Main prediction: Vitória Guimarães to win the clash

Alternative tip: double chance Vitória Guimarães

Other market: over 9.5 corners

Vitória Guimarães and Nacional da Madeira meet again. The clash, valid for the Liga Portugal 2026/27, takes place this 23/08 (Sunday), at Estádio D. Afonso Henriques (Castelo), at 15:30.

In their last 5 matches across all competitions, Vitória Guimarães have won 0 time(s). Nacional da Madeira have won 2. Vitória Guimarães are the favourites with a 55% probability of winning on the betting platforms.

See where to watch, who the managers should send onto the pitch and the prediction for Vitória Guimarães vs Nacional da Madeira.

Prediction for Vitória Guimarães vs Nacional da Madeira

APWin Prediction

No BTTS 2nd Half

Overview Vitória Guimarães vs Nacional da Madeira

Vitória Guimarães are favourites, with odds of 1.82 and a 55% chance of winning. The direct head-to-head also leans towards Vitória Sport Clube, with 9 win(s) against 8 for Nacional da Madeira. The odds for a Clube Desportivo Nacional win are 5.405 and a draw is 9.

In the Portuguese League, Vitória Guimarães have 0 win(s), 0 draw(s) and 2 defeat(s), with 2 goal(s) scored and 4 conceded. The top scorer is Samu, with 1 goal(s). On the other side, Nacional da Madeira have 1 win(s), 1 draw(s) and 0 defeat(s), with 4 goal(s) scored and 2 conceded. Leonardo Rodrigues dos Santos is the top scorer with 1 goal(s).

Head-to-head between Vitória Guimarães and Nacional da Madeira

In 22 clashes, Vitória Guimarães have the advantage over Nacional da Madeira: 9 win(s) against 8 and 5 draw(s). The most recent was on 16/05/2026, in the Liga Portugal. Nacional da Madeira won on that occasion.

The dominance in the head-to-head record is a factor that goes into the predictions for Vitória Guimarães vs Nacional da Madeira, but it does not define the result alone. The context of the tournament and each team's form weigh just as much as the record.

Check out all the predictions for the Liga Portugal and see all the analysis before you bet.

Vitória Guimarães: current form

Vitória Guimarães have played only 2 match(es) in the Liga Portugal.

With so few matches, their recent performance speaks louder: in their last 5 matches across all competitions, there were 0 win(s), 0 draw(s) and 5 defeat(s).

In the Primeira Liga the situation is this:

0 win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 defeat(s)

0 win(s) in their last 5 across all competitions

0.6 goals per match in their last 5 across all competitions

Top scorer: Samu (1 goal(s))

Nacional da Madeira: current form

Meanwhile, Nacional da Madeira have played only 2 match(es) in the Liga Portugal.

With little data in the league, their last 5 matches across all competitions show 2 win(s), 1 draw(s) and 2 defeat(s).

In this competition, the team arrives with these numbers:

1 win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 defeat(s)

2 win(s) in their last 5 across all competitions

1.4 goals per match in their last 5 across all competitions

Top scorer: Leonardo Rodrigues dos Santos (1 goal(s))

Vitória Guimarães vs Nacional da Madeira key players

In the Liga Portugal, Samu carries Vitória Sport Clube's attack with 1 goal(s).

The playmaker is João Miguel Costa Nogueira, leading in assists with 1. In the whole season, Samu has 7 goal(s).

On the other side, Leonardo Rodrigues dos Santos is the name that frightens the most for The White-and-Blacks with 1 goal(s) in the Liga Portugal.

In terms of playmaking, Leonardo Rodrigues dos Santos leads in assists with 1. In the whole season, Jesús Ramírez has accumulated 18 goal(s).

Vitória Guimarães vs Nacional da Madeira statistics in the Liga Portugal

Few matches into the league yet. Vitória Guimarães have an average of 6.5 corners and 3 cards per match. Nacional da Madeira have 9.5 corners and 2 cards. Check the statistics for Vitória Guimarães vs Nacional da Madeira in the table below.

Home Team

Vitória Guimarães Team Logo

Vitória Guimarães

Portugal - Liga Bwin

Form Last 5 PPG
Overall L L L L L

0

Home L L W W L

1.2

Away L L L W D

0.8

Away Team

Nacional da Madeira Team Logo

Nacional da Madeira

Portugal - Liga Bwin

Form Last 5 PPG
Overall W D W L L

1.4

Home W W L W W

2.4

Away D L W L L

0.8

More tips for Vitória Guimarães vs Nacional da Madeira

In addition to the main prediction, see other betting markets for Vitória Guimarães vs Nacional da Madeira in the Liga Portugal:

👉 Our prediction is: Vitória Guimarães to win the 1st half

Vitória Guimarães has been a strong home team overall this season, and the statistics point to them being particularly quick to pounce in the opening 45 minutes. Whether that aggressive mentality is due to the energy of the home crowd or an intentional plan on the part of the manager, it has proven to be very effective.

We foresee that plan paying off once again in their match against Nacional da Madeira, so our top tip is for Vitória Guimarães to win the first half.

👉 Our prediction is: Vitória Guimarães win or draw

The home team is usually a safe bet in the Double Chance market, and that is no different in the upcoming match. Our top tip is to bet a Vitória Guimarães win or draw against Nacional da Madeira.

Our analysis of Vitória Guimarães points to them being the superior side, which is why they have a strong chance to win the match outright. And with the added benefit of needing only a draw at home against Nacional da Madeira, their chances of cashing in the 1X Double Chance bet grow even stronger.

Correct score prediction for Vitória Guimarães vs Nacional da Madeira

The favoritism in the odds points to Vitória Guimarães. With the available data, we project a narrow win. Correct result: Vitória Guimarães 1-0 Nacional da Madeira. Predicting the exact score is difficult. The odds reflect this. Play with caution.

Where to watch Vitória Guimarães vs Nacional da Madeira

Check out where to watch the live match between Nacional da Madeira and Vitória Guimarães:

Broadcast: no broadcast scheduled

Predicted line-ups for Vitória Guimarães and Nacional da Madeira

The line-ups for Vitória Guimarães vs Nacional da Madeira in the Primeira Liga are officially confirmed between 45 minutes and 1 hour before the match, via the referee's official team sheet and the clubs' social media channels.

Follow below who is expected to take to the pitch.

Vitória Sport Clube line-up

  • 2

    Miguel Maga

    Defender

  • 4

    Óscar Rivas Viondi

    Defender

  • 7

    Oumar Camara

    Forward

  • 8

    Gonçalo Teixeira Nogueira

    Midfielder

  • 11

    Gustavo Cunha

    Forward

  • 13

    João Mendes

    Defender

  • 16

    Beni Mukendi

    Midfielder

  • 20

    Samu

    Midfielder

  • 24

    Alioune Ndoye

    Forward

  • 28

    Thiago Carvalho

    Defender

  • 48

    Oliwier Zych

    Goalkeeper

The starting eleven is confirmed minutes before kick-off.

Clube Desportivo Nacional line-up

  • 1

    Renato Bellucci Marin

    Goalkeeper

  • 6

    Matheus Dias

    Midfielder

  • 7

    Markus Gustav Jensen

    Forward

  • 8

    Miguel Baeza Pérez

    Midfielder

  • 10

    Daniel Junior

    Midfielder

  • 22

    Filipe Soares

    Midfielder

  • 28

    Igor Pereira

    Midfielder

  • 34

    Leonardo Santos

    Defender

  • 38

    José Cardoso

    Defender

  • 52

    Wesley Andrade

    Defender

  • 99

    Pablo Cardozo

    Forward

The Nacional da Madeira starting eleven is confirmed close to the initial whistle.

Match details for Vitória Guimarães vs Nacional da Madeira

Match: Vitória Guimarães vs Nacional da Madeira

Tournament: Primeira Liga 2026/27

Date: 23/08/2026

Time: 15:30 (Brasília time)

Venue: Estádio D. Afonso Henriques (Castelo)

Broadcast: none scheduled

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Published on 20 August 2026, at 20:10 Last updated on 22 August 2026, at 04:27
Author: Amauri Barbosa

Sports betting analyst with over 15 years of experience. At APWin, he writes football predictions, reviews bookmakers and explains the reasoning behind every bet.