APWin Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

Numancia Form and Insights

Numancia hosts UD Ourense at the Nuevo Estadio Los Pajaritos for this Segunda División RFEF Group 1 fixture. The match will kick off at 11:00 (UK Time) on 15/02/2026.

Their performance in the Segunda División RFEF Group 1 so far:

  • 9 Wins

  • 6 Draws

  • 7 Losses

Offensive and defensive statistics:

  • 28 goals scored

  • 1.27 average goals per match

  • 23 goals conceded

  • 28 average goals conceded per match

UD Ourense Form and Insights

UD Ourense has played 22 matches in the Segunda División RFEF Group 1 so far this season.

Here’s how the team comes into their match with Numancia:

  • 10 Wins

  • 7 Draws

  • 5 Losses

Goals scored and conceded:

  • 21 goals scored

  • 0.95 average goals per match

  • 18 goals conceded

  • 21 average goals conceded per match

Head-to-Head Statistics

We have seen the match between Numancia and UD Ourense on the match calendar 1 times across all competitions in the last couple of years.

  • CD Numancia win - 19

  • UD Ourense win - 16

  • Draw - 0

Home Team

Numancia Team Logo

Numancia

Spain - Segunda División RFEF Group 1

Form Last 5 PPG
Overall D L D W D

1.5

Home L W L L W

1.73

Away D D D L W

1.27

Away Team

UD Ourense Team Logo

UD Ourense

Spain - Segunda División RFEF Group 1

Form Last 5 PPG
Overall D D W W W

1.68

Home D D W W L

1.64

Away W W D L W

1.73

Access all match stats for Numancia vs UD Ourense

The last match was played on 07/12/2025 in the Segunda División RFEF Group 2, and Numancia won the match. The match ended in 0–3.

In the table below, you can find the head-to-head results of the last few meetings.

Players to Watch

APWin’s team of experts has compiled a list of insights to help you place informed bets on player props and goal-scoring markets.

Deportivo Numancia de Soria Top Players

  • Jonathan González Crespo has scored 2 goals so far this season.

  • Javier Bonilla Sevillano has given 1 assists this season.

UD Ourense Top Players

  • Manuel Vizoso Rodas has scored 0 goals so far this season.

  • Manuel Vizoso Rodas has given 0 assists this season.

Betting Insights for Cards and Corners

If you prefer betting on over/under markets for corners and cards, you can use the section below to find the statistics for this Numancia vs UD Ourense match.

Numancia Cards and Corners

  • 0.25 average cards per match

  • 0.5 average cards when playing at home

  • 9.45 average corners per match

  • 10.25 average corners when playing at home

UD Ourense Cards and Corners

  • 0.14 average cards per match

  • 0.33 average cards when playing away

  • 8.13 average corners per match

  • 7.5 average corners when playing away

Additional Betting Tips

After thorough analysis of the past data, our team of experts has come up with additional predictions for the match.

Keep in mind that the prediction on the top of the page is our main tip. In case you are looking for more value picks, you can use our additional predictions below.

👉 Our prediction is: UD Ourense to win

UD Ourense is the in their match against Numancia. Coming away from a formidable ground like Nuevo Estadio Los Pajaritos with all three points is never easy, but we are still tipping UD Ourense to win in this match.

UD Ourense has been in fantastic form of late, with their statistics and their results showing serious upward momentum. That momentum will be put to the test away at Numancia, but our analysts are confident they can score the big away win.

👉 Our prediction is: Under 2.5 goals in the match

It's hard to see too many goals in this match between Numancia and UD Ourense given their lack of goalscoring ability.

That is why we project the total to go under 2.5 goals. So if 2 or fewer goals are scored, the bet wins.

Match Details

  • Match date: 15/02/2026

  • Kick-off time: 11:00

  • Competition: Segunda División RFEF Group 1

  • Game week: 23

  • Stadium: Nuevo Estadio Los Pajaritos

How APWin Makes Its Predictions

Our football predictions are written using a structured analysis of factors that impact match outcomes. We combine long-term performance with the latest team news and real-time market signals to write our predictions.

Here's what we take into account:

  • Historical match data

  • Home and away performance trends

  • Recent form, squad news, and team dynamics

  • Betting market odds and line movement analysis

APWin Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

Published on 15 February 2026, at 09:33 Last updated on 15 February 2026, at 09:33
Author: Amauri Barbosa

I’m a journalist and content creator with over 7 years of experience in sports betting. At APWin, I live football and betting markets, and outside the screen I’m also a marathon runner always chasing performance.