Prediction: Unión Magdalena vs Independiente Medellín | Categoria Primera A

Unión Magdalena and Independiente Medellín face each other in an official match of the 2025 Categoria Primera A season. The game takes place at Estadio Sierra Nevada on Monday, 28/07/2025, at 00:20 (UK Time).

Our experts have prepared prediction for Unión Magdalena vs Independiente Medellín, based on in-depth study and analysis of both teams' probabilities. Our goal is to assist bettors in making profitable decisions, which is why we offer the best free predictions for today. Find more Categoria Primera A predictions by clicking the link.

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APWin's prediction for Unión Magdalena vs Independiente Medellín

More predictions for Unión Magdalena vs Independiente Medellín

Discover betting tips and predictions that could be profitable for this match.

👉 Our prediction is: Independiente Medellín win or draw

Even though Independiente Medellín will be the away side in this matchup, we do not expect them to go down in defeat. We recommend betting on Independiente Medellín to win or draw in the Double Chance market, where a win or a draw will win the bet.

Independiente Medellín does have its share of flaws, but Unión Magdalena has also looked quite vulnerable of late, and not even being at home might be enough for them to avoid dropping points to Independiente Medellín.

How Unión Magdalena arrives for the match

Unión Magdalena comes into the match having played 22 games in the Categoria Primera A so far. They have recorded 1 wins, 9 draws, and 12 losses, with an average of 0.55 points per game in the tournament.

In the 2025 season across all competitions, the team has achieved 2 wins, 11 draws, and 13 losses.

Unión Magdalena's attack has scored 18 goals during this period. Out of this total, 15 goals were scored in the Categoria Primera A, averaging 0.68 goals per match. The season's average stands at 0.69.

The offense system of Unión Magdalena is led by Jannenson Alberto Sarmiento Escobar as the top scorer of the season. The colombian midfielder has scored 4 goals. He is supported by the season's best assistant, Fabián David Cantillo Beleño, who has contributed with 3 assists.

On the defensive side, the team has conceded 32 goals with an average of 1.45 in the league. In all competitions, the current numbers are 35 goals conceded in 26 matches, resulting in an average of 1.35.

Unión Magdalena's Latest Results

Santa Fe

Unión Magdalena

Unión Magdalena

Junior

Boyacá Chicó

Unión Magdalena

Unión Magdalena

Alianza Petrolera

Millonarios

Unión Magdalena

How Independiente Medellín arrives for the match

On the other hand, Independiente Medellín comes into the match having played 31 games in the Categoria Primera A so far. They have recorded 12 wins, 12 draws, and 7 losses, with an average of 1.55 points per game in the tournament.

In the 2025 season across all competitions, the team has achieved 12 wins, 12 draws, and 7 losses.

Independiente Medellín's attack has scored 33 goals during this period. Out of this total, 33 goals were scored in the Categoria Primera A, averaging 1.06 goals per match. The season's average stands at 1.06.

The offense system of Independiente Medellín is led by Francisco Javier Chaverra Angulo as the top scorer of the season. The colombian midfielder has scored 5 goals. He is supported by the season's best assistant, Brayan Léon Muñiz, who has contributed with 5 assists.

On the defensive side, the team has conceded 24 goals with an average of 0.77 in the league. In all competitions, the current numbers are 24 goals conceded in 31 matches, resulting in an average of 0.77.

Independiente Medellín's Latest Results

07/09/2025

Independiente Medellín

3 - 3

Atlético Nacional

30/08/2025

Deportivo Cali

1 - 3

Independiente Medellín

23/08/2025

Independiente Medellín

3 - 1

La Equidad

18/08/2025

Deportivo Pasto

1 - 2

Independiente Medellín

10/08/2025

Llaneros

0 - 1

Independiente Medellín

Both Teams in the Standings

To provide context on how both teams are coming into this match, we present here the current campaigns of the two clubs at this moment.

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG
1	Independiente Medellín	38	18	13	7	48	30	+18	67	1.76
2	Santa Fe	39	18	11	10	49	40	+9	65	1.67
3	Deportes Tolima	38	18	10	10	53	36	+17	64	1.68
4	Atlético Nacional	37	16	12	9	60	38	+22	60	1.62
5	Junior	37	16	11	10	50	38	+12	59	1.59
6	América de Cali	37	15	13	9	43	29	+14	58	1.57
7	Millonarios	37	16	10	11	46	36	+10	58	1.57
8	Atlético Bucaramanga	32	15	8	9	44	29	+15	53	1.66
9	Once Caldas	38	13	10	15	39	43	-4	49	1.29
10	Alianza Petrolera	31	12	8	11	36	36	0	44	1.42
11	Deportivo Pereira	31	10	11	10	31	31	0	41	1.32
12	Fortaleza CEIF	31	10	11	10	30	34	-4	41	1.32
13	Deportivo Pasto	30	10	8	12	31	33	-2	38	1.27
14	Deportivo Cali	31	8	14	9	27	33	-6	38	1.23
15	Llaneros	31	11	5	15	30	37	-7	38	1.23
16	Rionegro Águilas	30	5	14	11	27	34	-7	29	0.97
17	Envigado	31	7	8	16	25	40	-15	29	0.94
18	Boyacá Chicó	30	6	11	13	21	46	-25	29	0.97
19	Unión Magdalena	31	4	10	17	25	46	-21	22	0.71
20	La Equidad	30	4	8	18	20	46	-26	20	0.67
View more standings Hide

Data and Statistics for Unión Magdalena vs Independiente Medellín

Check out the summary of team statistics with various relevant information to support your football prediction.

Unión Magdalena

Colombia - Categoria Primera A

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L D W L L	0.55
Home	D L L D D	0.64
Away	L W L L D	0.45

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	5%	0%	9%
Goals	2.14	1.82	2.45
Scored	0.68	0.64	0.73
Conceded	1.45	1.18	1.73
Both Teams to Score	55%	45%	64%
Without Conceding	18%	27%	9%
Failed To Score	41%	55%	27%
1st to Score	23%	9%	36%
xG	1.39	1.7	1.07
xGA	1.58	1.36	1.8

Independiente Medellín

Colombia - Categoria Primera A

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L L D L D	1.55
Home	L D L W W	1.69
Away	L D D W W	1.4

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	39%	44%	33%
Goals	1.84	2.13	1.53
Scored	1.06	1.38	0.73
Conceded	0.77	0.75	0.8
Both Teams to Score	39%	44%	33%
Without Conceding	45%	50%	40%
Failed To Score	32%	19%	47%
1st to Score	23%	50%	40%
xG	1.73	2.03	1.4
xGA	1.15	1.02	1.3

You can check all the statistics for Unión Magdalena vs Independiente Medellín below.

Unión Magdalena vs Independiente Medellín Preview, Livescore and H2H

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Where to watch Unión Magdalena vs Independiente Medellín live?

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Facts and Curiosities for Unión Magdalena vs Independiente Medellín

The bookmakers place Independiente Medellín as the favorite to win the match, with a 19% chance of victory. During the analysis of this prediction, the average odds were as follows: