Tlaxcala and Morelia face each other on Sunday 11.02.2025, at 02:00 (UK Time), in a Liga de Expansão MX 2025/26 match. The game will take place at Tlaxcala's home ground, the .
Our team of analysts has crafted predictions for the clash between Tlaxcala and Morelia, grounded in an in-depth statistical analysis of both sides. We aim to empower bettors with reliable insights, delivering today’s top free betting tip to support smarter, more profitable choices.
APWin predictions for Tlaxcala vs Morelia
With odds already defined by leading bookmakers, our specialists have thoroughly reviewed the key match data. Check out our expert prediction below:
Double Chance: Tlaxcala or Draw
The APWin team has examined the key betting markets and identified the most valuable opportunities.
Tlaxcala preview
Tlaxcala heads into the match with the following record in the Liga de Expansão MX: in 12 matches, Tlaxcala secured 3 victories, 5 draws, and 4 losses, maintaining an average of 1.17 points per game.
Taking a broader look at Tlaxcala's 2025/26 season, the team has achieved a total of 3 victories so far.
Tlaxcala has been effective in the offense, scoring a total of 13 goals, of which 13 were scored in the Liga de Expansão MX, resulting in an average of 1.08 goals per game.
Individually, the standout performer is José Fernando Plascencia Castro, who has found the back of the net 3 times. However, he is not alone in driving the offense. Pablo González Díaz has taken on the role of the team's main playmaker, leading with 2 assists.
On the defensive side, Tlaxcala has conceded 21 goals in the Liga de Expansão MX (an average of 1.75 per game) and 22 goals throughout the entire season, with an average of 1.69 per match in the 2025/26 campaign.
Morelia preview
Morelia comes into the game with 12 matches played so far in the Liga de Expansão MX. They have secured 4 victories, 3 draws, and 5 losses, maintaining an average of 1.25 points per game in the competition.
Across all competitions in the 2025/26 season, the team has recorded 5 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses.
Morelia's attack has been highly effective, scoring 19 goals during this period. Of that total, 18 were netted in the Liga de Expansão MX, with an average of 1.5 goals per game. The overall season average is 1.46.
Morelia's offensive system is led by José Alonso Flores Ramírez, the team's top scorer this season. The mexican midfielder has found the back of the net 6 times. He is supported by the team's best assist provider, Brian Eduardo Figueroa Flores. The midfielder has contributed with 5 assists.
On the defensive side, the team has conceded 21 goals with an average of 1.75 per game in the championship. For the whole season, the team conceded 21 goals in 13 matches, averaging 1.62 per match.
Head to head: Tlaxcala vs Morelia
Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.
Tlaxcala
Mexico - Ascenso MX
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | D D L D W |
1.17 |
| Home | D D W W L |
1.5 |
| Away | D L W D L |
0.83 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 25% | 33% | 17% |
| Goals | 2.83 | 2.67 | 3 |
| Scored | 1.08 | 1.33 | 0.83 |
| Conceded | 1.75 | 1.33 | 2.17 |
| Both Teams to Score | 58% | 67% | 50% |
| Without Conceding | 8% | 17% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 33% | 17% | 50% |
| 1st to Score | 42% | 67% | 17% |
|
xG
|
1.61 | 1.67 | 1.55 |
|
xGA
|
1.51 | 1.62 | 1.41 |
Morelia
Mexico - Ascenso MX
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | L W D L L |
1.25 |
| Home | L D L W W |
1.67 |
| Away | W L L D L |
0.83 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 33% | 50% | 17% |
| Goals | 3.25 | 2.83 | 3.67 |
| Scored | 1.5 | 1.67 | 1.33 |
| Conceded | 1.75 | 1.17 | 2.33 |
| Both Teams to Score | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Without Conceding | 25% | 33% | 17% |
| Failed To Score | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| 1st to Score | 42% | 50% | 50% |
|
xG
|
1.76 | 2.05 | 1.46 |
|
xGA
|
1.41 | 1.25 | 1.57 |
Access all match stats for Tlaxcala vs Morelia
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Journalist since 2016, post-graduate during pandemic, and in love with football since child. Sporting was always part of the Gustavo's life, be practicing, watching, making the coverage, and a few years prae here, betting.