The kick off for the match between Toluca and Tigres UANL will take place at 01:00 (UK time) - Monday, 12/15 - at the Estadio Nemesio Díez. This clash of the 2025/26 Liga MX looks very promising!
Before placing your bets on this match, check out the full analysis including predictions for Toluca vs Tigres UANL. We also highlight the most interesting odds and markets with a high chance of winning. Providing today’s best free tip to help you make informed and profitable betting decisions.
APWin predictions for Toluca vs Tigres UANL
With odds already released by major bookmakers, our experts have crunched the numbers and dissected the key match data. Find our value-packed prediction for this encounter below:
Double Chance: Home or Away
After a thorough assessment of the primary betting markets, APWin analysts have identified bets with strong value potential.
Toluca preview
Toluca has played 22 matches in the Liga MX so far, with 13 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses. This results in an average of 2 points per match.
In the 2025/26 season, the team has recorded 38 wins, 16 draws, and 11 losses. Toluca's attack has scored 139 goals, 48 of them in the league, which gives an average of 2.18 goals per league match and 2.14 goals per match across the entire season.
José Paulo Bezerra Maciel Júnior is the team’s top scorer with 14 goals, while Ernesto Alexis Vega Rojas leads the team in assists with 10. Defensively, Toluca has conceded 23 goals in the league (an average of 1.05) and 71 goals throughout the entire season (an average of 1.09 over 65 matches).
Tigres UANL preview
In 22 Liga MX matches, Tigres UANL has recorded 12 wins, 8 draws, and 2 losses, with an average of 2 points per game.
In the 2025/26 season, the team has 32 wins in 63 matches. The team has scored 96 goals, 43 of them in the Liga MX (an average of 1.95 goals per match), with Juan Francisco Brunetta being the team's top scorer with 11 goals and Diego Lainez providing 4 assists.
Defensively, Tigres UANL has conceded 21 goals in the league and 61 in the 2025/26 season overall, resulting in an average of 0.97 goals conceded per match.
Head to head: Toluca vs Tigres UANL
Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.
Toluca
Mexico - Liga MX
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | L W L D W |
2 |
| Home | W D W D W |
2.18 |
| Away | L L W D D |
1.82 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 59% | 64% | 55% |
| Goals | 3.23 | 4 | 2.45 |
| Scored | 2.18 | 2.73 | 1.64 |
| Conceded | 1.05 | 1.27 | 0.82 |
| Both Teams to Score | 55% | 73% | 36% |
| Without Conceding | 32% | 27% | 36% |
| Failed To Score | 27% | 9% | 45% |
| 1st to Score | 50% | 64% | 36% |
|
xG
|
1.72 | 1.96 | 1.44 |
|
xGA
|
1.12 | 1.2 | 1.03 |
Tigres UANL
Mexico - Liga MX
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | W D D W L |
2 |
| Home | W D W W W |
2.25 |
| Away | D L D W W |
1.7 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 55% | 67% | 40% |
| Goals | 2.91 | 3.17 | 2.6 |
| Scored | 1.95 | 2.42 | 1.4 |
| Conceded | 0.95 | 0.75 | 1.2 |
| Both Teams to Score | 50% | 42% | 60% |
| Without Conceding | 45% | 58% | 30% |
| Failed To Score | 14% | 8% | 20% |
| 1st to Score | 50% | 75% | 40% |
|
xG
|
1.79 | 1.88 | 1.69 |
|
xGA
|
1.24 | 1.15 | 1.34 |
Access all match stats for Toluca vs Tigres UANL
Where to watch Toluca vs Tigres UANL live?
Check out the live stream of Toluca vs Tigres UANL below and follow the match in real time.
Journalist, a football lover and sports betting expert for over 7 years. In addition to being a bet world aficionado, Amauri also practices athletics, and as all good Brazilian, does not refuse a brew.