Progreso and Defensor Sporting face each other on Sunday 10.19.2025, at 19:30 (UK Time), in a Primera División 2025 match. The game will take place at Progreso's home ground, the Parque Abraham Paladino.
Our team of analysts has crafted predictions for the clash between Progreso and Defensor Sporting, grounded in an in-depth statistical analysis of both sides. We aim to empower bettors with reliable insights, delivering today’s top free betting tip to support smarter, more profitable choices.
APWin predictions for Progreso vs Defensor Sporting
With odds already defined by leading bookmakers, our specialists have thoroughly reviewed the key match data. Check out our expert prediction below:
Over 2.5 Goals
The APWin team has examined the key betting markets and identified the most valuable opportunities.
Progreso preview
Progreso heads into the match with the following record in the Primera División: in 33 matches, Progreso secured 10 victories, 8 draws, and 15 losses, maintaining an average of 1.15 points per game.
Taking a broader look at Progreso's 2025 season, the team has achieved a total of 11 victories so far.
Progreso has been effective in the offense, scoring a total of 44 goals, of which 34 were scored in the Primera División, resulting in an average of 1.03 goals per game.
Individually, the standout performer is Ignacio Nicolás Lemmo Gervasio, who has found the back of the net 5 times. However, he is not alone in driving the offense. Agustín Nahuel Moreira Morales has taken on the role of the team's main playmaker, leading with 4 assists.
On the defensive side, Progreso has conceded 48 goals in the Primera División (an average of 1.45 per game) and 67 goals throughout the entire season, with an average of 1.56 per match in the 2025 campaign.
Defensor Sporting preview
Defensor Sporting comes into the game with 33 matches played so far in the Primera División. They have secured 17 victories, 6 draws, and 10 losses, maintaining an average of 1.73 points per game in the competition.
Across all competitions in the 2025 season, the team has recorded 22 wins, 9 draws, and 16 losses.
La Viola's attack has been highly effective, scoring 48 goals during this period. Of that total, 37 were netted in the Primera División, with an average of 1.12 goals per game. The overall season average is 1.02.
El Tuerto's offensive system is led by Maxi Gómez, the team's top scorer this season. The uruguayan forward has found the back of the net 10 times. He is supported by the team's best assist provider, Maxi Gómez. The forward has contributed with 8 assists.
On the defensive side, the team has conceded 32 goals with an average of 0.97 per game in the championship. For the whole season, the team conceded 45 goals in 47 matches, averaging 0.96 per match.
Head to head: Progreso vs Defensor Sporting
Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.
Home Team
Progreso
Uruguay - Primera División
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | W W D W D |
1.15 |
| Home | W W W W L |
1.44 |
| Away | W D D L L |
0.88 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 44% | 18% |
| Goals | 2.48 | 2.63 | 2.35 |
| Scored | 1.03 | 1.25 | 0.82 |
| Conceded | 1.45 | 1.38 | 1.53 |
| Both Teams to Score | 55% | 50% | 59% |
| Without Conceding | 27% | 31% | 24% |
| Failed To Score | 27% | 19% | 35% |
| 1st to Score | 42% | 44% | 41% |
|
xG
|
1.36 | 1.46 | 1.28 |
|
xGA
|
1.41 | 1.28 | 1.53 |
Away Team
Defensor Sporting
Uruguay - Primera División
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | L W D W L |
1.73 |
| Home | W W W W W |
2.24 |
| Away | L D L L W |
1.19 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 52% | 71% | 31% |
| Goals | 2.09 | 2.41 | 1.75 |
| Scored | 1.12 | 1.59 | 0.63 |
| Conceded | 0.97 | 0.82 | 1.13 |
| Both Teams to Score | 39% | 47% | 31% |
| Without Conceding | 39% | 41% | 38% |
| Failed To Score | 33% | 18% | 50% |
| 1st to Score | 42% | 53% | 44% |
|
xG
|
1.31 | 1.51 | 1.1 |
|
xGA
|
1.36 | 1.28 | 1.44 |
Access all match stats for Progreso vs Defensor Sporting
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