Atlético MG 3 - 1 Millonarios

16.03.2023 - 00:30

Stadium : Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto (Belo Horizonte, Minas Gerais)

Finished

Predictions for Atlético MG vs Millonarios
Atlético Mineiro vs Millonarios Betting Tips: 16/03/2023 - Matchday 4 - South America Copa Libertadores

Atlético Mineiro vs Millonarios Betting Tips: 16/03/2023 - Matchday 4 - South America Copa Libertadores

The South America Copa Libertadores is back on 16th of March at 00:30 with Atlético Mineiro hosting Millonarios and we have some predictions for the match. APWin’s team of analysts has analysed both of the team’s and their recent matches in order to come up with the best betting tips for Atlético Mineiro vs Millonarios. So, if you decide to follow our betting tip, let’s hope we can all win with this match.

🔥 Atlético MG hasn’t lost in its last 7 matches

🔥 Millonarios has had Under 1.5 HT Goals in its last 3 matches

🔥 Atlético MG and Millonarios average 1.84 goals scored per match

Form

Atlético MG logo

Atlético MG

Millonarios logo

Millonarios

6Standings8
1.33Goal Scored1
0.67Goals Conceded0.67
33%% Over 2.533%
67%% BTTS67%
1.63xG1.37
0.95xGA1.25
Atlético MG logo

Atlético MG

Millonarios logo

Millonarios

0Standings2
3Goal Scored0
1Goals Conceded0
33%% Over 2.533%
100%% BTTS0%
1.88xG0.9
0.84xGA1.22

Atlético MG - Previous Results

Millonarios - Previous Results

Summary

Goal Scored

Atlético Mineiro averages 1.33 goals scored per match in this season’s Copa Libertadores. The home team has scored 4 times in the 3 matches played so far this year for this competition. Atlético Mineiro is, as such, the 8th best attack in this season of the Copa Libertadores.

The 11th best attack of the Copa Libertadores has scored 3 goals in 3 matches played so far this season. Millonarios averages, as such, 1 goals scored per match so far this season.

Goals Conceded

In the 3 matches it has played so far this season, opponents managed to score against Atlético-MG 2 times. This means that Atlético Mineiro is the 6th best defence in this season’s Copa Libertadores.

In the 3 matches it has played in the Copa Libertadores, Millonarios has conceded 2 goals. This means that the team conceded, on average, 0.67 goals per match, making it the 5th team in terms of defensive ability in the competition.

% Over 2.5

Is there maybe an opportunity for a bet in the Over 2.5 Goals market? Atlético Mineiro has finished with 3 or more goals, scored or conceded in 33% of the matches it played so far in the Copa Libertadores this season.

Millonarios has, until today, finished 33% of the matches of this season’s Copa Libertadores with 3 or more goals (scored and conceded). That is 1 matches out of 3, compared with the league average of 50%.

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Out of the 3 matches that Atlético-MG has taken part in this season, 2 of them finished with Both Teams Scoring. Will we see one more match with a tendency for goals?

Millonarios, on the other hand, has both scored and conceded in the same 90’ on 2.01 occasions out of the 3 times it played for the Copa Libertadores this season.

Expected Goals (xG)

We mentioned earlier that Atlético Mineiro averages 1.33 goals scored per match so far in this season’s competition. It is also important to note that the home team has an average of 1.63 expected goals per match, which means that it is expected to create some goal scoring opportunities in today’s match.

Millonarios is one of the most dangerous teams when it comes to taking advantage of goal scoring chances. They have 1.37 expected goals per match so far in the competition, and will be looking to make some damage in the opposition’s defence this time around.

Expected Goals Against (xGA)

The hosts of today’s match have a few strong points in the backline and have shown us some good defensive moments so far this season. The team averages 0.95 xGA so far this season, and will be motivated to show us that it is solid at the back.

The visitors need to keep their goal safe if they want to win all 3 points. So the xGA season average of 1.25 will need to be kept as close to 0 as possible for today’s match if Millonarios wants all 3 points.

Predictions

We won’t always be 100% correct on your betting tips, but are pretty confident in our preview after seeing what the data from both teams presents us. Both teams have some positive and negative points so far, and so we are ready with the prediction for Atlético Mineiro vs Millonarios.

We make an effort to only suggest what we think has positive value, and this is one of those betting tips. A bet with positive value is a bet with a probability of happening higher than what the bookmakers are assuming.

So, and without going any further, you can find our betting tip for Atlético Mineiro vs Millonarios, for the matchday 4 of the Copa Libertadores.