The kick off for the match between Tapatío and Morelia will take place at 23:00 (UK time) - Sunday, 03/22 - at the Estadio AKRON. This clash of the 2025/26 Liga de Expansão MX looks very promising!
Before placing your bets on this match, check out the full analysis, including predictions for Tapatío vs Morelia. We also highlight the most interesting odds and markets with a high chance of winning. Providing today’s best free tip to help you make informed and profitable betting decisions.
APWin predictions for Tapatío vs Morelia
With odds already released by major bookmakers, our experts have crunched the numbers and dissected the key match data. Find our value-packed prediction for this encounter below:
Over 2.5 Goals
After a thorough assessment of the primary betting markets, APWin analysts have identified bets with strong value potential.
Tapatío Preview
Tapatío has played 23 matches in the Liga de Expansão MX so far, with 8 wins, 5 draws, and 10 losses. This results in an average of 1.26 points per match.
In the 2025/26 season, the team has recorded 8 wins, 5 draws, and 10 losses. Tapatío's attack has scored 40 goals, 40 of them in the league, which gives an average of 1.74 goals per league match and 1.74 goals per match across the entire season.
Vladimir Moragrega Soto is the team’s top scorer with 10 goals, while Leonardo Sebastián Jiménez Quintero leads the team in assists with 6. Defensively, Tapatío has conceded 34 goals in the league (an average of 1.48) and 34 goals throughout the entire season (an average of 1.48 over 23 matches).
Morelia preview
In 27 Liga de Expansão MX matches, Morelia has recorded 12 wins, 8 draws, and 7 losses, with an average of 1.63 points per game.
In the 2025/26 season, the team has 12 wins in 27 matches. The team has scored 39 goals, 39 of them in the Liga de Expansão MX (an average of 1.44 goals per match), with Ruben Del Campo being the team's top scorer with 9 goals and Brian Eduardo Figueroa Flores providing 6 assists.
Defensively, Morelia has conceded 31 goals in the league and 31 in the 2025/26 season overall, resulting in an average of 1.15 goals conceded per match.
Head to head: Tapatío vs Morelia
Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.
Tapatío
Mexico - Ascenso MX
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | L L D W W |
1.26 |
| Home | L W W W W |
1.73 |
| Away | L D W L D |
0.83 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 35% | 55% | 17% |
| Goals | 3.22 | 3.55 | 2.92 |
| Scored | 1.74 | 2.18 | 1.33 |
| Conceded | 1.48 | 1.36 | 1.58 |
| Both Teams to Score | 65% | 64% | 67% |
| Without Conceding | 17% | 27% | 8% |
| Failed To Score | 22% | 9% | 33% |
| 1st to Score | 52% | 64% | 42% |
|
xG
|
1.45 | 1.62 | 1.27 |
|
xGA
|
1.69 | 1.43 | 1.98 |
Morelia
Mexico - Ascenso MX
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | W L W W W |
1.63 |
| Home | W W W L W |
1.93 |
| Away | L W D W D |
1.31 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 44% | 57% | 31% |
| Goals | 2.59 | 2.43 | 2.77 |
| Scored | 1.44 | 1.57 | 1.31 |
| Conceded | 1.15 | 0.86 | 1.46 |
| Both Teams to Score | 48% | 43% | 54% |
| Without Conceding | 37% | 43% | 31% |
| Failed To Score | 26% | 36% | 15% |
| 1st to Score | 52% | 50% | 54% |
|
xG
|
1.61 | 1.89 | 1.29 |
|
xGA
|
1.34 | 1.05 | 1.66 |
Access all match stats for Tapatío vs Morelia
Where to watch Tapatío vs Morelia live?
Check out the live stream of Tapatío vs Morelia below and follow the match in real time.
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