São Paulo and Botafogo face each other on Saturday 05.23.2026, at 21:00 (UK Time), in a Brazil Serie A 2026 match. The game will take place at São Paulo's home ground, the Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo (MorumBIS).
Our team of analysts has crafted predictions for the clash between São Paulo Futebol Clube and Botafogo de Futebol e Regatas, grounded in an in-depth statistical analysis of both sides. We aim to empower bettors with reliable insights, delivering today’s top free betting tip to support smarter, more profitable choices.
APWin predictions for São Paulo vs Botafogo
With odds already defined by leading bookmakers, our specialists have thoroughly reviewed the key match data. Check out our expert prediction below:
Under 2.5 Goals
The APWin team has examined the key betting markets and identified the most valuable opportunities.
São Paulo preview
São Paulo heads into the match with the following record in the Brazil Serie A: in 16 matches, São Paulo Futebol Clube secured 7 victories, 3 draws, and 6 losses, maintaining an average of 1.5 points per game.
Taking a broader look at Tricolor Paulista's 2026 season, the team has achieved a total of 15 victories so far.
São Paulo has been effective in the offence, scoring a total of 42 goals, of which 22 were scored in the Brazil Serie A, resulting in an average of 1.38 goals per game.
Individually, the standout performer is Jonathan Calleri, who has found the back of the net 6 times. However, he is not alone in driving the offence. Wendell Nascimento Borges has taken on the role of the team's main playmaker, leading with 3 assists.
On the defensive side, São Paulo has conceded 18 goals in the Brazil Serie A (an average of 1.13 per game) and 37 goals throughout the entire season, with an average of 1.12 per match in the 2026 campaign.
Botafogo preview
Botafogo comes into the game with 15 matches played so far in the Brazil Serie A. They have secured 6 victories, 3 draws, and 6 losses, maintaining an average of 1.4 points per game in the competition.
Across all competitions in the 2026 season, the team has recorded 16 wins, 6 draws, and 13 losses.
Botafogo de Futebol e Regatas's attack has been highly effective, scoring 54 goals during this period. Of that total, 29 were netted in the Brazil Serie A, with an average of 1.93 goals per game. The overall season average is 1.54.
Fogão's offensive system is led by Danilo Oliveira, the team's top scorer this season. The brazilian midfielder has found the back of the net 7 times. He is supported by the team's best assist provider, Álvaro Montoro. The midfielder has contributed with 3 assists.
On the defensive side, the team has conceded 28 goals with an average of 1.87 per game in the championship. For the whole season, the team conceded 45 goals in 35 matches, averaging 1.29 per match.
Head to head: São Paulo vs Botafogo
Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.
São Paulo
Brazil - Serie A
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | D L L L D |
0.4 |
| Home | D D W W W |
2.2 |
| Away | L L L D D |
0.4 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 44% | 71% | 22% |
| Goals | 2.5 | 2.57 | 2.44 |
| Scored | 1.38 | 1.86 | 1 |
| Conceded | 1.13 | 0.71 | 1.44 |
| Both Teams to Score | 56% | 43% | 67% |
| Without Conceding | 25% | 43% | 11% |
| Failed To Score | 19% | 14% | 22% |
| 1st to Score | 44% | 71% | 22% |
|
xG
|
1.35 | 1.49 | 1.24 |
|
xGA
|
1.3 | 1.23 | 1.36 |
Botafogo
Brazil - Serie A
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | W W L D W |
2 |
| Home | W W L W D |
2 |
| Away | W L D W W |
2 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 43% | 38% |
| Goals | 3.8 | 3.86 | 3.75 |
| Scored | 1.93 | 2.14 | 1.75 |
| Conceded | 1.87 | 1.71 | 2 |
| Both Teams to Score | 80% | 71% | 88% |
| Without Conceding | 7% | 14% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 13% | 14% | 13% |
| 1st to Score | 44% | 71% | 38% |
|
xG
|
1.39 | 1.54 | 1.26 |
|
xGA
|
1.67 | 1.72 | 1.63 |
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Sports betting analyst with over ten years of experience in football analysis, match statistics and betting markets.