Nacional da Madeira and Vitória Guimarães face each other in an official match of the 2025/26 Liga Portugal season. The game takes place at Estádio da Madeira (Choupana) on Saturday, 16/05/2026, at 18:00 (UK Time).

Our experts have prepared predictions for Clube Desportivo Nacional vs Vitória Sport Clube, based on a detailed statistical review of both teams. Our goal is to assist bettors in making profitable decisions, which is why we offer the best free prediction for today.

APWin predictions for Nacional da Madeira vs Vitória Guimarães

The top bookmakers have set the odds, and our team has analysed all relevant match data. See our expert match prediction below:

APWin Prediction

Over 2.5 Goals

APWin experts have analysed the main betting markets and selected high-value bets.

👉 Our prediction is: Both teams don't score

How likely is it that both Nacional da Madeira and Vitória Guimarães score in their upcoming match? Based on our expert analysis, don't bet on it.

We expect to see a hard-fought match high on effort and intensity but low on actual goals, so our betting tip is to take the 'no' on the BTTS market.

👉 Our prediction is: Vitória Guimarães win or draw

Our evaluations have shown there is not much separating Nacional da Madeira and Vitória Guimarães overall. But given the extra betting edge that comes with the Double Chance market, where a win or a draw is enough to win the bet, we recommend taking Vitória Guimarães to win or draw in this match.

With odds of 1.7, there is a good deal of value on Vitória Guimarães to pull off a potential upset away from home against Nacional da Madeira, who have not been in the best form of late.

The White-and-Blacks preview

Nacional da Madeira comes into the match having played 33 games in the Liga Portugal so far. They have recorded 8 wins, 7 draws, and 18 losses, with an average of 0.94 points per game in the tournament.

In the 2025/26 season across all competitions, the team has achieved 9 wins, 7 draws, and 19 losses.

Nacional da Madeira's attack has scored 40 goals during this period. Out of this total, 35 goals were scored in the Liga Portugal, averaging 1.06 goals per match. The season's average stands at 1.14.

The offence system of Nacional da Madeira is led by Jesús Ramírez as the top scorer of the season. The venezuelan forward has scored 16 goals. He is supported by the season's best assistant, José Manuel Mendes Gomes, who has contributed with 5 assists.

On the defensive side, the team has conceded 45 goals with an average of 1.36 in the league. In all competitions, the current numbers are 50 goals conceded in 35 matches, resulting in an average of 1.43.

The Conquerors preview

On the other hand, Vitória Guimarães comes into the match having played 33 games in the Liga Portugal so far. They have recorded 12 wins, 6 draws, and 15 losses, with an average of 1.27 points per game in the tournament.

In the 2025/26 season across all competitions, the team has achieved 14 wins, 6 draws, and 16 losses.

Vitória Guimarães's attack has scored 44 goals during this period. Out of this total, 39 goals were scored in the Liga Portugal, averaging 1.18 goals per match. The season's average stands at 1.22.

The offence system of Vitória Guimarães is led by Samu as the top scorer of the season. The portuguese midfielder has scored 7 goals. He is supported by the season's best assistant, Gonçalo Teixeira Nogueira, who has contributed with 4 assists.

On the defensive side, the team has conceded 49 goals with an average of 1.48 in the league. In all competitions, the current numbers are 50 goals conceded in 36 matches, resulting in an average of 1.39.

Head to head: Nacional da Madeira vs Vitória Guimarães

Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.

Home Team

Nacional da Madeira Team Logo

Nacional da Madeira

Portugal - Liga Bwin

Form Last 5 PPG
Overall L L W W L

1.2

Home L W W L L

1.2

Away L W L L D

0.8

Away Team

Vitória Guimarães Team Logo

Vitória Guimarães

Portugal - Liga Bwin

Form Last 5 PPG
Overall L L W W D

1.4

Home L W W L D

1.4

Away L W D L L

0.8

Access all match stats for Nacional da Madeira vs Vitória Guimarães

Where to watch Nacional da Madeira vs Vitória Guimarães live?

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Published on 16 May 2026, at 05:58 Last updated on 8 July 2026, at 20:01
Author: Amauri Barbosa

Sports betting analyst with over 15 years of experience. At APWin, he writes football predictions, reviews bookmakers and explains the reasoning behind every bet.