28.09.2023 - 12:30
Stadium : Stadion Ivailo (Veliko Târnovo)
Finished
The Bulgaria First League is back on 28th of September at 12:30 with Etar hosting OFK Pirin and we have some predictions for the match. APWin’s team of analysts has analysed both of the team’s and their recent matches in order to come up with the best betting tips for Etar vs OFK Pirin. So, if you decide to follow our betting tip, let’s hope we can all win with this match.
🔥 Etar has conceded at least a goal in its last 9 matches
🔥 Etar and OFK Pirin average 2.38 goals scored per match
Etar | OFK Pirin | |
|---|---|---|
| 15 | Standings | 14 |
| 0.78 | Goal Scored | 0.4 |
| 1.78 | Goals Conceded | 1.4 |
| 56% | % Over 2.5 | 30% |
| 44% | % BTTS | 20% |
| 0.85 | xG | 0.77 |
| 2.13 | xGA | 1.93 |
Etar | OFK Pirin | |
|---|---|---|
| 15 | Standings | 12 |
| 0.75 | Goal Scored | 0.5 |
| 1.5 | Goals Conceded | 2 |
| 56% | % Over 2.5 | 30% |
| 50% | % BTTS | 25% |
| 1 | xG | 0.63 |
| 1.43 | xGA | 2.37 |
Etar averages 0.78 goals scored per match in this season’s First League. The home team has scored 7 times in the 9 matches played so far this year for this competition. Etar is, as such, the 13th best attack in this season of the First League.
The 15th best attack of the First League has scored 4 goals in 10 matches played so far this season. OFK Pirin averages, as such, 0.4 goals scored per match so far this season.
In the 9 matches it has played so far this season, opponents managed to score against Etar 16 times. This means that Etar is the 13th best defence in this season’s First League.
In the 10 matches it has played in the First League, OFK Pirin has conceded 14 goals. This means that the team conceded, on average, 1.4 goals per match, making it the 9th team in terms of defensive ability in the competition.
Is there maybe an opportunity for a bet in the Over 2.5 Goals market? Etar has finished with 3 or more goals, scored or conceded in 56% of the matches it played so far in the First League this season.
OFK Pirin has, until today, finished 30% of the matches of this season’s First League with 3 or more goals (scored and conceded). That is 3 matches out of 10, compared with the league average of 45%.
Out of the 9 matches that Etar has taken part in this season, 4 of them finished with Both Teams Scoring. Will we see one more match with a tendency for goals?
OFK Pirin, on the other hand, has both scored and conceded in the same 90’ on 2 occasions out of the 10 times it played for the First League this season.
We mentioned earlier that Etar averages 0.78 goals scored per match so far in this season’s competition. It is also important to note that the home team has an average of 0.85 expected goals per match, which means that it is expected to create some goal scoring opportunities in today’s match.
OFK Pirin is one of the most dangerous teams when it comes to taking advantage of goal scoring chances. They have 0.77 expected goals per match so far in the competition, and will be looking to make some damage in the opposition’s defence this time around.
The hosts of today’s match have a few strong points in the backline and have shown us some good defensive moments so far this season. The team averages 2.13 xGA so far this season, and will be motivated to show us that it is solid at the back.
The visitors need to keep their goal safe if they want to win all 3 points. So the xGA season average of 1.93 will need to be kept as close to 0 as possible for today’s match if OFK Pirin wants all 3 points.
We won’t always be 100% correct on your betting tips, but are pretty confident in our preview after seeing what the data from both teams presents us. Both teams have some positive and negative points so far, and so we are ready with the prediction for Etar vs OFK Pirin.
We make an effort to only suggest what we think has positive value, and this is one of those betting tips. A bet with positive value is a bet with a probability of happening higher than what the bookmakers are assuming.
So, and without going any further, you can find our betting tip for Etar vs OFK Pirin, for the matchday 11 of the First League.
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