The kick off for the match between Tepatitlán de Morelos and Leones Negros will take place at 00:00 (UK time) - Monday, 09/08 - at the . This clash of the 2025/26 Ascenso MX looks very promising!
Before placing your bets on this match, check out the full analysis including predictions for Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Leones Negros. We also highlight the most interesting odds and markets with a high chance of winning. Providing today’s best free tip to help you make informed and profitable betting decisions.
APWin predictions for Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Leones Negros
With odds already released by major bookmakers, our experts have crunched the numbers and dissected the key match data. Find our value-packed prediction for this encounter below:
After a thorough assessment of the primary betting markets, APWin analysts have identified bets with strong value potential.
Tepatitlán de Morelos preview
Tepatitlán de Morelos has played 5 matches in the Ascenso MX so far, with 3 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses. This results in an average of 2.2 points per match.
In the 2025/26 season, the team has recorded 3 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses. Tepatitlán de Morelos's attack has scored 11 goals, 11 of them in the league, which gives an average of 2.2 goals per league match and 2.2 goals per match across the entire season.
Diego de Jesús Aguilar Millán is the team’s top scorer with 2 goals, while Diego de Jesús Aguilar Millán leads the team in assists with 2. Defensively, Tepatitlán de Morelos has conceded 3 goals in the league (an average of 0.6) and 3 goals throughout the entire season (an average of 0.6 over 5 matches).
Leones Negros preview
In 5 Ascenso MX matches, Leones Negros has recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, with an average of 1.6 points per game.
In the 2025/26 season, the team has 2 wins in 5 matches. The team has scored 9 goals, 9 of them in the Ascenso MX (an average of 1.8 goals per match), with Alejandro de Jesús Bravo Santiago being the team's top scorer with 5 goals and Édson Ulises Rivera Vargas providing 1 assists.
Defensively, Leones Negros has conceded 7 goals in the league and 7 in the 2025/26 season overall, resulting in an average of 1.4 goals conceded per match.
Head to head: Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Leones Negros
Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.
Home Team
Tepatitlán de Morelos
Mexico - Ascenso MX
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | W W W D D |
2.2 |
| Home | W D |
2 |
| Away | W W D |
2.33 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% | 67% |
| Goals | 2.8 | 1.5 | 3.67 |
| Scored | 2.2 | 1.5 | 2.67 |
| Conceded | 0.6 | 0 | 1 |
| Both Teams to Score | 60% | 0% | 100% |
| Without Conceding | 40% | 100% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 20% | 50% | 0% |
| 1st to Score | 40% | 50% | 33% |
|
xG
|
1.64 | 1.72 | 1.59 |
|
xGA
|
1.38 | 1.21 | 1.5 |
Away Team
Leones Negros
Mexico - Ascenso MX
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | D D W W L |
1.6 |
| Home | D D W |
1.67 |
| Away | W L |
1.5 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 33% | 50% |
| Goals | 3.2 | 4 | 2 |
| Scored | 1.8 | 2.33 | 1 |
| Conceded | 1.4 | 1.67 | 1 |
| Both Teams to Score | 80% | 100% | 50% |
| Without Conceding | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 20% | 0% | 50% |
| 1st to Score | 40% | 67% | 50% |
|
xG
|
1.48 | 1.84 | 0.93 |
|
xGA
|
1.34 | 1.56 | 1 |
Access all match stats for Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Leones Negros
Where to watch Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Leones Negros live?
Check out the live stream of Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Leones Negros below and follow the match in real time.
