05.02.2023 - 15:00
Finished
The Spain Tercera Group 17 is back on 5th of February at 15:00 with Cariñena hosting Illueca and we have some predictions for the match. APWin’s team of analysts has analysed both of the team’s and their recent matches in order to come up with the best betting tips for Cariñena vs Illueca. So, if you decide to follow our betting tip, let’s hope we can all win with this match.
🔥 Cariñena has conceded at least a goal in its last 5 matches against Illueca
🔥 Illueca hasn’t lost any of its past 5 matches against Cariñena
🔥 Cariñena and Illueca average 2.58 goals scored per match
Cariñena | Illueca | |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | Standings | 5 |
| 1.16 | Goal Scored | 1.11 |
| 1.95 | Goals Conceded | 0.95 |
| 58% | % Over 2.5 | 37% |
| 63% | % BTTS | 37% |
| 0.61 | xG | 1.36 |
| 1.93 | xGA | 1.04 |
Cariñena | Illueca | |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Standings | 1 |
| 1.6 | Goal Scored | 1 |
| 1.4 | Goals Conceded | 0.89 |
| 58% | % Over 2.5 | 37% |
| 70% | % BTTS | 22% |
| 0 | xG | 1.56 |
| 0 | xGA | 1.24 |
Cariñena averages 1.16 goals scored per match in this season’s Tercera Group 17. The home team has scored 22 times in the 19 matches played so far this year for this competition. Cariñena is, as such, the 9th best attack in this season of the Tercera Group 17.
The 11th best attack of the Tercera Group 17 has scored 21 goals in 19 matches played so far this season. Illueca averages, as such, 1.11 goals scored per match so far this season.
In the 19 matches it has played so far this season, opponents managed to score against Cariñena 37 times. This means that Cariñena is the 15th best defence in this season’s Tercera Group 17.
In the 19 matches it has played in the Tercera Group 17, Illueca has conceded 18 goals. This means that the team conceded, on average, 0.95 goals per match, making it the 4th team in terms of defensive ability in the competition.
Is there maybe an opportunity for a bet in the Over 2.5 Goals market? Cariñena has finished with 3 or more goals, scored or conceded in 58% of the matches it played so far in the Tercera Group 17 this season.
Illueca has, until today, finished 37% of the matches of this season’s Tercera Group 17 with 3 or more goals (scored and conceded). That is 7 matches out of 19, compared with the league average of 42%.
Out of the 19 matches that Cariñena has taken part in this season, 12 of them finished with Both Teams Scoring. Will we see one more match with a tendency for goals?
Illueca, on the other hand, has both scored and conceded in the same 90’ on 7.03 occasions out of the 19 times it played for the Tercera Group 17 this season.
We mentioned earlier that Cariñena averages 1.16 goals scored per match so far in this season’s competition. It is also important to note that the home team has an average of 0.61 expected goals per match, which means that it is expected to create some goal scoring opportunities in today’s match.
Illueca is one of the most dangerous teams when it comes to taking advantage of goal scoring chances. They have 1.36 expected goals per match so far in the competition, and will be looking to make some damage in the opposition’s defence this time around.
The hosts of today’s match have a few strong points in the backline and have shown us some good defensive moments so far this season. The team averages 1.93 xGA so far this season, and will be motivated to show us that it is solid at the back.
The visitors need to keep their goal safe if they want to win all 3 points. So the xGA season average of 1.04 will need to be kept as close to 0 as possible for today’s match if Illueca wants all 3 points.
We won’t always be 100% correct on your betting tips, but are pretty confident in our preview after seeing what the data from both teams presents us. Both teams have some positive and negative points so far, and so we are ready with the prediction for Cariñena vs Illueca.
We make an effort to only suggest what we think has positive value, and this is one of those betting tips. A bet with positive value is a bet with a probability of happening higher than what the bookmakers are assuming.
So, and without going any further, you can find our betting tip for Cariñena vs Illueca, for the matchday 20 of the Tercera Group 17.
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