Tapatío and Leones Negros face each other on Friday 01.30.2026, at 23:00 (UK Time), in a Liga de Expansão MX 2025/26 match. The game will take place at Tapatío's home ground, the Estadio AKRON.
Our team of analysts has crafted predictions for the clash between Tapatío and Leones Negros, grounded in an in-depth statistical analysis of both sides. We aim to empower bettors with reliable insights, delivering today’s top free betting tip to support smarter, more profitable choices.
APWin predictions for Tapatío vs Leones Negros
With odds already defined by leading bookmakers, our specialists have thoroughly reviewed the key match data. Check out our expert prediction below:
BTTS - Yes
The APWin team has examined the key betting markets and identified the most valuable opportunities.
Tapatío preview
Tapatío heads into the match with the following record in the Liga de Expansão MX: in 17 matches, Tapatío secured 5 victories, 4 draws, and 8 losses, maintaining an average of 1.12 points per game.
Taking a broader look at Tapatío's 2025/26 season, the team has achieved a total of 5 victories so far.
Tapatío has been effective in the offense, scoring a total of 26 goals, of which 26 were scored in the Liga de Expansão MX, resulting in an average of 1.53 goals per game.
Individually, the standout performer is Vladimir Moragrega Soto, who has found the back of the net 9 times. However, he is not alone in driving the offense. Leonardo Sebastián Jiménez Quintero has taken on the role of the team's main playmaker, leading with 4 assists.
On the defensive side, Tapatío has conceded 24 goals in the Liga de Expansão MX (an average of 1.41 per game) and 24 goals throughout the entire season, with an average of 1.41 per match in the 2025/26 campaign.
Leones Negros preview
Leones Negros comes into the game with 19 matches played so far in the Liga de Expansão MX. They have secured 8 victories, 4 draws, and 7 losses, maintaining an average of 1.47 points per game in the competition.
Across all competitions in the 2025/26 season, the team has recorded 8 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses.
Leones Negros's attack has been highly effective, scoring 26 goals during this period. Of that total, 26 were netted in the Liga de Expansão MX, with an average of 1.37 goals per game. The overall season average is 1.37.
Leones Negros's offensive system is led by Alejandro de Jesús Bravo Santiago, the team's top scorer this season. The mexican midfielder has found the back of the net 8 times. He is supported by the team's best assist provider, Édson Ulises Rivera Vargas. The midfielder has contributed with 2 assists.
On the defensive side, the team has conceded 26 goals with an average of 1.37 per game in the championship. For the whole season, the team conceded 26 goals in 19 matches, averaging 1.37 per match.
Head to head: Tapatío vs Leones Negros
Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.
Tapatío
Mexico - Ascenso MX
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | L W D W L |
1.12 |
| Home | W W L L D |
1.63 |
| Away | L D L D L |
0.67 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 29% | 50% | 11% |
| Goals | 2.94 | 3.75 | 2.22 |
| Scored | 1.53 | 2.25 | 0.89 |
| Conceded | 1.41 | 1.5 | 1.33 |
| Both Teams to Score | 59% | 63% | 56% |
| Without Conceding | 18% | 25% | 11% |
| Failed To Score | 29% | 13% | 44% |
| 1st to Score | 47% | 63% | 33% |
|
xG
|
1.46 | 1.68 | 1.24 |
|
xGA
|
1.76 | 1.61 | 1.91 |
Leones Negros
Mexico - Ascenso MX
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | D L W L W |
1.47 |
| Home | D W W W L |
1.8 |
| Away | L L W W L |
1.11 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 42% | 50% | 33% |
| Goals | 2.74 | 2.7 | 2.78 |
| Scored | 1.37 | 1.7 | 1 |
| Conceded | 1.37 | 1 | 1.78 |
| Both Teams to Score | 53% | 50% | 56% |
| Without Conceding | 26% | 40% | 11% |
| Failed To Score | 26% | 20% | 33% |
| 1st to Score | 47% | 70% | 67% |
|
xG
|
1.53 | 1.86 | 1.11 |
|
xGA
|
1.63 | 1.44 | 1.87 |
Access all match stats for Tapatío vs Leones Negros
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