Heilongjiang Lava Spring vs Yanbian Longding

China - China League One

Heilongjiang Lava Spring
Heilongjiang Lava Spring

v.s

25 Oct 2026 07:30

Yanbian Longding
Yanbian Longding

Heilongjiang Lava Spring are creating the better shooting profile with average 4.07 overall shots and 1.33 xG. Their season scoring average is 1.41 goals per game, so the next major chance is likely to come from their side.

Result Probability

36%
Heilongjiang Lava Spring to win
30%
Draw
34%
Yanbian Longding to win

The result market leans toward Heilongjiang Lava Spring at 40%. The points profile supports that read: Heilongjiang Lava Spring average 0.92 PPG and Yanbian Longding average 1.38 PPG in the comparable split.

Head-to-Head
Heilongjiang Lava Spring
1
wins
2
draws
Yanbian Longding
4
wins
57%
BTTS
4/7
100%
OVER 0.5
7/7
86%
OVER 1.5
6/7
57%
OVER 2.5
4/7

Key Statistics

  • Avg. Goals

    Average

    2.85

    League 2.65

  • Over 2.5 Goals

    Average

    50%

    League 50%

  • Both Teams Score

    Above average

    66%

    League 54%

  • Cards

    Average

    3.84

    League 3.77

  • Corners

    Average

    8.77

    League 9.51

Based on 216 completed matches this season.

Corner volume is the clearest signal here. Heilongjiang Lava Spring average 11.84 corners in this split, compared with the league benchmark of 9.51, which points to sustained attacking territory.

Over / Under

  • 0.5

    1+ gol

    OVER
    95%
    UNDER
    5%

  • 1.5

    2+ gol

    OVER
    80%
    UNDER
    20%

  • 2.5

    3+ gol

    OVER
    55%
    UNDER
    45%

  • 3.5

    4+ gol

    OVER
    30%
    UNDER
    70%

Based on the whole season for both teams combined

The recent scoring sample is stronger for Over 0.5 at 95% across the last 10 relevant matches. That makes the goal market a top pick for this match.

Team Performance

Heilongjiang Lava Spring

Home

WLDDL
VS

Yanbian Longding

Away

WLDLL

Points & Results

  • 1.00
    PPG
    1.44
  • 19%
    Wins
    37%
  • 41%
    First to Score
    44%

Goals Scored & Conceded

  • 1.41
    Scored/game
    1.44
  • 1.81
    Conceded/game
    1.07
  • 1.33
    xG
    1.23
  • 1.64
    xGA
    1.24

Trends

  • 78%
    Both Score
    52%
  • 11%
    Clean Sheet
    30%

Heilongjiang Lava Spring vs Yanbian Longding: Statistics and Analysis - China League One 2026

On this page you can check all the key statistics for Heilongjiang Lava Spring vs Yanbian Longding - goals, corners, form, trends, head-to-head record and more.

This China League One match will be played on 25/10/2026 (Sunday) at 11:30.

The venue is Changzhou Olympic Sports Center.

The fixture is part of game week 28th of the China League One season. Heilongjiang Lava Spring currently sits in position 13th of the China League One table. Yanbian Longding occupies position 6th.

Stat Probabilities for Heilongjiang Lava Spring vs Yanbian Longding

Our projection system combines both teams' numbers into percentage chances for the key statistical markets in this match:

Both teams to score: our projection puts the chance of both teams scoring in Heilongjiang Lava Spring vs Yanbian Longding at 66%.

Over 2.5 goals: the combined stats for Heilongjiang Lava Spring and Yanbian Longding point to a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals in this match.

For our tips built on these numbers, see the Heilongjiang Lava Spring vs Yanbian Longding prediction page.

Who is the favorite in Heilongjiang Lava Spring vs Yanbian Longding?

According to the latest match odds, Heilongjiang Lava Spring is the favorite at 2.7 an implied probability of about 37.04%. The full 1X2 market has Heilongjiang Lava Spring at 2.7, the draw at 3.509, and Yanbian Longding at 3.03.

Overall performance in the China League One

Heilongjiang Lava Spring's record so far reads 5W-12D-10L from 27 played a win rate of 19% at 1 points per game.

Yanbian Longding stands at 10W-9D-8L from 27 played, winning 37% of their matches at 1.44 points per game.

In their last five, Heilongjiang Lava Spring has gone 1W-2D-2L, averaging 1 points per game.

Yanbian Longding's last five read 1W-1D-3L, at 0.8 points per game.

At home, Heilongjiang Lava Spring has a 15% win rate (2W-6D-5L from 13 played).

On the road, Yanbian Longding has won 38% of their matches (5W-3D-5L from 13 played).

Goal statistics for Heilongjiang Lava Spring vs Yanbian Longding

In attack, Heilongjiang Lava Spring averages 1.41 goals scored per game in the China League One (38 in total), while conceding 1.81 per game (49 in total).

Yanbian Longding averages 1.44 goals scored per game (39 in total) and 1.07 conceded per game (29 in total).

Heilongjiang Lava Spring's top scorer this season is Erikys da Silva Ferreira, with 14 goals.

For Yanbian Longding, Giovanny Bariani Marques leads the scoring charts with 16 goals this season.

Heilongjiang Lava Spring's main creator is Shi Tang, with 4 assists.

Joaquim Alexandre Abreu Domingos tops the Yanbian Longding assist chart with 10.

More detail - goals home and away, expected goals and first-to-score rates - is in the tables above.

Head-to-head: Heilongjiang Lava Spring vs Yanbian Longding

Heilongjiang Lava Spring and Yanbian Longding have met 7 times in recent years. The record:

  • Heilongjiang Lava Spring wins: 1

  • Draws: 2

  • Yanbian Longding wins: 4

Frequently asked questions about Heilongjiang Lava Spring vs Yanbian Longding

When is Heilongjiang Lava Spring vs Yanbian Longding?

The match will be played on 25/10/2026 (Sunday) at 11:30.

What is the head-to-head record between Heilongjiang Lava Spring and Yanbian Longding?

Across their last 7 meetings the record is 1-2-4 (Heilongjiang Lava Spring wins – draws – Yanbian Longding wins).

What was the last match between Heilongjiang Lava Spring and Yanbian Longding?

The two sides last met on 04/07/2026, and the result was Yanbian Longding 3 vs 0 Heilongjiang Lava Spring. Full details: Heilongjiang Lava Spring vs Yanbian Longding, 04/07/2026.

Who is the favorite in Heilongjiang Lava Spring vs Yanbian Longding?

Heilongjiang Lava Spring is the favorite at odds of 2.7, an implied probability of about 37.04%. Heilongjiang Lava Spring is priced at 2.7, the draw at 3.509 and Yanbian Longding at 3.03.

Where can I find a Heilongjiang Lava Spring vs Yanbian Longding prediction?

You can find our full prediction, including in-depth analysis on the Heilongjiang Lava Spring vs Yanbian Longding prediction page.

Where can I find Heilongjiang Lava Spring vs Yanbian Longding stats?

All key statistics for Heilongjiang Lava Spring vs Yanbian Longding are on this page, updated in real time.

Where can I watch Heilongjiang Lava Spring vs Yanbian Longding?

Live streaming information is available on our Heilongjiang Lava Spring vs Yanbian Longding stream page.