The kick off for the match between Tlaxcala and Morelia will take place at 02:00 (UK time) - Sunday, 11/02 - at the . This clash of the 2025/26 Liga de Expansão MX looks very promising!
Before placing your bets on this match, check out the full analysis including predictions for Tlaxcala vs Morelia. We also highlight the most interesting odds and markets with a high chance of winning. Providing today’s best free tip to help you make informed and profitable betting decisions.
APWin predictions for Tlaxcala vs Morelia
With odds already released by major bookmakers, our experts have crunched the numbers and dissected the key match data. Find our value-packed prediction for this encounter below:
Double Chance: Tlaxcala or Draw
After a thorough assessment of the primary betting markets, APWin analysts have identified bets with strong value potential.
Tlaxcala preview
Tlaxcala has played 12 matches in the Liga de Expansão MX so far, with 3 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses. This results in an average of 1.17 points per match.
In the 2025/26 season, the team has recorded 3 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses. Tlaxcala's attack has scored 13 goals, 13 of them in the league, which gives an average of 1.08 goals per league match and 1.08 goals per match across the entire season.
José Fernando Plascencia Castro is the team’s top scorer with 3 goals, while Pablo González Díaz leads the team in assists with 2. Defensively, Tlaxcala has conceded 21 goals in the league (an average of 1.75) and 21 goals throughout the entire season (an average of 1.75 over 12 matches).
Morelia preview
In 12 Liga de Expansão MX matches, Morelia has recorded 4 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, with an average of 1.25 points per game.
In the 2025/26 season, the team has 4 wins in 12 matches. The team has scored 18 goals, 18 of them in the Liga de Expansão MX (an average of 1.5 goals per match), with José Alonso Flores Ramírez being the team's top scorer with 6 goals and Brian Eduardo Figueroa Flores providing 5 assists.
Defensively, Morelia has conceded 21 goals in the league and 21 in the 2025/26 season overall, resulting in an average of 1.75 goals conceded per match.
Head to head: Tlaxcala vs Morelia
Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.
Home Team
Tlaxcala
Mexico - Ascenso MX
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | D D L D W |
1.17 |
| Home | D D W W L |
1.5 |
| Away | D L W D L |
0.83 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 25% | 33% | 17% |
| Goals | 2.83 | 2.67 | 3 |
| Scored | 1.08 | 1.33 | 0.83 |
| Conceded | 1.75 | 1.33 | 2.17 |
| Both Teams to Score | 58% | 67% | 50% |
| Without Conceding | 8% | 17% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 33% | 17% | 50% |
| 1st to Score | 42% | 67% | 17% |
|
xG
|
1.61 | 1.67 | 1.55 |
|
xGA
|
1.51 | 1.62 | 1.41 |
Away Team
Morelia
Mexico - Ascenso MX
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | L W D L L |
1.25 |
| Home | L D L W W |
1.67 |
| Away | W L L D L |
0.83 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 33% | 50% | 17% |
| Goals | 3.25 | 2.83 | 3.67 |
| Scored | 1.5 | 1.67 | 1.33 |
| Conceded | 1.75 | 1.17 | 2.33 |
| Both Teams to Score | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Without Conceding | 25% | 33% | 17% |
| Failed To Score | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| 1st to Score | 42% | 50% | 50% |
|
xG
|
1.76 | 2.05 | 1.46 |
|
xGA
|
1.41 | 1.25 | 1.57 |
Access all match stats for Tlaxcala vs Morelia
Where to watch Tlaxcala vs Morelia live?
Check out the live stream of Tlaxcala vs Morelia below and follow the match in real time.
