04.10.2023 - 03:00
Stadium : Estadio Azteca (Ciudad de México (D.F.))
Finished
The Mexico Liga MX is back on 4th of October at 03:00 with América hosting Pachuca and we have some predictions for the match. APWin’s team of analysts has analysed both of the team’s and their recent matches in order to come up with the best betting tips for América vs Pachuca. So, if you decide to follow our betting tip, let’s hope we can all win with this match.
🔥 América has had Under 9.5 Corners in its last 4 matches
🔥 América hasn’t lost in its last 9 matches
🔥 The past 3 matches between América and Pachuca have ended with over 2.5 goals
🔥 The past 3 matches between América and Pachuca have ended with over 9.5 Corners
🔥 América and Pachuca average 2.73 goals scored per match
América | Pachuca | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Standings | 15 |
| 2 | Goal Scored | 0.8 |
| 1 | Goals Conceded | 1.7 |
| 60% | % Over 2.5 | 30% |
| 70% | % BTTS | 50% |
| 1.65 | xG | 1.52 |
| 1.16 | xGA | 1.39 |
América | Pachuca | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Standings | 16 |
| 2 | Goal Scored | 0.4 |
| 0.86 | Goals Conceded | 2.2 |
| 60% | % Over 2.5 | 30% |
| 57% | % BTTS | 40% |
| 1.75 | xG | 1.22 |
| 1.14 | xGA | 1.53 |
América averages 2 goals scored per match in this season’s Liga MX. The home team has scored 20 times in the 10 matches played so far this year for this competition. América is, as such, the 3rd best attack in this season of the Liga MX.
The 18th best attack of the Liga MX has scored 8 goals in 10 matches played so far this season. Pachuca averages, as such, 0.8 goals scored per match so far this season.
In the 10 matches it has played so far this season, opponents managed to score against América 10 times. This means that América is the 4th best defence in this season’s Liga MX.
In the 10 matches it has played in the Liga MX, Pachuca has conceded 17 goals. This means that the team conceded, on average, 1.7 goals per match, making it the 14th team in terms of defensive ability in the competition.
Is there maybe an opportunity for a bet in the Over 2.5 Goals market? América has finished with 3 or more goals, scored or conceded in 60% of the matches it played so far in the Liga MX this season.
Pachuca has, until today, finished 30% of the matches of this season’s Liga MX with 3 or more goals (scored and conceded). That is 3 matches out of 10, compared with the league average of 53%.
Out of the 10 matches that América has taken part in this season, 7 of them finished with Both Teams Scoring. Will we see one more match with a tendency for goals?
Pachuca, on the other hand, has both scored and conceded in the same 90’ on 5 occasions out of the 10 times it played for the Liga MX this season.
We mentioned earlier that América averages 2 goals scored per match so far in this season’s competition. It is also important to note that the home team has an average of 1.65 expected goals per match, which means that it is expected to create some goal scoring opportunities in today’s match.
Pachuca is one of the most dangerous teams when it comes to taking advantage of goal scoring chances. They have 1.49 expected goals per match so far in the competition, and will be looking to make some damage in the opposition’s defence this time around.
The hosts of today’s match have a few strong points in the backline and have shown us some good defensive moments so far this season. The team averages 1.13 xGA so far this season, and will be motivated to show us that it is solid at the back.
The visitors need to keep their goal safe if they want to win all 3 points. So the xGA season average of 1.41 will need to be kept as close to 0 as possible for today’s match if Pachuca wants all 3 points.
We won’t always be 100% correct on your betting tips, but are pretty confident in our preview after seeing what the data from both teams presents us. Both teams have some positive and negative points so far, and so we are ready with the prediction for América vs Pachuca.
We make an effort to only suggest what we think has positive value, and this is one of those betting tips. A bet with positive value is a bet with a probability of happening higher than what the bookmakers are assuming.
So, and without going any further, you can find our betting tip for América vs Pachuca, for the matchday 11 of the Liga MX.
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