The kick off for the match between Toluca and Puebla will take place at 04:00 (UK time) - Sunday, 09/14 - at the Estadio Nemesio Díez. This clash of the 2025/26 Liga MX looks very promising!
Before placing your bets on this match, check out the full analysis including predictions for Toluca vs Puebla. We also highlight the most interesting odds and markets with a high chance of winning. Providing today’s best free tip to help you make informed and profitable betting decisions.
APWin predictions for Toluca vs Puebla
With odds already released by major bookmakers, our experts have crunched the numbers and dissected the key match data. Find our value-packed prediction for this encounter below:
1st Half Toluca Win
After a thorough assessment of the primary betting markets, APWin analysts have identified bets with strong value potential.
Toluca preview
Toluca has played 7 matches in the Liga MX so far, with 4 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses. This results in an average of 1.86 points per match.
In the 2025/26 season, the team has recorded 6 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses. Toluca's attack has scored 22 goals, 16 of them in the league, which gives an average of 2.29 goals per league match and 2.44 goals per match across the entire season.
Helio Junio Nunes de Castro is the team’s top scorer with 3 goals, while Nicolás Castro leads the team in assists with 4. Defensively, Toluca has conceded 10 goals in the league (an average of 1.43) and 12 goals throughout the entire season (an average of 1.33 over 9 matches).
Puebla preview
In 7 Liga MX matches, Puebla has recorded 1 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses, with an average of 0.57 points per game.
In the 2025/26 season, the team has 1 wins in 9 matches. The team has scored 10 goals, 6 of them in the Liga MX (an average of 0.86 goals per match), with Ricardo Marín Sánchez being the team's top scorer with 2 goals and Edgar Guerra providing 2 assists.
Defensively, Puebla has conceded 18 goals in the league and 24 in the 2025/26 season overall, resulting in an average of 2.67 goals conceded per match.
Head to head: Toluca vs Puebla
Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.
Home Team
Toluca
Mexico - Liga MX
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | W L L D D |
1.86 |
| Home | D D L L W |
1.33 |
| Away | W L L W W |
2.25 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 57% | 33% | 75% |
| Goals | 3.71 | 4.33 | 3.25 |
| Scored | 2.29 | 2.33 | 2.25 |
| Conceded | 1.43 | 2 | 1 |
| Both Teams to Score | 71% | 100% | 50% |
| Without Conceding | 14% | 0% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 14% | 0% | 25% |
| 1st to Score | 43% | 33% | 50% |
|
xG
|
1.68 | 2.04 | 1.41 |
|
xGA
|
1.22 | 1.11 | 1.3 |
Away Team
Puebla
Mexico - Liga MX
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | L D D L L |
0.57 |
| Home | L L L W W |
0.75 |
| Away | D D L L L |
0.33 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 14% | 25% | 0% |
| Goals | 3.43 | 3.5 | 3.33 |
| Scored | 0.86 | 1.25 | 0.33 |
| Conceded | 2.57 | 2.25 | 3 |
| Both Teams to Score | 43% | 50% | 33% |
| Without Conceding | 29% | 25% | 33% |
| Failed To Score | 43% | 25% | 67% |
| 1st to Score | 43% | 50% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.38 | 1.63 | 0.88 |
|
xGA
|
1.36 | 1.27 | 1.56 |
Access all match stats for Toluca vs Puebla
Where to watch Toluca vs Puebla live?
Check out the live stream of Toluca vs Puebla below and follow the match in real time.
