Prediction: Palmeiras vs Grêmio | Serie A

Palmeiras and Grêmio face each other in an official match of the 2025 Serie A season. The game takes place at Allianz Parque on Sunday, 27/07/2025, at 01:00 (UK Time).

Our experts have prepared prediction for Palmeiras vs Grêmio, based on in-depth study and analysis of both teams' probabilities. Our goal is to assist bettors in making profitable decisions, which is why we offer the best free predictions for today. Find more Serie A predictions by clicking the link.

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APWin's prediction for Palmeiras vs Grêmio

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👉 Our prediction is: Palmeiras to win the 1st half

While the half-time market is not a particularly popular betting market, it does provide a good deal of value. And this is true for Palmeiras vs Grêmio, where we have Palmeiras to win the first half as our best bet.

Palmeiras has been quite a fast starter at home as they quickly put the pressure on their visitors in the opening minutes. That strategy should lead to a Palmeiras taking an advantage into half-time.

How Palmeiras arrives for the match

Palmeiras comes into the match having played 14 games in the Serie A so far. They have recorded 9 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with an average of 2.07 points per game in the tournament.

In the 2025 season across all competitions, the team has achieved 27 wins, 10 draws, and 6 losses.

Palmeiras's attack has scored 70 goals during this period. Out of this total, 18 goals were scored in the Serie A, averaging 1.29 goals per match. The season's average stands at 1.63.

The offense system of Palmeiras is led by Mauricio as the top scorer of the season. The brazilian midfielder has scored 5 goals. He is supported by the season's best assistant, Raphael Cavalcante Veiga, who has contributed with 7 assists.

On the defensive side, the team has conceded 12 goals with an average of 0.86 in the league. In all competitions, the current numbers are 31 goals conceded in 43 matches, resulting in an average of 0.72.

Palmeiras's Latest Results

Palmeiras

Fortaleza

Palmeiras

Internacional

Corinthians

Palmeiras

Palmeiras

Sport Recife

Botafogo

Palmeiras

How Grêmio arrives for the match

On the other hand, Grêmio comes into the match having played 14 games in the Serie A so far. They have recorded 4 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses, with an average of 1.21 points per game in the tournament.

In the 2025 season across all competitions, the team has achieved 13 wins, 14 draws, and 10 losses.

Grêmio's attack has scored 51 goals during this period. Out of this total, 14 goals were scored in the Serie A, averaging 1 goals per match. The season's average stands at 1.38.

The offense system of Grêmio is led by Martin Braithwaite as the top scorer of the season. The danish forward has scored 6 goals. He is supported by the season's best assistant, Edenilson, who has contributed with 6 assists.

On the defensive side, the team has conceded 20 goals with an average of 1.43 in the league. In all competitions, the current numbers are 42 goals conceded in 37 matches, resulting in an average of 1.14.

Grêmio's Latest Results

Grêmio

Botafogo

Internacional

Grêmio

Grêmio

Mirassol

Flamengo

Grêmio

Grêmio

Ceará

Both Teams in the Standings

To provide context on how both teams are coming into this match, we present here the current campaigns of the two clubs at this moment.

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG
1	Flamengo	23	15	6	2	48	11	+37	51	2.22
2	Cruzeiro	24	15	5	4	39	17	+22	50	2.08
3	Palmeiras	22	15	4	3	36	18	+18	49	2.23
4	Mirassol	23	11	9	3	41	23	+18	42	1.83
5	Botafogo	24	11	7	6	35	18	+17	40	1.67
6	Bahia	23	10	7	6	31	28	+3	37	1.61
7	São Paulo	24	9	8	7	27	24	+3	35	1.46
8	Fluminense	22	9	4	9	26	29	-3	31	1.41
9	Bragantino	24	9	4	11	29	35	-6	31	1.29
10	Corinthians	24	7	8	9	24	29	-5	29	1.21
11	Grêmio	24	7	8	9	24	30	-6	29	1.21
12	Ceará	23	7	7	9	22	23	-1	28	1.22
13	Vasco da Gama	24	7	6	11	36	35	+1	27	1.13
14	Internacional	23	7	6	10	28	36	-8	27	1.17
15	Santos	23	7	5	11	22	32	-10	26	1.13
16	Atlético MG	22	6	7	9	21	26	-5	25	1.14
17	Vitória	24	4	10	10	19	35	-16	22	0.92
18	Juventude	23	6	3	14	19	45	-26	21	0.91
19	Fortaleza	23	4	6	13	23	38	-15	18	0.78
20	Sport Recife	22	2	8	12	16	34	-18	14	0.64
View more standings Hide

Data and Statistics for Palmeiras vs Grêmio

Check out the summary of team statistics with various relevant information to support your football prediction.

Palmeiras

Brazil - Serie A

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W W D L L	2.07
Home	W D L W L	1.57
Away	W L W W W	2.57

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	64%	43%	86%
Goals	2.14	1.86	2.43
Scored	1.29	1	1.57
Conceded	0.86	0.86	0.86
Both Teams to Score	50%	29%	71%
Without Conceding	36%	43%	29%
Failed To Score	21%	43%	0%
1st to Score	57%	57%	57%
xG	1.63	1.77	1.49
xGA	1.22	1.03	1.4

Grêmio

Brazil - Serie A

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D L D W W	1.21
Home	D W D W D	1.71
Away	D L W L D	0.71

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	29%	43%	14%
Goals	2.43	1.86	3
Scored	1	1	1
Conceded	1.43	0.86	2
Both Teams to Score	64%	57%	71%
Without Conceding	21%	29%	14%
Failed To Score	14%	14%	14%
1st to Score	57%	86%	43%
xG	1.41	1.35	1.47
xGA	1.81	1.66	1.95

You can check all the statistics for Palmeiras vs Grêmio below.

Palmeiras vs Grêmio Preview, Livescore and H2H

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Where to watch Palmeiras vs Grêmio live?

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Facts and Curiosities for Palmeiras vs Grêmio

The bookmakers place Palmeiras as the favorite to win the match, with a 64% chance of victory. During the analysis of this prediction, the average odds were as follows: