Watford and Derby County face each other in an official match of the 2025/26 Championship season. The game takes place at Vicarage Road Stadium on Saturday, 21/02/2026, at 15:00 (UK Time).
Our experts have prepared predictions for The Hornets vs The Rams, based on a detailed statistical review of both teams. Our goal is to assist bettors in making profitable decisions, which is why we offer the best free prediction for today.
APWin predictions for Watford vs Derby County
The top bookmakers have set the odds, and our team has analysed all relevant match data. See our expert match prediction below:
Under 2.5 Goals
APWin experts have analysed the main betting markets and selected high-value bets.
The Hornets preview
Watford comes into the match having played 32 games in the Championship so far. They have recorded 11 wins, 12 draws, and 9 losses, with an average of 1.41 points per game in the tournament.
In the 2025/26 season across all competitions, the team has achieved 11 wins, 12 draws, and 11 losses.
Watford's attack has scored 43 goals during this period. Out of this total, 41 goals were scored in the Championship, averaging 1.28 goals per match. The season's average stands at 1.26.
The offence system of Watford is led by Luca Kjerrumgaard as the top scorer of the season. The danish forward has scored 8 goals. He is supported by the season's best assistant, Imran Louza, who has contributed with 7 assists.
On the defensive side, the team has conceded 38 goals with an average of 1.19 in the league. In all competitions, the current numbers are 45 goals conceded in 34 matches, resulting in an average of 1.32.
The Rams preview
On the other hand, Derby County comes into the match having played 32 games in the Championship so far. They have recorded 13 wins, 9 draws, and 10 losses, with an average of 1.5 points per game in the tournament.
In the 2025/26 season across all competitions, the team has achieved 13 wins, 10 draws, and 12 losses.
Derby County's attack has scored 50 goals during this period. Out of this total, 47 goals were scored in the Championship, averaging 1.47 goals per match. The season's average stands at 1.43.
The offence system of Derby County is led by Carlton Morris as the top scorer of the season. The english forward has scored 10 goals. He is supported by the season's best assistant, Joe Ward, who has contributed with 6 assists.
On the defensive side, the team has conceded 39 goals with an average of 1.22 in the league. In all competitions, the current numbers are 45 goals conceded in 35 matches, resulting in an average of 1.29.
Head to head: Watford vs Derby County
Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.
Watford
England - Championship
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | D L D L D |
1.41 |
| Home | L D L W W |
1.81 |
| Away | D L D D W |
1 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 34% | 50% | 19% |
| Goals | 2.47 | 2.56 | 2.38 |
| Scored | 1.28 | 1.5 | 1.06 |
| Conceded | 1.19 | 1.06 | 1.31 |
| Both Teams to Score | 63% | 63% | 63% |
| Without Conceding | 16% | 19% | 13% |
| Failed To Score | 25% | 19% | 31% |
| 1st to Score | 28% | 31% | 25% |
|
xG
|
1.5 | 1.72 | 1.27 |
|
xGA
|
1.3 | 1.29 | 1.31 |
Derby County
England - Championship
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | W L W D W |
1.5 |
| Home | W L D L W |
1.24 |
| Away | W W W L D |
1.8 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 41% | 29% | 53% |
| Goals | 2.69 | 2.59 | 2.8 |
| Scored | 1.47 | 1.24 | 1.73 |
| Conceded | 1.22 | 1.35 | 1.07 |
| Both Teams to Score | 69% | 71% | 67% |
| Without Conceding | 25% | 24% | 27% |
| Failed To Score | 6% | 6% | 7% |
| 1st to Score | 28% | 41% | 73% |
|
xG
|
1.18 | 1.24 | 1.11 |
|
xGA
|
1.42 | 1.32 | 1.54 |
Access all match stats for Watford vs Derby County
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