Ponte Preta vs Fortaleza

Brazil - Brazil Serie B

v.s

24 Oct 2026 17:30

Fortaleza are creating the better shooting profile with average 4.09 overall shots and 1.48 xG. Their season scoring average is 1.21 goals per game, so the next major chance is likely to come from their side.

Result Probability

6%
Ponte Preta to win
15%
Draw
79%
Fortaleza to win

The result market leans toward Fortaleza at 86%. The points profile supports that read: Ponte Preta average 0.65 PPG and Fortaleza average 1.53 PPG in the comparable split.

Ponte Preta
1
wins
1
draws
Fortaleza
1
wins
33%
BTTS
1/3
100%
OVER 0.5
3/3
100%
OVER 1.5
3/3
0%
OVER 2.5
0/3

Key Statistics

  • Avg. Goals

    Below average

    1.89

    League 2.33

  • Over 2.5 Goals

    Well below avg

    27%

    League 43%

  • Both Teams Score

    Below average

    41%

    League 47%

  • Cards

    Well above avg

    6.83

    League 4.87

  • Corners

    Below average

    9.53

    League 10.69

Corner volume is the clearest signal here. Ponte Preta average 11.06 corners in this split, compared with the league benchmark of 10.69, which points to sustained attacking territory.

Over / Under

  • 0.5

    1+ gol

    OVER
    100%
    UNDER
    0%
  • 1.5

    2+ gol

    OVER
    80%
    UNDER
    20%
  • 2.5

    3+ gol

    OVER
    25%
    UNDER
    75%
  • 3.5

    4+ gol

    OVER
    20%
    UNDER
    80%

The recent scoring sample is stronger for Over 0.5 at 100% across the last 10 relevant matches. That makes the goal market a top pick for this match.

Team Performance

Ponte Preta

Home

DLLLL
VS

Fortaleza

Away

WDWDD

Points & Results

  • 0.41
    PPG
    1.76
  • 9%
    Wins
    47%
  • 26%
    First to Score
    59%

Goals Scored & Conceded

  • 0.56
    Scored/game
    1.21
  • 2.18
    Conceded/game
    0.85
  • 1.12
    xG
    1.48
  • 1.96
    xGA
    1.41

Trends

  • 41%
    Both Score
    44%
  • 9%
    Clean Sheet
    44%

Ponte Preta vs Fortaleza: Statistics and Analysis - Brazil Serie B 2026

On this page you can check all the key statistics for Ponte Preta vs Fortaleza - goals, corners, form, trends, head-to-head record and more.

This Brazil Serie B match will be played on 24/10/2026 (Saturday) at 22:30.

The venue is Estádio Moisés Lucarelli.

The fixture is part of game week 35th of the Brazil Serie B season. Ponte Preta currently sits in position 20th of the Brazil Serie B table. Fortaleza occupies position 4th.

Stat Probabilities for Ponte Preta vs Fortaleza

Our projection system combines both teams' numbers into percentage chances for the key statistical markets in this match:

Both teams to score: our projection puts the chance of both teams scoring in Ponte Preta vs Fortaleza at 41%.

Over 2.5 goals: the combined stats for Ponte Preta and Fortaleza point to a 27% chance of over 2.5 goals in this match.

Over 9.5 corners: this match has a 71% chance of producing 10 or more corners.

Over 4.5 cards: Ponte Preta's matches have produced 5 or more total cards 71% of the time.

Over 4.5 cards: Fortaleza's matches have produced 5 or more total cards 71% of the time.

For our tips built on these numbers, see the Ponte Preta vs Fortaleza prediction page.

Who is the favorite in Ponte Preta vs Fortaleza?

According to the latest match odds, Fortaleza is the favorite at 1.33 an implied probability of about 75.19%. The full 1X2 market has Ponte Preta at 17.5, the draw at 6.667, and Fortaleza at 1.33.

Overall performance in the Brazil Serie B

Ponte Preta's record so far reads 3W-5D-26L from 34 played a win rate of 9% at 0.41 points per game.

Fortaleza stands at 16W-12D-6L from 34 played, winning 47% of their matches at 1.76 points per game.

In their last five, Ponte Preta has gone 0W-1D-4L, averaging 0.2 points per game.

Fortaleza's last five read 2W-3D-0L, at 1.8 points per game.

At home, Ponte Preta has a 12% win rate (2W-5D-10L from 17 played).

On the road, Fortaleza has won 41% of their matches (7W-5D-5L from 17 played).

Goal statistics for Ponte Preta vs Fortaleza

In attack, Ponte Preta averages 0.56 goals scored per game in the Brazil Serie B (19 in total), while conceding 2.18 per game (74 in total).

Fortaleza averages 1.21 goals scored per game (41 in total) and 0.85 conceded per game (29 in total).

Ponte Preta's top scorer this season is William de Oliveira Pottker, with 4 goals.

For Fortaleza, Maílton dos Santos de Sá leads the scoring charts with 8 goals this season.

Ponte Preta's main creator is Elvis Vieira Araújo, with 5 assists.

Maílton dos Santos de Sá tops the Fortaleza assist chart with 3.

More detail - goals home and away, expected goals and first-to-score rates - is in the tables above.

Head-to-head: Ponte Preta vs Fortaleza

Ponte Preta and Fortaleza have met 3 times in recent years. The record:

  • Ponte Preta wins: 1

  • Draws: 1

  • Fortaleza wins: 1

Frequently asked questions about Ponte Preta vs Fortaleza

When is Ponte Preta vs Fortaleza?

The match will be played on 24/10/2026 (Saturday) at 22:30.

What is the head-to-head record between Ponte Preta and Fortaleza?

Across their last 3 meetings the record is 1-1-1 (Ponte Preta wins – draws – Fortaleza wins).

What was the last match between Ponte Preta and Fortaleza?

The two sides last met on 03/07/2026, and the result was Fortaleza 2 vs 0 Ponte Preta. Full details: Ponte Preta vs Fortaleza, 03/07/2026.

Who is the favorite in Ponte Preta vs Fortaleza?

Fortaleza is the favorite at odds of 1.33, an implied probability of about 75.19%. Ponte Preta is priced at 17.5, the draw at 6.667 and Fortaleza at 1.33.

Where can I find a Ponte Preta vs Fortaleza prediction?

You can find our full prediction, including in-depth analysis on the Ponte Preta vs Fortaleza prediction page.

Where can I find Ponte Preta vs Fortaleza stats?

All key statistics for Ponte Preta vs Fortaleza are on this page, updated in real time.

Where can I watch Ponte Preta vs Fortaleza?

Live streaming information is available on our Ponte Preta vs Fortaleza stream page.