Incheon United vs Jeju United

South Korea - K-League 1

v.s

24 Oct 2026 01:00

Jeju United are creating the better shooting profile with average 4.16 overall shots and 1.5 xG. Their season scoring average is 1.19 goals per game, so the next major chance is likely to come from their side.

Result Probability

41%
Incheon United to win
30%
Draw
29%
Jeju United to win

The result market leans toward Incheon United at 44%. The points profile supports that read: Incheon United average 1.38 PPG and Jeju United average 1.6 PPG in the comparable split.

Incheon United
6
wins
1
draws
Jeju United
5
wins
42%
BTTS
5/12
100%
OVER 0.5
12/12
50%
OVER 1.5
6/12
42%
OVER 2.5
5/12

Key Statistics

  • Avg. Goals

    Average

    2.33

    League 2.49

  • Over 2.5 Goals

    Average

    46%

    League 46%

  • Both Teams Score

    Average

    58%

    League 54%

  • Cards

    Below average

    3.25

    League 3.95

  • Corners

    Average

    8.18

    League 8.61

Corner volume is the clearest signal here. Jeju United average 8.86 corners in this split, compared with the league benchmark of 8.61, which points to sustained attacking territory.

Over / Under

  • 0.5

    1+ gol

    OVER
    85%
    UNDER
    15%
  • 1.5

    2+ gol

    OVER
    65%
    UNDER
    35%
  • 2.5

    3+ gol

    OVER
    45%
    UNDER
    55%
  • 3.5

    4+ gol

    OVER
    15%
    UNDER
    85%

The recent scoring sample is stronger for Over 0.5 at 85% across the last 10 relevant matches. That makes the goal market a top pick for this match.

Team Performance

Incheon United

Home

DWDDL
VS

Jeju United

Away

LLWDW

Points & Results

  • 1.34
    PPG
    1.44
  • 34%
    Wins
    38%
  • 53%
    First to Score
    44%

Goals Scored & Conceded

  • 1.25
    Scored/game
    1.19
  • 1.06
    Conceded/game
    1.06
  • 1.39
    xG
    1.50
  • 1.31
    xGA
    1.47

Trends

  • 56%
    Both Score
    56%
  • 28%
    Clean Sheet
    34%

Incheon United vs Jeju United: Statistics and Analysis - K-League 1 2026

On this page you can check all the key statistics for Incheon United vs Jeju United - goals, corners, form, trends, head-to-head record and more.

This K-League 1 match will be played on 24/10/2026 (Saturday) at 06:00.

The venue is Sungui Arena Park.

The fixture is part of game week 33th of the K-League 1 season. Incheon United currently sits in position 7th of the K-League 1 table. Jeju United occupies position 6th.

Stat Probabilities for Incheon United vs Jeju United

Our projection system combines both teams' numbers into percentage chances for the key statistical markets in this match:

Both teams to score: our projection puts the chance of both teams scoring in Incheon United vs Jeju United at 58%.

Over 2.5 goals: the combined stats for Incheon United and Jeju United point to a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals in this match.

For our tips built on these numbers, see the Incheon United vs Jeju United prediction page.

Who is the favorite in Incheon United vs Jeju United?

According to the latest match odds, Incheon United is the favorite at 2.45 an implied probability of about 40.82%. The full 1X2 market has Incheon United at 2.45, the draw at 3.46, and Jeju United at 3.448.

Overall performance in the K-League 1

Incheon United's record so far reads 11W-10D-11L from 32 played a win rate of 34% at 1.34 points per game.

Jeju United stands at 12W-10D-10L from 32 played, winning 38% of their matches at 1.44 points per game.

In their last five, Incheon United has gone 1W-3D-1L, averaging 1.2 points per game.

Jeju United's last five read 2W-1D-2L, at 1.4 points per game.

At home, Incheon United has a 38% win rate (6W-4D-6L from 16 played).

On the road, Jeju United has won 47% of their matches (7W-3D-5L from 15 played).

Goal statistics for Incheon United vs Jeju United

In attack, Incheon United averages 1.25 goals scored per game in the K-League 1 (40 in total), while conceding 1.06 per game (34 in total).

Jeju United averages 1.19 goals scored per game (38 in total) and 1.06 conceded per game (34 in total).

Incheon United's top scorer this season is Stefan Mugoša, with 13 goals.

For Jeju United, Emerson Ramon Bezerra Oliveira leads the scoring charts with 8 goals this season.

Incheon United's main creator is Ju-yong Lee, with 4 assists.

Emerson Ramon Bezerra Oliveira tops the Jeju United assist chart with 4.

More detail - goals home and away, expected goals and first-to-score rates - is in the tables above.

Head-to-head: Incheon United vs Jeju United

Incheon United and Jeju United have met 12 times in recent years. The record:

  • Incheon United wins: 6

  • Draws: 1

  • Jeju United wins: 5

Frequently asked questions about Incheon United vs Jeju United

When is Incheon United vs Jeju United?

The match will be played on 24/10/2026 (Saturday) at 06:00.

What is the head-to-head record between Incheon United and Jeju United?

Across their last 12 meetings the record is 6-1-5 (Incheon United wins – draws – Jeju United wins).

What was the last match between Incheon United and Jeju United?

The two sides last met on 02/08/2026, and the result was Jeju United 3 vs 3 Incheon United. Full details: Incheon United vs Jeju United, 02/08/2026.

Who is the favorite in Incheon United vs Jeju United?

Incheon United is the favorite at odds of 2.45, an implied probability of about 40.82%. Incheon United is priced at 2.45, the draw at 3.46 and Jeju United at 3.448.

Where can I find a Incheon United vs Jeju United prediction?

You can find our full prediction, including in-depth analysis on the Incheon United vs Jeju United prediction page.

Where can I find Incheon United vs Jeju United stats?

All key statistics for Incheon United vs Jeju United are on this page, updated in real time.

Where can I watch Incheon United vs Jeju United?

Live streaming information is available on our Incheon United vs Jeju United stream page.