Numancia vs CDA Navalcarnero

Spain - Segunda División RFEF Group 5

v.s

24 Oct 2026 11:00

CDA Navalcarnero are creating the better shooting profile with average 4.14 overall shots and 1.32 xG. Their season scoring average is 1.43 goals per game, so the next major chance is likely to come from their side.

Result Probability

53%
Numancia to win
27%
Draw
20%
CDA Navalcarnero to win

The result market leans toward Numancia at 58%. The points profile supports that read: Numancia average 2.33 PPG and CDA Navalcarnero average 1.25 PPG in the comparable split.

Key Statistics

  • Avg. Goals

    Well below avg

    1.93

    League 2.63

  • Over 2.5 Goals

    Well below avg

    29%

    League 52%

  • Both Teams Score

    Average

    50%

    League 51%

  • Corners

    Average

    8.36

    League 8.58

Corner volume is the clearest signal here. Numancia average 10 corners in this split, compared with the league benchmark of 8.58, which points to sustained attacking territory.

Over / Under

  • 0.5

    1+ gol

    OVER
    78%
    UNDER
    22%
  • 1.5

    2+ gol

    OVER
    64%
    UNDER
    36%
  • 2.5

    3+ gol

    OVER
    28%
    UNDER
    72%
  • 3.5

    4+ gol

    OVER
    21%
    UNDER
    79%

The recent scoring sample is stronger for Under 3.5 at 79% across the last 10 relevant matches. That makes the goal market a top pick for this match.

Team Performance

Numancia

Home

DDDWD
VS

CDA Navalcarnero

Away

DDWLD

Points & Results

  • 1.86
    PPG
    1.29
  • 43%
    Wins
    29%
  • 57%
    First to Score
    43%

Goals Scored & Conceded

  • 0.86
    Scored/game
    1.43
  • 0.14
    Conceded/game
    1.43
  • 1.44
    xG
    1.32
  • 0.89
    xGA
    1.46

Trends

  • 14%
    Both Score
    86%
  • 86%
    Clean Sheet
    0%

On this page you can check all the key statistics for Numancia vs CDA Navalcarnero - goals, corners, form, trends, head-to-head record and more.

This Segunda División RFEF Group 5 match will be played on 24/10/2026 (Saturday) at 16:00.

The venue is Nuevo Estadio Los Pajaritos.

The fixture is part of game week 8th of the Segunda División RFEF Group 5 season. Numancia currently sits in position 4th of the Segunda División RFEF Group 5 table. CDA Navalcarnero occupies position 10th.

Our projection system combines both teams' numbers into percentage chances for the key statistical markets in this match:

Both teams to score: our projection puts the chance of both teams scoring in Numancia vs CDA Navalcarnero at 50%.

Over 2.5 goals: the combined stats for Numancia and CDA Navalcarnero point to a 29% chance of over 2.5 goals in this match.

For our tips built on these numbers, see the Numancia vs CDA Navalcarnero prediction page.

According to the latest match odds, Numancia is the favorite at 1.78 an implied probability of about 56.18%. The full 1X2 market has Numancia at 1.78, the draw at 3.65, and CDA Navalcarnero at 5.25.

Overall performance in the Segunda División RFEF Group 5

Numancia's record so far reads 3W-4D-0L from 7 played a win rate of 43% at 1.86 points per game.

CDA Navalcarnero stands at 2W-3D-2L from 7 played, winning 29% of their matches at 1.29 points per game.

In their last five, Numancia has gone 1W-4D-0L, averaging 1.4 points per game.

CDA Navalcarnero's last five read 1W-3D-1L, at 1.2 points per game.

At home, Numancia has a 67% win rate (2W-1D-0L from 3 played).

On the road, CDA Navalcarnero has won 25% of their matches (1W-2D-1L from 4 played).

In attack, Numancia averages 0.86 goals scored per game in the Segunda División RFEF Group 5 (6 in total), while conceding 0.14 per game (1 in total).

CDA Navalcarnero averages 1.43 goals scored per game (10 in total) and 1.43 conceded per game (10 in total).

Numancia's top scorer this season is Jonathan González Crespo, with 2 goals.

More detail - goals home and away, expected goals and first-to-score rates - is in the tables above.

When is Numancia vs CDA Navalcarnero?

The match will be played on 24/10/2026 (Saturday) at 16:00.

Who is the favorite in Numancia vs CDA Navalcarnero?

Numancia is the favorite at odds of 1.78, an implied probability of about 56.18%. Numancia is priced at 1.78, the draw at 3.65 and CDA Navalcarnero at 5.25.

Where can I find a Numancia vs CDA Navalcarnero prediction?

You can find our full prediction, including in-depth analysis on the Numancia vs CDA Navalcarnero prediction page.

Where can I find Numancia vs CDA Navalcarnero stats?

All key statistics for Numancia vs CDA Navalcarnero are on this page, updated in real time.

Where can I watch Numancia vs CDA Navalcarnero?

Live streaming information is available on our Numancia vs CDA Navalcarnero stream page.