Alpendorada vs Castro Daire

Portugal - Campeonato de Portugal Group B

v.s

25 Oct 2026 11:00

Castro Daire are creating the better shooting profile with average 4.2 overall shots and 1.23 xG. Their season scoring average is 1 goals per game, so the next major chance is likely to come from their side.

Result Probability

34%
Alpendorada to win
33%
Draw
33%
Castro Daire to win
Alpendorada
1
wins
0
draws
Castro Daire
1
wins
0%
BTTS
0/2
100%
OVER 0.5
2/2
0%
OVER 1.5
0/2
0%
OVER 2.5
0/2

Key Statistics

  • Avg. Goals

    Below average

    1.90

    League 2.26

  • Over 2.5 Goals

    Above average

    40%

    League 37%

  • Both Teams Score

    Average

    40%

    League 43%

  • Corners

    Below average

    8.20

    League 9.83

Corner volume is the clearest signal here. Alpendorada average 12 corners in this split, compared with the league benchmark of 9.83, which points to sustained attacking territory.

Over / Under

  • 0.5

    1+ gol

    OVER
    80%
    UNDER
    20%
  • 1.5

    2+ gol

    OVER
    60%
    UNDER
    40%
  • 2.5

    3+ gol

    OVER
    40%
    UNDER
    60%
  • 3.5

    4+ gol

    OVER
    10%
    UNDER
    90%

The recent scoring sample is stronger for Under 3.5 at 90% across the last 10 relevant matches. That makes the goal market a top pick for this match.

Team Performance

Alpendorada

Home

DLLLW
VS

Castro Daire

Away

DWDWL

Points & Results

  • 0.80
    PPG
    1.60
  • 20%
    Wins
    40%
  • 80%
    First to Score
    60%

Goals Scored & Conceded

  • 0.80
    Scored/game
    1.00
  • 1.40
    Conceded/game
    0.60
  • 1.24
    xG
    1.23
  • 1.36
    xGA
    1.15

Trends

  • 60%
    Both Score
    20%
  • 40%
    Clean Sheet
    60%

Alpendorada vs Castro Daire: Statistics and Analysis - Campeonato de Portugal Group B 2026/2027

On this page you can check all the key statistics for Alpendorada vs Castro Daire - goals, corners, form, trends, head-to-head record and more.

This Campeonato de Portugal Group B match will be played on 25/10/2026 (Sunday) at 15:00.

The venue is Estádio Municipal de Pedras Rubras.

The fixture is part of game week 6th of the Campeonato de Portugal Group B season. Alpendorada currently sits in position 12th of the Campeonato de Portugal Group B table. Castro Daire occupies position 4th.

Stat Probabilities for Alpendorada vs Castro Daire

Our projection system combines both teams' numbers into percentage chances for the key statistical markets in this match:

Both teams to score: our projection puts the chance of both teams scoring in Alpendorada vs Castro Daire at 40%.

Over 2.5 goals: the combined stats for Alpendorada and Castro Daire point to a 40% chance of over 2.5 goals in this match.

Alpendorada over 1.5 goals conceded: based on their record, there is a 100% chance of Alpendorada conceding 2 or more goals.

Over 9.5 corners: this match has a 75% chance of producing 10 or more corners.

For our tips built on these numbers, see the Alpendorada vs Castro Daire prediction page.

Who is the favorite in Alpendorada vs Castro Daire?

According to the latest match odds, is the favorite at an implied probability of about 0%. The full 1X2 market has Alpendorada at 1.01, the draw at 1.01, and Castro Daire at 1.01.

Overall performance in the Campeonato de Portugal Group B

Alpendorada's record so far reads 1W-1D-3L from 5 played a win rate of 20% at 0.8 points per game.

Castro Daire stands at 2W-2D-1L from 5 played, winning 40% of their matches at 1.6 points per game.

In their last five, Alpendorada has gone 1W-1D-3L, averaging 0.8 points per game.

Castro Daire's last five read 2W-2D-1L, at 1.6 points per game.

At home, Alpendorada has a 0% win rate (0W-0D-2L from 2 played).

On the road, Castro Daire has won 50% of their matches (1W-1D-0L from 2 played).

Goal statistics for Alpendorada vs Castro Daire

In attack, Alpendorada averages 0.8 goals scored per game in the Campeonato de Portugal Group B (4 in total), while conceding 1.4 per game (7 in total).

Castro Daire averages 1 goals scored per game (5 in total) and 0.6 conceded per game (3 in total).

More detail - goals home and away, expected goals and first-to-score rates - is in the tables above.

Head-to-head: Alpendorada vs Castro Daire

Alpendorada and Castro Daire have met 2 times in recent years. The record:

  • Alpendorada wins: 1

  • Draws: 0

  • Castro Daire wins: 1

Frequently asked questions about Alpendorada vs Castro Daire

When is Alpendorada vs Castro Daire?

The match will be played on 25/10/2026 (Sunday) at 15:00.

What is the head-to-head record between Alpendorada and Castro Daire?

Across their last 2 meetings the record is 1-0-1 (Alpendorada wins – draws – Castro Daire wins).

What was the last match between Alpendorada and Castro Daire?

The two sides last met on 05/02/2023, and the result was Alpendorada 1 vs 0 Castro Daire. Full details: Alpendorada vs Castro Daire, 05/02/2023.

Who is the favorite in Alpendorada vs Castro Daire?

is the favorite at odds of , an implied probability of about 0%. Alpendorada is priced at 1.01, the draw at 1.01 and Castro Daire at 1.01.

Where can I find a Alpendorada vs Castro Daire prediction?

You can find our full prediction, including in-depth analysis on the Alpendorada vs Castro Daire prediction page.

Where can I find Alpendorada vs Castro Daire stats?

All key statistics for Alpendorada vs Castro Daire are on this page, updated in real time.

Where can I watch Alpendorada vs Castro Daire?

Live streaming information is available on our Alpendorada vs Castro Daire stream page.