APWin Prediction

Handicap: Grêmio (+1.5)

São Paulo Form and Insights

São Paulo hosts Grêmio at the Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo (MorumBIS) for this Brazil Serie A fixture. The match will kick off at 00:30 (UK Time) on 12/02/2026.

Their performance in the Brazil Serie A so far:

  • 1 Wins

  • 1 Draws

  • 0 Losses

Offensive and defensive statistics:

  • 3 goals scored

  • 1.5 average goals per match

  • 2 goals conceded

  • 3 average goals conceded per match

Grêmio Form and Insights

Grêmio has played 2 matches in the Brazil Serie A so far this season.

Here’s how the team comes into their match with São Paulo:

  • 1 Wins

  • 0 Draws

  • 1 Losses

Goals scored and conceded:

  • 6 goals scored

  • 3 average goals per match

  • 5 goals conceded

  • 6 average goals conceded per match

Head-to-Head Statistics

We have seen the match between São Paulo and Grêmio on the match calendar 26 times across all competitions in the last couple of years.

  • São Paulo win - 5

  • Grêmio win - 5

  • Draw - 7

Home Team

São Paulo Team Logo

São Paulo

Brazil - Serie A

Form Last 5 PPG
Overall W D W W L

2

Home W W W L W

2.4

Away D L D L L

0.4

Away Team

Grêmio Team Logo

Grêmio

Brazil - Serie A

Form Last 5 PPG
Overall W W D L L

1.4

Home W W D W L

2

Away L L W W W

1.8

Access all match stats for São Paulo vs Grêmio

The last match was played on 16/10/2025 in the Brazil Serie A, and Grêmio won the match. The match ended in 2–0.

In the table below you can find the head to head results of the last few meetings.

Players to Watch

APWin’s team of experts has compiled a list of insights to help you place informed bets on player props and goal scoring markets.

São Paulo Top Players

  • Jonathan Calleri has scored 3 goals so far this season.

  • Daniel de Oliveira Sertanejo has given 2 assists this season.

Grêmio Top Players

  • Carlos Vinícius has scored 4 goals so far this season.

  • Franco Sebastián Cristaldo has given 2 assists this season.

Betting Insights for Cards and Corners

If you prefer betting on over/under markets for corners and cards, you can use the section below to find the statistics for this São Paulo vs Grêmio match.

São Paulo Cards and Corners

  • 0.5 average cards per match

  • 0 average cards when playing at home

  • 9.5 average corners per match

  • 8 average corners when playing at home

Grêmio Cards and Corners

  • 1 average cards per match

  • 2 average cards when playing away

  • 7.5 average corners per match

  • 9 average corners when playing away

Additional Betting Tips

After thorough analysis of the past data, our team of experts has come up with additional predictions for the match.

Keep in mind that the prediction on the top of the page is our main tip. In case you are looking for more value picks, you can use our additional predictions below.

👉 Our prediction is: São Paulo to win the 1st half

São Paulo comes into their match with Grêmio with a lot going for them. Apart from being the superior side based on form and statistics, they also have the added advantage of being at home.

The odds for an outright home win on the 1X2 market are not that appealing, so we recommend taking São Paulo to win the first half to get the most value out of your bet.

👉 Our prediction is: Both teams don't score

How likely is it that both São Paulo and Grêmio score in their upcoming match? Based on our expert analysis, don't bet on it.

We expect to see a hard-fought match high on effort and intensity but low on actual goals, so our betting tip is to take the 'no' on the BTTS market.

Match Details

  • Match date: 12/02/2026

  • Kick-off time: 00:30

  • Competition: Brazil Serie A

  • Game week: 3

  • Stadium: Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo (MorumBIS)

How APWin Makes Its Predictions

Our football predictions are written using a structured analysis of factors that impact match outcome. We combine long-term performance with the latest team news and real-time market signals to write our predictions.

Here's what we take into account:

  • Historical match data

  • Home and away performance trends

  • Recent form, squad news, and team dynamics

  • Betting market odds and line movement analysis

APWin Prediction

Handicap: Grêmio (+1.5)

Published on 12 February 2026, at 06:26 Last updated on 1 April 2026, at 20:02
Author: Amauri Barbosa

I’m a journalist and content creator with over 7 years of experience in sports betting. At APWin, I live football and betting markets, and outside the screen I’m also a marathon runner always chasing performance.