Al-Faisaly KSA vs Al Nassr

Saudi Arabia - Saudi Pro League

v.s

23 Oct 2026 09:30

Al Nassr are creating the better shooting profile with average 6.33 overall shots and 1.9 xG. Their season scoring average is 2.22 goals per game, so the next major chance is likely to come from their side.

Result Probability

10%
Al-Faisaly KSA to win
18%
Draw
72%
Al Nassr to win

The result market leans toward Al Nassr at 80%. The points profile supports that read: Al-Faisaly KSA average 1 PPG and Al Nassr average 1.75 PPG in the comparable split.

Al-Faisaly KSA
3
wins
3
draws
Al Nassr
6
wins
67%
BTTS
8/12
92%
OVER 0.5
11/12
83%
OVER 1.5
10/12
67%
OVER 2.5
8/12

Key Statistics

  • Avg. Goals

    Average

    3.05

    League 2.84

  • Over 2.5 Goals

    Average

    58%

    League 54%

  • Both Teams Score

    Well above avg

    68%

    League 51%

  • Cards

    Above average

    4.30

    League 3.61

  • Corners

    Well above avg

    12.30

    League 9.59

Corner volume is the clearest signal here. Al Nassr average 12.75 corners in this split, compared with the league benchmark of 9.59, which points to sustained attacking territory.

Over / Under

  • 0.5

    1+ gol

    OVER
    88%
    UNDER
    12%
  • 1.5

    2+ gol

    OVER
    83%
    UNDER
    17%
  • 2.5

    3+ gol

    OVER
    66%
    UNDER
    34%
  • 3.5

    4+ gol

    OVER
    38%
    UNDER
    62%

The recent scoring sample is stronger for Over 0.5 at 88% across the last 10 relevant matches. That makes the goal market a top pick for this match.

Team Performance

Al-Faisaly KSA

Home

DWLDD
VS

Al Nassr

Away

WWDWL

Points & Results

  • 0.78
    PPG
    2.44
  • 11%
    Wins
    78%
  • 11%
    First to Score
    56%

Goals Scored & Conceded

  • 1.11
    Scored/game
    2.22
  • 1.89
    Conceded/game
    0.78
  • 1.00
    xG
    1.90
  • 1.66
    xGA
    0.97

Trends

  • 67%
    Both Score
    56%
  • 22%
    Clean Sheet
    44%

Al-Faisaly KSA vs Al Nassr: Statistics and Analysis - Saudi Pro League 2026/2027

On this page you can check all the key statistics for Al-Faisaly KSA vs Al Nassr - goals, corners, form, trends, head-to-head record and more.

This Saudi Pro League match will be played on 23/10/2026 (Friday) at 14:30.

The venue is Al Majmaa Sport City.

The fixture is part of game week 11th of the Saudi Pro League season. Al-Faisaly KSA currently sits in position 14th of the Saudi Pro League table. Al Nassr occupies position 3rd.

Stat Probabilities for Al-Faisaly KSA vs Al Nassr

Our projection system combines both teams' numbers into percentage chances for the key statistical markets in this match:

Both teams to score: our projection puts the chance of both teams scoring in Al-Faisaly KSA vs Al Nassr at 68%.

Over 2.5 goals: the combined stats for Al-Faisaly KSA and Al Nassr point to a 58% chance of over 2.5 goals in this match.

Al Nassr over 4.5 corners: Al Nassr has taken 5 or more corners in 78% of their matches in the competition.

For our tips built on these numbers, see the Al-Faisaly KSA vs Al Nassr prediction page.

Who is the favorite in Al-Faisaly KSA vs Al Nassr?

According to the latest match odds, Al Nassr is the favorite at 1.299 an implied probability of about 76.98%. The full 1X2 market has Al-Faisaly KSA at 12, the draw at 7.31, and Al Nassr at 1.299.

Overall performance in the Saudi Pro League

Al-Faisaly KSA's record so far reads 1W-4D-4L from 9 played a win rate of 11% at 0.78 points per game.

Al Nassr stands at 7W-1D-1L from 9 played, winning 78% of their matches at 2.44 points per game.

In their last five, Al-Faisaly KSA has gone 1W-3D-1L, averaging 1.2 points per game.

Al Nassr's last five read 3W-1D-1L, at 2 points per game.

At home, Al-Faisaly KSA has a 20% win rate (1W-2D-2L from 5 played).

On the road, Al Nassr has won 50% of their matches (2W-1D-1L from 4 played).

Goal statistics for Al-Faisaly KSA vs Al Nassr

In attack, Al-Faisaly KSA averages 1.11 goals scored per game in the Saudi Pro League (10 in total), while conceding 1.89 per game (17 in total).

Al Nassr averages 2.22 goals scored per game (20 in total) and 0.78 conceded per game (7 in total).

Al-Faisaly KSA's top scorer this season is Silva Henrique de Sousa Luvannor, with 22 goals.

For Al Nassr, Cristiano Ronaldo leads the scoring charts with 28 goals this season.

Al-Faisaly KSA's main creator is Andrew Erick Feitosa, with 15 assists.

João Félix tops the Al Nassr assist chart with 13.

More detail - goals home and away, expected goals and first-to-score rates - is in the tables above.

Head-to-head: Al-Faisaly KSA vs Al Nassr

Al-Faisaly KSA and Al Nassr have met 12 times in recent years. The record:

  • Al-Faisaly KSA wins: 3

  • Draws: 3

  • Al Nassr wins: 6

Frequently asked questions about Al-Faisaly KSA vs Al Nassr

When is Al-Faisaly KSA vs Al Nassr?

The match will be played on 23/10/2026 (Friday) at 14:30.

What is the head-to-head record between Al-Faisaly KSA and Al Nassr?

Across their last 12 meetings the record is 3-3-6 (Al-Faisaly KSA wins – draws – Al Nassr wins).

What was the last match between Al-Faisaly KSA and Al Nassr?

The two sides last met on 15/01/2022, and the result was Al Nassr 4 vs 0 Al-Faisaly KSA. Full details: Al-Faisaly KSA vs Al Nassr, 15/01/2022.

Who is the favorite in Al-Faisaly KSA vs Al Nassr?

Al Nassr is the favorite at odds of 1.299, an implied probability of about 76.98%. Al-Faisaly KSA is priced at 12, the draw at 7.31 and Al Nassr at 1.299.

Where can I find a Al-Faisaly KSA vs Al Nassr prediction?

You can find our full prediction, including in-depth analysis on the Al-Faisaly KSA vs Al Nassr prediction page.

Where can I find Al-Faisaly KSA vs Al Nassr stats?

All key statistics for Al-Faisaly KSA vs Al Nassr are on this page, updated in real time.

Where can I watch Al-Faisaly KSA vs Al Nassr?

Live streaming information is available on our Al-Faisaly KSA vs Al Nassr stream page.