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How to Prevent Bad Runs when Betting in Football?

6 Minute Read
how to prevent bad runs when betting

All kinds of betting are psychological games. It's not easy to win in football betting and the psychological aspects make betting even more challenging. Everyone wants to succeed in sports betting, but unfortunately, you can't avoid variance and it's something you'll experience as a bettor. Negative variance swings can come and haunt you at any time, which is why you'll need to stay strong mentally to succeed in the long term to make consistent profits. In this article, we'll show you some valuable tips from professional sports bettors on keeping your cool so you'll carry on with your bets despite some major downsides.

What Is A Bad Run?

Your experience of losing streaks may be nothing more than what other bettors do in their daily bets. Therefore, an essential part of preventing bad runs is knowing the true meaning of bad runs.

For example, you shouldn't worry about losing five or six bets in a row if you bet on mostly outsiders with higher odds. On the other hand, if you bet on short-priced favourites, then a few losses in a row may be considered a bad run.

In the end, it all comes down to your preference when experiencing losses which ultimately leads to a bad run. A general rule in betting is that if you are starting to notice a significant impact on your bankroll, then you must immediately take action.

Accept That You Won't Always Win

One of the first things to prepare for a bad run is accepting that you WILL experience it. If you're just into betting and currently experiencing some great runs, then it's only a matter of time before you'll experience this shocking phenomenon.

This way, you can handle these bad runs better and you’ll control your emotions better. So please don't expect that you'll always avoid bad runs.

Analyze The Results

If you are serious about sports betting, then keeping accurate records is an absolute must-do. This will help you in all aspects of your betting and is especially handy when you're dealing with losing streaks.

One of the keys to becoming a more profitable bettor is improving your betting strategy through analysis. You can analyze results in many ways, as the main thing you should focus on is why you placed the bet. This analysis can help you identify a problem, and without any good records, it's nearly impossible to identify these problems.

Remember to keep an open mind when you're doing the analysis. Don't assume that you're doing something wrong as you may have already done all the right things, but the spell of bad luck happened to take over. However, you also shouldn't rely on luck. The wrong strategies or bad decisions may also cause bad runs.

Try Simulations

One way to deal with bad runs is by going through some simulations. This will provide you with a better understanding of the downside that's likely to happen. For example, let's say you like to place your bets with a 3% edge consistently.

With tools like SportsBettingCalcs can run a simulation based on your bankroll size, stake size and other variables to look for possible results in the future. All you need to do is insert your data in the calculator and you'll find the likely percentage of losing a chunk of your bankroll. Due to this access to in-depth data, you can be prepared for more variance. So, you won't be surprised if your bankroll is down 10 to 20%, as you're fully aware of the risks.

Look at All Your Options and Stay in Control During Bad Runs

One critical thing you need to do when dealing with bad runs is to maintain good discipline. It's easy to let your emotions take over as you start chasing losses, which will end up making the situation even worse.

If you're having some trouble finding your losing streak, then your best option is to keep your cool and stay in control. Your only chance to turn the situation around is to consider all your options and make informed decisions.

One of these options is to keep betting the way you've always done it and hope things will go the way you want them to. If you genuinely believe that you're doing the right things and you're just experiencing some bad luck, then this is a valid option.

If things end up turning around, then great! You've managed to go through the storm and end up on the other side with your strategy. However, if things don't turn around, then it's time to rethink everything.

There are several options you can try at this point. You can try out different markets or try to adopt other strategies. You shouldn't let your spirits down just because one of your approaches didn't work well, as there are tons of different ways to make money in sports betting.


The last option is to quit betting. If you've tried your best, but it never works out, then sports betting may not be for you and there's no shame in giving up. It makes more sense than placing your money into something you know that's not going to work and end up causing yourself more stress.

Published on 31 December 2021 Last updated on 05 July 2022
Author: Tiago Martins

Tiago Martins


Tech entrepreneur and passionate about statistics, Tiago co-owns APWin and is responsible for all the technology that powers the platform.

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