PSV and Atlético Madrid face each other on Tuesday 12.09.2025, at 20:00 (UK Time), in a UEFA Champions League 2025/26 match. The game will take place at PSV's home ground, the Philips Stadion.
Our team of analysts has crafted predictions for the clash between PSV and Atlético Madrid, grounded in an in-depth statistical analysis of both sides. We aim to empower bettors with reliable insights, delivering today’s top free betting tip to support smarter, more profitable choices.
APWin predictions for PSV vs Atlético Madrid
With odds already defined by leading bookmakers, our specialists have thoroughly reviewed the key match data. Check out our expert prediction below:
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals
The APWin team has examined the key betting markets and identified the most valuable opportunities.
PSV preview
PSV heads into the match with the following record in the UEFA Champions League: in 5 matches, PSV Eindhoven secured 2 victories, 2 draws, and 1 losses, maintaining an average of 1.6 points per game.
Taking a broader look at PSV's 2025/26 season, the team has achieved a total of 16 victories so far.
PSV has been effective in the offense, scoring a total of 61 goals, of which 13 were scored in the UEFA Champions League, resulting in an average of 2.6 goals per game.
Individually, the standout performer is Guus Til, who has found the back of the net 10 times. However, he is not alone in driving the offense. Ivan Perišić has taken on the role of the team's main playmaker, leading with 6 assists.
On the defensive side, PSV has conceded 8 goals in the UEFA Champions League (an average of 1.6 per game) and 26 goals throughout the entire season, with an average of 1.24 per match in the 2025/26 campaign.
Atlético Madrid preview
Atlético Madrid comes into the game with 5 matches played so far in the UEFA Champions League. They have secured 3 victories, 0 draws, and 2 losses, maintaining an average of 1.8 points per game in the competition.
Across all competitions in the 2025/26 season, the team has recorded 12 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses.
Atlético Madrid's attack has been highly effective, scoring 40 goals during this period. Of that total, 12 were netted in the UEFA Champions League, with an average of 2.4 goals per game. The overall season average is 1.9.
Atlético Madrid's offensive system is led by Julián Álvarez, the team's top scorer this season. The argentinian forward has found the back of the net 7 times. He is supported by the team's best assist provider, Giuliano Simeone. The midfielder has contributed with 4 assists.
On the defensive side, the team has conceded 10 goals with an average of 2 per game in the championship. For the whole season, the team conceded 25 goals in 21 matches, averaging 1.19 per match.
Head to head: PSV vs Atlético Madrid
Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.
PSV
Europe - UEFA Champions League
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | W W W W W |
3 |
| Home | W W W W D |
2.6 |
| Away | W W W W D |
2.6 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% | 33% |
| Goals | 4.2 | 6 | 3 |
| Scored | 2.6 | 3.5 | 2 |
| Conceded | 1.6 | 2.5 | 1 |
| Both Teams to Score | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Without Conceding | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 1st to Score | 20% | 0% | 33% |
|
xG
|
1.33 | 1.72 | 1.07 |
|
xGA
|
1.89 | 1.56 | 2.11 |
Atlético Madrid
Europe - UEFA Champions League
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | L L W W W |
1.8 |
| Home | W W W W W |
3 |
| Away | L L W W L |
1.2 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 4.4 | 4.33 | 4.5 |
| Scored | 2.4 | 3.33 | 1 |
| Conceded | 2 | 1 | 3.5 |
| Both Teams to Score | 80% | 100% | 50% |
| Without Conceding | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 20% | 0% | 50% |
| 1st to Score | 20% | 100% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.6 | 1.9 | 1.15 |
|
xGA
|
1.61 | 1.22 | 2.2 |
Access all match stats for PSV vs Atlético Madrid
Where to watch PSV vs Atlético Madrid live?
Check out the live stream of PSV vs Atlético Madrid below and follow the match in real time.
Sports betting analyst with over 15 years of experience. At APWin, he writes football predictions, reviews bookmakers and explains the reasoning behind every bet.