05.02.2023 - 18:00
Stadium : Estádio Maria Lamas Farache (Natal, Rio Grande do Norte)
Finished
The Brazil Potiguar is back on 5th of February at 18:00 with Alecrim hosting Força e Luz and we have some predictions for the match. APWin’s team of analysts has analysed both of the team’s and their recent matches in order to come up with the best betting tips for Alecrim vs Força e Luz. So, if you decide to follow our betting tip, let’s hope we can all win with this match.
🔥 Alecrim hasn’t won in its last 5 matches
🔥 Força e Luz hasn’t won in its last 15 matches
🔥 Alecrim and Força e Luz average 3.67 goals scored per match
Alecrim | Força e Luz | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Standings | 4 |
| 0.4 | Goal Scored | 0.6 |
| 2 | Goals Conceded | 1.8 |
| 40% | % Over 2.5 | 40% |
| 40% | % BTTS | 40% |
| 0.88 | xG | 1.24 |
| 1.81 | xGA | 1.88 |
Alecrim | Força e Luz | |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Standings | 7 |
| 1 | Goal Scored | 0.67 |
| 3 | Goals Conceded | 2.67 |
| 40% | % Over 2.5 | 40% |
| 100% | % BTTS | 33% |
| 0.46 | xG | 1.11 |
| 1.12 | xGA | 2.29 |
Alecrim averages 0.4 goals scored per match in this season’s Potiguar. The home team has scored 2 times in the 5 matches played so far this year for this competition. Alecrim is, as such, the 7th best attack in this season of the Potiguar.
The 5th best attack of the Potiguar has scored 3 goals in 5 matches played so far this season. Força e Luz averages, as such, 0.6 goals scored per match so far this season.
In the 5 matches it has played so far this season, opponents managed to score against Alecrim 10 times. This means that Alecrim is the 8th best defence in this season’s Potiguar.
In the 5 matches it has played in the Potiguar, Força e Luz has conceded 9 goals. This means that the team conceded, on average, 1.8 goals per match, making it the 7th team in terms of defensive ability in the competition.
Is there maybe an opportunity for a bet in the Over 2.5 Goals market? Alecrim has finished with 3 or more goals, scored or conceded in 40% of the matches it played so far in the Potiguar this season.
Força e Luz has, until today, finished 40% of the matches of this season’s Potiguar with 3 or more goals (scored and conceded). That is 2 matches out of 5, compared with the league average of 43%.
Out of the 5 matches that Alecrim has taken part in this season, 2 of them finished with Both Teams Scoring. Will we see one more match with a tendency for goals?
Força e Luz, on the other hand, has both scored and conceded in the same 90’ on 2 occasions out of the 5 times it played for the Potiguar this season.
We mentioned earlier that Alecrim averages 0.4 goals scored per match so far in this season’s competition. It is also important to note that the home team has an average of 0.88 expected goals per match, which means that it is expected to create some goal scoring opportunities in today’s match.
Força e Luz is one of the most dangerous teams when it comes to taking advantage of goal scoring chances. They have 1.24 expected goals per match so far in the competition, and will be looking to make some damage in the opposition’s defence this time around.
The hosts of today’s match have a few strong points in the backline and have shown us some good defensive moments so far this season. The team averages 1.81 xGA so far this season, and will be motivated to show us that it is solid at the back.
The visitors need to keep their goal safe if they want to win all 3 points. So the xGA season average of 1.88 will need to be kept as close to 0 as possible for today’s match if Força e Luz wants all 3 points.
We won’t always be 100% correct on your betting tips, but are pretty confident in our preview after seeing what the data from both teams presents us. Both teams have some positive and negative points so far, and so we are ready with the prediction for Alecrim vs Força e Luz.
We make an effort to only suggest what we think has positive value, and this is one of those betting tips. A bet with positive value is a bet with a probability of happening higher than what the bookmakers are assuming.
So, and without going any further, you can find our betting tip for Alecrim vs Força e Luz, for the matchday 6 of the Potiguar.
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