Fortaleza and Grêmio face each other on Monday 11.10.2025, at 00:30 (UK Time), in a Brazil Serie A 2025 match. The game will take place at Fortaleza's home ground, the Estádio Governador Plácido Castelo (Arena Castelão).
Our team of analysts has crafted predictions for the clash between Fortaleza and Grêmio, grounded in an in-depth statistical analysis of both sides. We aim to empower bettors with reliable insights, delivering today’s top free betting tip to support smarter, more profitable choices.
APWin predictions for Fortaleza vs Grêmio
With odds already defined by leading bookmakers, our specialists have thoroughly reviewed the key match data. Check out our expert prediction below:
Fortaleza Win
The APWin team has examined the key betting markets and identified the most valuable opportunities.
Fortaleza preview
Fortaleza heads into the match with the following record in the Brazil Serie A: in 31 matches, Fortaleza secured 7 victories, 8 draws, and 16 losses, maintaining an average of 0.94 points per game.
Taking a broader look at Fortaleza's 2025 season, the team has achieved a total of 18 victories so far.
Fortaleza has been effective in the offense, scoring a total of 71 goals, of which 29 were scored in the Brazil Serie A, resulting in an average of 0.94 goals per game.
Individually, the standout performer is Breno Lopes, who has found the back of the net 5 times. However, he is not alone in driving the offense. Matheus Pereira da Silva has taken on the role of the team's main playmaker, leading with 3 assists.
On the defensive side, Fortaleza has conceded 46 goals in the Brazil Serie A (an average of 1.48 per game) and 76 goals throughout the entire season, with an average of 1.15 per match in the 2025 campaign.
Grêmio preview
Grêmio comes into the game with 32 matches played so far in the Brazil Serie A. They have secured 10 victories, 9 draws, and 13 losses, maintaining an average of 1.22 points per game in the competition.
Across all competitions in the 2025 season, the team has recorded 22 wins, 23 draws, and 19 losses.
Grêmio's attack has been highly effective, scoring 80 goals during this period. Of that total, 33 were netted in the Brazil Serie A, with an average of 1.03 goals per game. The overall season average is 1.25.
Grêmio's offensive system is led by Martin Braithwaite, the team's top scorer this season. The danish forward has found the back of the net 6 times. He is supported by the team's best assist provider, Edenilson. The midfielder has contributed with 6 assists.
On the defensive side, the team has conceded 41 goals with an average of 1.28 per game in the championship. For the whole season, the team conceded 71 goals in 64 matches, averaging 1.11 per match.
Head to head: Fortaleza vs Grêmio
Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.
Home Team
Fortaleza
Brazil - Serie A
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | D D W L L |
0.94 |
| Home | W L L W W |
1.25 |
| Away | D D L W L |
0.6 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 23% | 38% | 7% |
| Goals | 2.42 | 2.38 | 2.47 |
| Scored | 0.94 | 1.13 | 0.73 |
| Conceded | 1.48 | 1.25 | 1.73 |
| Both Teams to Score | 45% | 25% | 67% |
| Without Conceding | 26% | 38% | 13% |
| Failed To Score | 39% | 44% | 33% |
| 1st to Score | 35% | 44% | 27% |
|
xG
|
1.39 | 1.61 | 1.17 |
|
xGA
|
1.47 | 1.25 | 1.69 |
Away Team
Grêmio
Brazil - Serie A
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | L L W L W |
1.22 |
| Home | L W W W D |
1.63 |
| Away | L L L D W |
0.81 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 31% | 44% | 19% |
| Goals | 2.31 | 1.94 | 2.69 |
| Scored | 1.03 | 1.13 | 0.94 |
| Conceded | 1.28 | 0.81 | 1.75 |
| Both Teams to Score | 53% | 50% | 56% |
| Without Conceding | 16% | 25% | 6% |
| Failed To Score | 34% | 31% | 38% |
| 1st to Score | 35% | 63% | 25% |
|
xG
|
1.23 | 1.42 | 1.04 |
|
xGA
|
1.62 | 1.38 | 1.85 |
Access all match stats for Fortaleza vs Grêmio
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