The kick off for the match between São Paulo and Bahia will take place at 01:30 (UK time) - Sunday, 10/26 - at the MorumBIS. This clash of the 2025 Brazil Serie A looks very promising!
Before placing your bets on this match, check out the full analysis including predictions for São Paulo vs Bahia. We also highlight the most interesting odds and markets with a high chance of winning. Providing today’s best free tip to help you make informed and profitable betting decisions.
APWin predictions for São Paulo vs Bahia
With odds already released by major bookmakers, our experts have crunched the numbers and dissected the key match data. Find our value-packed prediction for this encounter below:
Double Chance: Draw or Bahia
After a thorough assessment of the primary betting markets, APWin analysts have identified bets with strong value potential.
São Paulo preview
São Paulo has played 29 matches in the Brazil Serie A so far, with 10 wins, 8 draws, and 11 losses. This results in an average of 1.31 points per match.
In the 2025 season, the team has recorded 27 wins, 20 draws, and 19 losses. São Paulo's attack has scored 78 goals, 31 of them in the league, which gives an average of 1.07 goals per league match and 1.18 goals per match across the entire season.
Luciano da Rocha Neves is the team’s top scorer with 6 goals, while Enzo Hernán Díaz leads the team in assists with 5. Defensively, São Paulo has conceded 33 goals in the league (an average of 1.14) and 66 goals throughout the entire season (an average of 1 over 66 matches).
Bahia preview
In 29 Brazil Serie A matches, Bahia has recorded 14 wins, 7 draws, and 8 losses, with an average of 1.69 points per game.
In the 2025 season, the team has 42 wins in 83 matches. The team has scored 122 goals, 40 of them in the Brazil Serie A (an average of 1.38 goals per match), with Willian José being the team's top scorer with 7 goals and Willian José providing 5 assists.
Defensively, Bahia has conceded 32 goals in the league and 71 in the 2025 season overall, resulting in an average of 0.86 goals conceded per match.
Head to head: São Paulo vs Bahia
Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.
Home Team
São Paulo
Brazil - Serie A
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | L L L W L |
1.31 |
| Home | L L W W W |
1.71 |
| Away | L L W L L |
0.93 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 34% | 50% | 20% |
| Goals | 2.21 | 2.21 | 2.2 |
| Scored | 1.07 | 1.29 | 0.87 |
| Conceded | 1.14 | 0.93 | 1.33 |
| Both Teams to Score | 41% | 43% | 40% |
| Without Conceding | 31% | 43% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 38% | 29% | 47% |
| 1st to Score | 45% | 57% | 33% |
|
xG
|
1.3 | 1.37 | 1.22 |
|
xGA
|
1.37 | 1.03 | 1.68 |
Away Team
Bahia
Brazil - Serie A
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | W W L W L |
1.69 |
| Home | W W W W L |
2.4 |
| Away | L L L D L |
0.93 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 48% | 73% | 21% |
| Goals | 2.48 | 2.4 | 2.57 |
| Scored | 1.38 | 1.73 | 1 |
| Conceded | 1.1 | 0.67 | 1.57 |
| Both Teams to Score | 52% | 47% | 57% |
| Without Conceding | 38% | 53% | 21% |
| Failed To Score | 14% | 0% | 29% |
| 1st to Score | 45% | 87% | 36% |
|
xG
|
1.45 | 1.61 | 1.29 |
|
xGA
|
1.36 | 1.14 | 1.59 |
Access all match stats for São Paulo vs Bahia
Where to watch São Paulo vs Bahia live?
Check out the live stream of São Paulo vs Bahia below and follow the match in real time.
