Nacional da Madeira and Vitória Guimarães face each other on Saturday 05.16.2026, at 18:00 (UK Time), in a Liga Portugal 2025/26 match. The game will take place at Nacional da Madeira's home ground, the Estádio da Madeira (Choupana).
Our team of analysts has crafted predictions for the clash between Clube Desportivo Nacional and Vitória Sport Clube, grounded in an in-depth statistical analysis of both sides. We aim to empower bettors with reliable insights, delivering today’s top free betting tip to support smarter, more profitable choices.
APWin predictions for Nacional da Madeira vs Vitória Guimarães
With odds already defined by leading bookmakers, our specialists have thoroughly reviewed the key match data. Check out our expert prediction below:
Over 2.5 Goals
The APWin team has examined the key betting markets and identified the most valuable opportunities.
Nacional da Madeira preview
Nacional da Madeira heads into the match with the following record in the Liga Portugal: in 33 matches, Clube Desportivo Nacional secured 8 victories, 7 draws, and 18 losses, maintaining an average of 0.94 points per game.
Taking a broader look at The White-and-Blacks's 2025/26 season, the team has achieved a total of 9 victories so far.
Nacional da Madeira has been effective in the offence, scoring a total of 40 goals, of which 35 were scored in the Liga Portugal, resulting in an average of 1.06 goals per game.
Individually, the standout performer is Jesús Ramírez, who has found the back of the net 16 times. However, he is not alone in driving the offence. José Manuel Mendes Gomes has taken on the role of the team's main playmaker, leading with 5 assists.
On the defensive side, Nacional da Madeira has conceded 45 goals in the Liga Portugal (an average of 1.36 per game) and 50 goals throughout the entire season, with an average of 1.43 per match in the 2025/26 campaign.
Vitória Guimarães preview
Vitória Guimarães comes into the game with 33 matches played so far in the Liga Portugal. They have secured 12 victories, 6 draws, and 15 losses, maintaining an average of 1.27 points per game in the competition.
Across all competitions in the 2025/26 season, the team has recorded 14 wins, 6 draws, and 16 losses.
Vitória Sport Clube's attack has been highly effective, scoring 44 goals during this period. Of that total, 39 were netted in the Liga Portugal, with an average of 1.18 goals per game. The overall season average is 1.22.
The Conquerors's offensive system is led by Samu, the team's top scorer this season. The portuguese midfielder has found the back of the net 7 times. He is supported by the team's best assist provider, Gonçalo Teixeira Nogueira. The midfielder has contributed with 4 assists.
On the defensive side, the team has conceded 49 goals with an average of 1.48 per game in the championship. For the whole season, the team conceded 50 goals in 36 matches, averaging 1.39 per match.
Head to head: Nacional da Madeira vs Vitória Guimarães
Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.
Nacional da Madeira
Portugal - Liga Bwin
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | L L W W L |
1.2 |
| Home | L W W L L |
1.2 |
| Away | L W L L D |
0.8 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 24% | 31% | 18% |
| Goals | 2.42 | 2.75 | 2.12 |
| Scored | 1.06 | 1.31 | 0.82 |
| Conceded | 1.36 | 1.44 | 1.29 |
| Both Teams to Score | 48% | 50% | 47% |
| Without Conceding | 21% | 25% | 18% |
| Failed To Score | 33% | 31% | 35% |
| 1st to Score | 42% | 56% | 29% |
|
xG
|
1.39 | 1.42 | 1.36 |
|
xGA
|
1.57 | 1.62 | 1.53 |
Vitória Guimarães
Portugal - Liga Bwin
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | L L W W D |
1.4 |
| Home | L W W L D |
1.4 |
| Away | L W D L L |
0.8 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 36% | 47% | 25% |
| Goals | 2.67 | 2.65 | 2.69 |
| Scored | 1.18 | 1.53 | 0.81 |
| Conceded | 1.48 | 1.12 | 1.88 |
| Both Teams to Score | 42% | 53% | 31% |
| Without Conceding | 30% | 29% | 31% |
| Failed To Score | 33% | 24% | 44% |
| 1st to Score | 42% | 41% | 44% |
|
xG
|
1.44 | 1.46 | 1.42 |
|
xGA
|
1.3 | 1.26 | 1.34 |
Access all match stats for Nacional da Madeira vs Vitória Guimarães
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