São Paulo and Grêmio face each other in an official match of the 2026 Brazil Serie A season. The game takes place at Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo (MorumBIS) on Thursday, 12/02/2026, at 00:30 (UK Time).

Our experts have prepared predictions for São Paulo vs Grêmio, based on detailed statistical review of both teams. Our goal is to assist bettors in making profitable decisions, which is why we offer the best free prediction for today.

APWin predictions for São Paulo vs Grêmio

The top bookmakers have set the odds, and our team has analyzed all relevant match data. See our expert match prediction below:

APWin Prediction

Handicap: Grêmio (+1.5)

APWin experts have analyzed the main betting markets and selected high-value bets.

👉 Our prediction is: São Paulo to win the 1st half

São Paulo comes into their match with Grêmio with a lot going for them. Apart from being the superior side based on form and statistics, they also have the added advantage of being at home.

The odds for an outright home win on the 1X2 market are not that appealing, so we recommend taking São Paulo to win the first half to get the most value out of your bet.

👉 Our prediction is: Both teams don't score

How likely is it that both São Paulo and Grêmio score in their upcoming match? Based on our expert analysis, don't bet on it.

We expect to see a hard-fought match high on effort and intensity but low on actual goals, so our betting tip is to take the 'no' on the BTTS market.

São Paulo preview

São Paulo comes into the match having played 2 games in the Brazil Serie A so far. They have recorded 1 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses, with an average of 2 points per game in the tournament.

In the 2026 season across all competitions, the team has achieved 4 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses.

São Paulo's attack has scored 12 goals during this period. Out of this total, 3 goals were scored in the Brazil Serie A, averaging 1.5 goals per match. The season's average stands at 1.33.

The offense system of São Paulo is led by Jonathan Calleri as the top scorer of the season. The argentinian forward has scored 3 goals. He is supported by the season's best assistant, Daniel de Oliveira Sertanejo, who has contributed with 2 assists.

On the defensive side, the team has conceded 2 goals with an average of 1 in the league. In all competitions, the current numbers are 13 goals conceded in 9 matches, resulting in an average of 1.44.

Grêmio preview

On the other hand, Grêmio comes into the match having played 2 games in the Brazil Serie A so far. They have recorded 1 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, with an average of 1.5 points per game in the tournament.

In the 2026 season across all competitions, the team has achieved 5 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses.

Grêmio's attack has scored 21 goals during this period. Out of this total, 6 goals were scored in the Brazil Serie A, averaging 3 goals per match. The season's average stands at 2.33.

The offense system of Grêmio is led by Carlos Vinícius as the top scorer of the season. The brazilian forward has scored 4 goals. He is supported by the season's best assistant, Franco Sebastián Cristaldo, who has contributed with 2 assists.

On the defensive side, the team has conceded 5 goals with an average of 2.5 in the league. In all competitions, the current numbers are 11 goals conceded in 9 matches, resulting in an average of 1.22.

Head to head: São Paulo vs Grêmio

Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.

Home Team

São Paulo Team Logo

São Paulo

Brazil - Serie A

Form Last 5 PPG
Overall D W

2

Home W

3

Away D

1

Away Team

Grêmio Team Logo

Grêmio

Brazil - Serie A

Form Last 5 PPG
Overall W L

1.5

Home W

3

Away L

0

Access all match stats for São Paulo vs Grêmio

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Published on 11 February 2026, at 06:31 Last updated on 11 February 2026, at 06:31
Author: Amauri Barbosa

I’m a journalist and content creator with over 7 years of experience in sports betting. At APWin, I live football and betting markets, and outside the screen I’m also a marathon runner always chasing performance.