Real Madrid and Manchester City face each other on Wednesday 12.10.2025, at 20:00 (UK Time), in a UEFA Champions League 2025/26 match. The game will take place at Real Madrid's home ground, the Estadio Santiago Bernabéu.
Our team of analysts has crafted predictions for the clash between Real Madrid and Manchester City, grounded in an in-depth statistical analysis of both sides. We aim to empower bettors with reliable insights, delivering today’s top free betting tip to support smarter, more profitable choices.
APWin predictions for Real Madrid vs Manchester City
With odds already defined by leading bookmakers, our specialists have thoroughly reviewed the key match data. Check out our expert prediction below:
2nd Half Under 2.5 Goals
The APWin team has examined the key betting markets and identified the most valuable opportunities.
Real Madrid preview
Real Madrid heads into the match with the following record in the UEFA Champions League: in 5 matches, Whites secured 4 victories, 0 draws, and 1 losses, maintaining an average of 2.4 points per game.
Taking a broader look at Real Madrid's 2025/26 season, the team has achieved a total of 15 victories so far.
Real Madrid has been effective in the offense, scoring a total of 44 goals, of which 12 were scored in the UEFA Champions League, resulting in an average of 2.4 goals per game.
Individually, the standout performer is Kylian Mbappé, who has found the back of the net 16 times. However, he is not alone in driving the offense. Arda Guler has taken on the role of the team's main playmaker, leading with 5 assists.
On the defensive side, Real Madrid has conceded 5 goals in the UEFA Champions League (an average of 1 per game) and 20 goals throughout the entire season, with an average of 0.95 per match in the 2025/26 campaign.
Manchester City preview
Manchester City comes into the game with 5 matches played so far in the UEFA Champions League. They have secured 3 victories, 1 draws, and 1 losses, maintaining an average of 2 points per game in the competition.
Across all competitions in the 2025/26 season, the team has recorded 15 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses.
City's attack has been highly effective, scoring 50 goals during this period. Of that total, 10 were netted in the UEFA Champions League, with an average of 2 goals per game. The overall season average is 2.27.
The Citizens's offensive system is led by Erling Haaland, the team's top scorer this season. The norwegian forward has found the back of the net 15 times. He is supported by the team's best assist provider, Ryan Cherki. The midfielder has contributed with 5 assists.
On the defensive side, the team has conceded 5 goals with an average of 1 per game in the championship. For the whole season, the team conceded 22 goals in 22 matches, averaging 1 per match.
Head to head: Real Madrid vs Manchester City
Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.
Real Madrid
Europe - UEFA Champions League
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | W L W W W |
2.4 |
| Home | W W W |
3 |
| Away | W L W |
2 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 100% | 67% |
| Goals | 3.4 | 2 | 4.33 |
| Scored | 2.4 | 1.5 | 3 |
| Conceded | 1 | 0.5 | 1.33 |
| Both Teams to Score | 40% | 50% | 33% |
| Without Conceding | 40% | 50% | 33% |
| Failed To Score | 20% | 0% | 33% |
| 1st to Score | 40% | 50% | 33% |
|
xG
|
2.32 | 3.14 | 1.78 |
|
xGA
|
1.61 | 1.43 | 1.73 |
Manchester City
Europe - UEFA Champions League
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Journalist since 2016, post-graduate during pandemic, and in love with football since child. Sporting was always part of the Gustavo's life, be practicing, watching, making the coverage, and a few years prae here, betting.