Cherno More vs Septemvri Sofia

Bulgaria - First League

v.s

27 Oct 2026 11:00

Cherno More are creating the better shooting profile with average 4.73 overall shots and 1.37 xG. Their season scoring average is 1 goals per game, so the next major chance is likely to come from their side.

Result Probability

56%
Cherno More to win
26%
Draw
18%
Septemvri Sofia to win

The result market leans toward Cherno More at 60%. The points profile supports that read: Cherno More average 0.8 PPG and Septemvri Sofia average 0.8 PPG in the comparable split.

Cherno More
8
wins
2
draws
Septemvri Sofia
2
wins
58%
BTTS
7/12
92%
OVER 0.5
11/12
92%
OVER 1.5
11/12
67%
OVER 2.5
8/12

Key Statistics

  • Avg. Goals

    Above average

    3.00

    League 2.70

  • Over 2.5 Goals

    Well above avg

    70%

    League 51%

  • Both Teams Score

    Above average

    60%

    League 55%

  • Cards

    Above average

    5.60

    League 4.86

  • Corners

    Average

    9.20

    League 8.83

Corner volume is the clearest signal here. Cherno More average 9.4 corners in this split, compared with the league benchmark of 8.83, which points to sustained attacking territory.

Over / Under

  • 0.5

    1+ gol

    OVER
    100%
    UNDER
    0%
  • 1.5

    2+ gol

    OVER
    80%
    UNDER
    20%
  • 2.5

    3+ gol

    OVER
    65%
    UNDER
    35%
  • 3.5

    4+ gol

    OVER
    35%
    UNDER
    65%

The recent scoring sample is stronger for Over 0.5 at 100% across the last 10 relevant matches. That makes the goal market a top pick for this match.

Team Performance

Cherno More

Home

LDDLL
VS

Septemvri Sofia

Away

LLLLD

Points & Results

  • 0.55
    PPG
    0.73
  • 9%
    Wins
    18%
  • 55%
    First to Score
    27%

Goals Scored & Conceded

  • 1.00
    Scored/game
    0.91
  • 2.00
    Conceded/game
    1.91
  • 1.37
    xG
    1.36
  • 1.31
    xGA
    1.33

Trends

  • 64%
    Both Score
    55%
  • 0%
    Clean Sheet
    18%

Cherno More vs Septemvri Sofia: Statistics and Analysis - First League 2026/2027

On this page you can check all the key statistics for Cherno More vs Septemvri Sofia - goals, corners, form, trends, head-to-head record and more.

This First League match will be played on 27/10/2026 (Tuesday) at 15:00.

The venue is Stadion Ticha.

The fixture is part of game week 12th of the First League season. Cherno More currently sits in position 14th of the First League table. Septemvri Sofia occupies position 13th.

Stat Probabilities for Cherno More vs Septemvri Sofia

Our projection system combines both teams' numbers into percentage chances for the key statistical markets in this match:

Both teams to score: our projection puts the chance of both teams scoring in Cherno More vs Septemvri Sofia at 60%.

Over 2.5 goals: the combined stats for Cherno More and Septemvri Sofia point to a 70% chance of over 2.5 goals in this match.

For our tips built on these numbers, see the Cherno More vs Septemvri Sofia prediction page.

Who is the favorite in Cherno More vs Septemvri Sofia?

According to the latest match odds, Cherno More is the favorite at 1.75 an implied probability of about 57.14%. The full 1X2 market has Cherno More at 1.75, the draw at 4.04, and Septemvri Sofia at 5.46.

Overall performance in the First League

Cherno More's record so far reads 1W-3D-7L from 11 played a win rate of 9% at 0.55 points per game.

Septemvri Sofia stands at 2W-2D-7L from 11 played, winning 18% of their matches at 0.73 points per game.

In their last five, Cherno More has gone 0W-2D-3L, averaging 0.4 points per game.

Septemvri Sofia's last five read 0W-1D-4L, at 0.2 points per game.

At home, Cherno More has a 20% win rate (1W-1D-3L from 5 played).

On the road, Septemvri Sofia has won 20% of their matches (1W-1D-3L from 5 played).

Goal statistics for Cherno More vs Septemvri Sofia

In attack, Cherno More averages 1 goals scored per game in the First League (11 in total), while conceding 2 per game (22 in total).

Septemvri Sofia averages 0.91 goals scored per game (10 in total) and 1.91 conceded per game (21 in total).

Cherno More's top scorer this season is Georgi Antoanov Lazarov, with 8 goals.

For Septemvri Sofia, Bertrand Fourrier leads the scoring charts with 13 goals this season.

Cherno More's main creator is Asen Donchev, with 5 assists.

Robin Schouten tops the Septemvri Sofia assist chart with 5.

More detail - goals home and away, expected goals and first-to-score rates - is in the tables above.

Head-to-head: Cherno More vs Septemvri Sofia

Cherno More and Septemvri Sofia have met 12 times in recent years. The record:

  • Cherno More wins: 8

  • Draws: 2

  • Septemvri Sofia wins: 2

Frequently asked questions about Cherno More vs Septemvri Sofia

When is Cherno More vs Septemvri Sofia?

The match will be played on 27/10/2026 (Tuesday) at 15:00.

What is the head-to-head record between Cherno More and Septemvri Sofia?

Across their last 12 meetings the record is 8-2-2 (Cherno More wins – draws – Septemvri Sofia wins).

What was the last match between Cherno More and Septemvri Sofia?

The two sides last met on 07/03/2026, and the result was Septemvri Sofia 0 vs 3 Cherno More. Full details: Cherno More vs Septemvri Sofia, 07/03/2026.

Who is the favorite in Cherno More vs Septemvri Sofia?

Cherno More is the favorite at odds of 1.75, an implied probability of about 57.14%. Cherno More is priced at 1.75, the draw at 4.04 and Septemvri Sofia at 5.46.

Where can I find a Cherno More vs Septemvri Sofia prediction?

You can find our full prediction, including in-depth analysis on the Cherno More vs Septemvri Sofia prediction page.

Where can I find Cherno More vs Septemvri Sofia stats?

All key statistics for Cherno More vs Septemvri Sofia are on this page, updated in real time.

Where can I watch Cherno More vs Septemvri Sofia?

Live streaming information is available on our Cherno More vs Septemvri Sofia stream page.