Legia Warszawa vs Lech Poznań

Poland - Ekstraklasa

v.s

25 Oct 2026 12:30

Lech Poznań are creating the better shooting profile with average 6.3 overall shots and 1.98 xG. Their season scoring average is 2.7 goals per game, so the next major chance is likely to come from their side.

Result Probability

35%
Legia Warszawa to win
27%
Draw
38%
Lech Poznań to win

The result market leans toward Lech Poznań at 40%. The points profile supports that read: Legia Warszawa average 2.2 PPG and Lech Poznań average 2.25 PPG in the comparable split.

Legia Warszawa
2
wins
6
draws
Lech Poznań
4
wins
42%
BTTS
5/12
67%
OVER 0.5
8/12
50%
OVER 1.5
6/12
42%
OVER 2.5
5/12

Key Statistics

  • Avg. Goals

    Above average

    3.50

    League 2.96

  • Over 2.5 Goals

    Above average

    70%

    League 60%

  • Both Teams Score

    Above average

    80%

    League 65%

  • Cards

    Below average

    3.05

    League 3.82

  • Corners

    Above average

    12.00

    League 9.95

Corner volume is the clearest signal here. Lech Poznań average 10.75 corners in this split, compared with the league benchmark of 9.95, which points to sustained attacking territory.

Over / Under

  • 0.5

    1+ gol

    OVER
    95%
    UNDER
    5%
  • 1.5

    2+ gol

    OVER
    90%
    UNDER
    10%
  • 2.5

    3+ gol

    OVER
    60%
    UNDER
    40%
  • 3.5

    4+ gol

    OVER
    40%
    UNDER
    60%

The recent scoring sample is stronger for Over 0.5 at 95% across the last 10 relevant matches. That makes the goal market a top pick for this match.

Team Performance

Legia Warszawa

Home

DWWDW
VS

Lech Poznań

Away

WWWLW

Points & Results

  • 2.09
    PPG
    2.50
  • 55%
    Wins
    80%
  • 82%
    First to Score
    80%

Goals Scored & Conceded

  • 2.00
    Scored/game
    2.70
  • 0.82
    Conceded/game
    0.90
  • 1.72
    xG
    1.98
  • 1.47
    xGA
    1.24

Trends

  • 73%
    Both Score
    70%
  • 27%
    Clean Sheet
    30%

Legia Warszawa vs Lech Poznań: Statistics and Analysis - Ekstraklasa 2026/2027

On this page you can check all the key statistics for Legia Warszawa vs Lech Poznań - goals, corners, form, trends, head-to-head record and more.

This Ekstraklasa match will be played on 25/10/2026 (Sunday) at 16:30.

The venue is Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszałka Józefa Piłsudskiego.

The fixture is part of game week 12th of the Ekstraklasa season. Legia Warszawa currently sits in position 3rd of the Ekstraklasa table. Lech Poznań occupies position 2nd.

Stat Probabilities for Legia Warszawa vs Lech Poznań

Our projection system combines both teams' numbers into percentage chances for the key statistical markets in this match:

Both teams to score: our projection puts the chance of both teams scoring in Legia Warszawa vs Lech Poznań at 80%.

Over 2.5 goals: the combined stats for Legia Warszawa and Lech Poznań point to a 70% chance of over 2.5 goals in this match.

Lech Poznań over 1.5 goals scored: the numbers give Lech Poznań a 75% chance of scoring 2 or more goals.

Lech Poznań over 4.5 corners: Lech Poznań has taken 5 or more corners in 80% of their matches in the competition.

For our tips built on these numbers, see the Legia Warszawa vs Lech Poznań prediction page.

Who is the favorite in Legia Warszawa vs Lech Poznań?

According to the latest match odds, Lech Poznań is the favorite at 2.632 an implied probability of about 37.99%. The full 1X2 market has Legia Warszawa at 2.899, the draw at 3.704, and Lech Poznań at 2.632.

Overall performance in the Ekstraklasa

Legia Warszawa's record so far reads 6W-5D-0L from 11 played a win rate of 55% at 2.09 points per game.

Lech Poznań stands at 8W-1D-1L from 10 played, winning 80% of their matches at 2.5 points per game.

In their last five, Legia Warszawa has gone 3W-2D-0L, averaging 2.2 points per game.

Lech Poznań's last five read 4W-0D-1L, at 2.4 points per game.

At home, Legia Warszawa has a 60% win rate (3W-2D-0L from 5 played).

On the road, Lech Poznań has won 75% of their matches (3W-0D-1L from 4 played).

Goal statistics for Legia Warszawa vs Lech Poznań

In attack, Legia Warszawa averages 2 goals scored per game in the Ekstraklasa (22 in total), while conceding 0.82 per game (9 in total).

Lech Poznań averages 2.7 goals scored per game (27 in total) and 0.9 conceded per game (9 in total).

Legia Warszawa's top scorer this season is Mileta Rajovic, with 6 goals.

For Lech Poznań, Mikael Ishak leads the scoring charts with 16 goals this season.

Legia Warszawa's main creator is Paweł Wszołek, with 6 assists.

Luis Enrique Palma Oseguera tops the Lech Poznań assist chart with 6.

More detail - goals home and away, expected goals and first-to-score rates - is in the tables above.

Head-to-head: Legia Warszawa vs Lech Poznań

Legia Warszawa and Lech Poznań have met 12 times in recent years. The record:

  • Legia Warszawa wins: 2

  • Draws: 6

  • Lech Poznań wins: 4

Frequently asked questions about Legia Warszawa vs Lech Poznań

When is Legia Warszawa vs Lech Poznań?

The match will be played on 25/10/2026 (Sunday) at 16:30.

What is the head-to-head record between Legia Warszawa and Lech Poznań?

Across their last 12 meetings the record is 2-6-4 (Legia Warszawa wins – draws – Lech Poznań wins).

What was the last match between Legia Warszawa and Lech Poznań?

The two sides last met on 26/04/2026, and the result was Lech Poznań 4 vs 0 Legia Warszawa. Full details: Legia Warszawa vs Lech Poznań, 26/04/2026.

Who is the favorite in Legia Warszawa vs Lech Poznań?

Lech Poznań is the favorite at odds of 2.632, an implied probability of about 37.99%. Legia Warszawa is priced at 2.899, the draw at 3.704 and Lech Poznań at 2.632.

Where can I find a Legia Warszawa vs Lech Poznań prediction?

You can find our full prediction, including in-depth analysis on the Legia Warszawa vs Lech Poznań prediction page.

Where can I find Legia Warszawa vs Lech Poznań stats?

All key statistics for Legia Warszawa vs Lech Poznań are on this page, updated in real time.

Where can I watch Legia Warszawa vs Lech Poznań?

Live streaming information is available on our Legia Warszawa vs Lech Poznań stream page.