
MCF is +30% better in terms of Shots on Target
| # | Form | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Migori Youth FC | 38 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 57 | 29 | +28 | 81 | |
| 2 | 3K | 38 | 23 | 8 | 7 | 62 | 26 | +36 | 77 | |
| 3 | Mombasa United | 38 | 23 | 4 | 11 | 52 | 35 | +17 | 73 | |
| 4 | Equity Bank | 37 | 20 | 11 | 6 | 52 | 28 | +24 | 71 | |
| 5 | MOFA | 37 | 16 | 15 | 6 | 49 | 29 | +20 | 63 | |
| 6 | Fortune Sacco | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 61 | 41 | +20 | 63 | |
| 7 | Naivas | 38 | 17 | 10 | 11 | 47 | 30 | +17 | 61 | |
| 8 | Talanta | 38 | 16 | 9 | 13 | 53 | 41 | +12 | 57 | |
| 9 | Soy United | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 35 | 28 | +7 | 55 | |
| 10 | Kibera Black Stars | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 32 | 33 | -1 | 53 | |
| 11 | Nzoia Sugar | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 37 | 36 | +1 | 50 | |
| 12 | Gucha Stars | 38 | 12 | 8 | 18 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 44 | |
| 13 | Luanda Villa | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 31 | 51 | -20 | 43 | |
| 14 | Kabati Youth FC Youth | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 39 | |
| 15 | Kisumu All Stars | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 23 | 47 | -24 | 39 | |
| 16 | Nairobi City Stars | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 38 | |
| 17 | Modern Coast Rangers | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 18 | MCF | 36 | 9 | 10 | 17 | 24 | 37 | -13 | 37 | |
| 19 | Darajani Gogo | 38 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 26 | 49 | -23 | 37 | |
| 20 | Vihiga United | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 55 | -26 | 36 | |
| 21 | Compel | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 22 | Mwatate United | 38 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 27 | 62 | -35 | 26 | |
| 23 | Mulembe United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 24 | Kabati Youth | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 25 | SamWest Blackboots | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| 26 | Mully Children Family FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
MCF vs Equity Bank: Statistics and Analysis - National Super League 2025/2026
On this page you can check all the key statistics for MCF vs Equity Bank - goals, corners, form, trends, head-to-head record and more.
This National Super League match was played on 25/03/2026 (Wednesday) and finished MCF 0 - 0 Equity Bank.
The fixture is part of game week 22th of the National Super League season. MCF currently sits in position 20th of the National Super League table. Equity Bank occupies position 4th.
Stat Probabilities for MCF vs Equity Bank
Our projection system combines both teams' numbers into percentage chances for the key statistical markets in this match:
Both teams to score: our projection puts the chance of both teams scoring in MCF vs Equity Bank at 39%.
Over 2.5 goals: the combined stats for MCF and Equity Bank point to a 18% chance of over 2.5 goals in this match.
For our tips built on these numbers, see the MCF vs Equity Bank prediction page.
Who is the favorite in MCF vs Equity Bank?
According to the latest match odds, is the favorite at an implied probability of about 0%. The full 1X2 market has MCF at , the draw at , and Equity Bank at .
Overall performance in the National Super League
MCF's record so far reads 4W-5D-13L from 22 played a win rate of 18% at 0.77 points per game.
Equity Bank stands at 12W-7D-5L from 24 played, winning 50% of their matches at 1.79 points per game.
In their last five, MCF has gone 0W-1D-4L, averaging 0.2 points per game.
Equity Bank's last five read 3W-1D-1L, at 2 points per game.
At home, MCF has a 36% win rate (4W-1D-6L from 11 played).
On the road, Equity Bank has won 25% of their matches (3W-6D-3L from 12 played).
Goal statistics for MCF vs Equity Bank
In attack, MCF averages 0.55 goals scored per game in the National Super League (12 in total), while conceding 1.09 per game (24 in total).
Equity Bank averages 1.29 goals scored per game (31 in total) and 1.04 conceded per game (25 in total).
More detail - goals home and away, expected goals and first-to-score rates - is in the tables above.
Frequently asked questions about MCF vs Equity Bank
When was MCF vs Equity Bank played?
The match was played on 25/03/2026 (Wednesday) and finished MCF 0 - 0 Equity Bank.
What was the last match between MCF and Equity Bank?
The two sides last met on 29/11/2025, and the result was Equity Bank 3 vs 1 MCF. Full details: MCF vs Equity Bank, 29/11/2025.
Who is the favorite in MCF vs Equity Bank?
is the favorite at odds of , an implied probability of about 0%. MCF is priced at , the draw at and Equity Bank at .
Where can I find MCF vs Equity Bank stats?
All key statistics for MCF vs Equity Bank are on this page, updated in real time.