Toluca and Cruz Azul face each other in an official match of the 2025/26 Liga MX season. The game takes place at Estadio Nemesio Díez on Saturday, 07/02/2026, at 23:00 (UK Time).

Our experts have prepared predictions for Toluca vs Cruz Azul, based on detailed statistical review of both teams. Our goal is to assist bettors in making profitable decisions, which is why we offer the best free prediction for today.

APWin predictions for Toluca vs Cruz Azul

The top bookmakers have set the odds, and our team has analyzed all relevant match data. See our expert match prediction below:

APWin Prediction

Toluca Win

APWin experts have analyzed the main betting markets and selected high-value bets.

👉 Our prediction is: Toluca to win

Based on our evaluations, Toluca vs Cruz Azul is a matchup between two evenly matched sides. But playing at home gives Toluca the added advantage, which is why we recommend taking Toluca to win outright at home.

The odds offered for a Toluca win have a lot of value, and the fact that they have that home support should help tremendously in their bid to get the victory.

Toluca preview

Toluca comes into the match having played 27 games in the Liga MX so far. They have recorded 16 wins, 7 draws, and 4 losses, with an average of 2.04 points per game in the tournament.

In the 2025/26 season across all competitions, the team has achieved 16 wins, 7 draws, and 4 losses.

Toluca's attack has scored 54 goals during this period. Out of this total, 54 goals were scored in the Liga MX, averaging 2 goals per match. The season's average stands at 2.

The offense system of Toluca is led by José Paulo Bezerra Maciel Júnior as the top scorer of the season. The portuguese forward has scored 15 goals. He is supported by the season's best assistant, Ernesto Alexis Vega Rojas, who has contributed with 10 assists.

On the defensive side, the team has conceded 25 goals with an average of 0.93 in the league. In all competitions, the current numbers are 25 goals conceded in 27 matches, resulting in an average of 0.93.

Cruz Azul preview

On the other hand, Cruz Azul comes into the match having played 25 games in the Liga MX so far. They have recorded 14 wins, 8 draws, and 3 losses, with an average of 2 points per game in the tournament.

In the 2025/26 season across all competitions, the team has achieved 14 wins, 8 draws, and 3 losses.

Cruz Azul's attack has scored 45 goals during this period. Out of this total, 45 goals were scored in the Liga MX, averaging 1.8 goals per match. The season's average stands at 1.8.

The offense system of Cruz Azul is led by Gabriel Matías Fernández Leites as the top scorer of the season. The uruguayan forward has scored 10 goals. He is supported by the season's best assistant, José Paradela, who has contributed with 6 assists.

On the defensive side, the team has conceded 29 goals with an average of 1.16 in the league. In all competitions, the current numbers are 29 goals conceded in 25 matches, resulting in an average of 1.16.

Head to head: Toluca vs Cruz Azul

Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.

Home Team

Toluca Team Logo

Toluca

Mexico - Liga MX

Form Last 5 PPG
Overall D D W W W

2.04

Home W W W D W

2.31

Away D D W L L

1.79

Away Team

Cruz Azul Team Logo

Cruz Azul

Mexico - Liga MX

Form Last 5 PPG
Overall W W W L D

2

Home W W D W L

2.31

Away W L D D W

1.67

Access all match stats for Toluca vs Cruz Azul

Where to watch Toluca vs Cruz Azul live?

Check out the live stream of Toluca vs Cruz Azul below and follow the match in real time.

Published on 4 February 2026, at 22:04 Last updated on 4 February 2026, at 22:04
Author: Gustavo Porto

I am a journalist with ten years of experience in sports content, SEO, and digital marketing, focused on building and optimizing products for the iGaming industry. My background includes work as a sports TV reporter, producing news stories, writing for major digital portals, and delivering live broadcasts, as well as strategic roles in SEO, growth, and community management across WhatsApp and social media platforms. Throughout my career, I have combined editorial expertise, data-driven analysis, and performance-oriented strategies to drive audience growth and engagement.