The kick off for the match between Nacional and Progreso will take place at 23:30 (UK time) - Friday, 07/24 - at the Estadio Gran Parque Central. This clash of the 2026 Primera División looks very promising!
Before placing your bets on this match, check out the full analysis, including predictions for Club Nacional de Football vs Club Atlético Progreso. We also highlight the most interesting odds and markets with a high chance of winning. Providing today’s best free tip to help you make informed and profitable betting decisions.
APWin predictions for Nacional vs Progreso
With odds already released by major bookmakers, our experts have crunched the numbers and dissected the key match data. Find our value-packed prediction for this encounter below:
BTTS - Yes
After a thorough assessment of the primary betting markets, APWin analysts have identified bets with strong value potential.
Nacional Preview
Nacional has played 21 matches in the Primera División so far, with 10 wins, 2 draws, and 9 losses. This results in an average of 1.52 points per match.
In the 2026 season, the team has recorded 12 wins, 4 draws, and 11 losses. Nacional's attack has scored 39 goals, 32 of them in the league, which gives an average of 1.52 goals per league match and 1.44 goals per match across the entire season.
Maxi Gómez is the team’s top scorer with 11 goals, while Christian Gabriel Oliva Giménez leads the team in assists with 2. Defensively, The Pocket has conceded 28 goals in the league (an average of 1.33) and 37 goals throughout the entire season (an average of 1.37 over 27 matches).
Progreso preview
In 21 Primera División matches, Progreso has recorded 4 wins, 4 draws, and 13 losses, with an average of 0.76 points per game.
In the 2026 season, the team has 4 wins in 21 matches. The team has scored 17 goals, 17 of them in the Primera División (an average of 0.81 goals per match), with Elvis Nahuel López Barboza being the team's top scorer with 3 goals and Facundo Kidd Álvarez providing 2 assists.
Defensively, The Gauchos of the Pantanoso has conceded 32 goals in the league and 32 in the 2026 season overall, resulting in an average of 1.52 goals conceded per match.
Head to head: Nacional vs Progreso
Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.
Nacional
Uruguay - Primera División
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | L L D W L |
0.8 |
| Home | L L W W W |
1.8 |
| Away | D L W L L |
0.8 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 48% | 50% | 45% |
| Goals | 2.86 | 2.3 | 3.36 |
| Scored | 1.52 | 1.5 | 1.55 |
| Conceded | 1.33 | 0.8 | 1.82 |
| Both Teams to Score | 57% | 40% | 73% |
| Without Conceding | 29% | 40% | 18% |
| Failed To Score | 19% | 20% | 18% |
| 1st to Score | 38% | 40% | 36% |
|
xG
|
1.5 | 1.65 | 1.37 |
|
xGA
|
1.02 | 0.85 | 1.18 |
Progreso
Uruguay - Primera División
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | W L L W L |
1.2 |
| Home | W L L L W |
1.2 |
| Away | L W L L L |
0.6 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 19% | 18% | 20% |
| Goals | 2.33 | 2.55 | 2.1 |
| Scored | 0.81 | 0.91 | 0.7 |
| Conceded | 1.52 | 1.64 | 1.4 |
| Both Teams to Score | 43% | 45% | 40% |
| Without Conceding | 10% | 9% | 10% |
| Failed To Score | 48% | 45% | 50% |
| 1st to Score | 38% | 27% | 20% |
|
xG
|
1.17 | 1.18 | 1.15 |
|
xGA
|
1.46 | 1.46 | 1.46 |
Access all match stats for Nacional vs Progreso
Where to watch The Pocket vs The Gauchos of the Pantanoso live?
Check out the live stream of Nacional vs Progreso below and follow the match in real time.
Sports betting analyst with over 15 years of experience. At APWin, he writes football predictions, reviews bookmakers and explains the reasoning behind every bet.